How did Alma, MI vote in the 2024 presidential election?

Alma, MI voted Republican in 2024 with a margin of R+31.3. Kamala D Harris received 6,682 votes and Donald Trump received 12,894 out of 19,848 total votes cast, a 3.0-point shift toward Republicans from 2020.

What is Alma, MI's political history?

Alma, MI has 40 presidential elections on record, spanning 1868 to 2024. Democrats have won 6 and Republicans 34 of those contests. The largest single-election swing was 73.6 points in 1932.

What are the demographics of Alma, MI?

Alma, MI has a population of 41,385 according to the 2020 Census. The racial composition is 83.0% non-Hispanic white, 7.7% Hispanic, 5.8% Black. About 19% of residents hold a bachelor's degree or higher. Median household income is $63,556.

Which places are most similar to Alma, MI?

Based on demographic and electoral similarity analysis, the three most similar metro areas to Alma, MI are Atchison, KS, Lewisburg, PA, Lincoln, IL. Similarity is computed using a vector embedding of demographic, economic, and electoral characteristics.

Alma, MI

Latest: 2024↓ R+3.0 vs 2020

Safe Republican — shifted 3.0pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 41K residents — 1 counties

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POPULATION
41K
COUNTIES
1
PRES MARGIN
R+31.3
2024
TURNOUT
72.4%
MEDIAN INCOME
$64K

Place Story

What defines Alma, MI

Methodology

Reliably Republican since 2012
- Safe R
- 4 straight R wins
Mobilization target, not persuasion target.
Biggest swing: D+73.6 in 1932
- 1928 → 1932
Volatile behavior — treat historical margins with caution.
Demographically distinctive: 83% non-Hispanic white (+26pp vs national)
- 83% non-Hispanic white (+26pp vs national)
- 19% college+ (-17pp vs national)
Evangelical edge: 43pp over Catholics
- 19% Catholic / 62% Evangelical
Correlates nationally with Republican-leaning behavior.
Ticket-splitting: President ran 20.6pp behind Senate
- Divergence 20.6pp in 2012
Persuadable voters present — downballot races can run independent of presidential.

Constituent Counties

Open in Cartographer

Similarity Explorer

Similar metro areas

Nearest neighbors matched on the same place-page feature set used across the dossier system.

8 visible matches

Atchison, KS

Small-town rural republican 3

R+37.4

Similarity score92%

Lewisburg, PA

Small-town rural republican 2

R+23.4

Similarity score90%

Lincoln, IL

Small-town rural republican 3

R+41.5

Similarity score88%

Huntingdon, PA

Small-town rural republican 3

R+52.9

Similarity score87%

Greencastle, IN

Small-town rural republican 3

R+52.0

Similarity score87%

Decatur, IN

Small-town rural republican 3

R+52.6

Similarity score87%

Mount Vernon, OH

Small-town rural republican 3

R+44.9

Similarity score86%

Coldwater, MI

Small-town rural republican 3

R+42.4

Similarity score86%

Constituent Geography

Counties in Alma, MI

2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.

Sort:

County	Pop.	Margin	Dem	Rep	Total	Share
Gratiot	41K	R+31.3	6,682	12,894	19,848	100.0%

1 countiesTotal votes: 19,848

Historian Query

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Explore Alma, MI's political evolution with the Historian

“How has the Alma, MI metro area voted in presidential elections?”

Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.

Alma, MICensus ACS 2024Ancestry detail available

Census race profile

Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.

Expand rows for ancestry detail

White (Non-Hispanic) 83.0%Hispanic 7.7%Black 5.8%Multiracial 2.9%Asian 0.4%

Group	Alma, MI	National
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)	83.0%	57.4%
▶Hispanic / Latino(15)	7.7%	19.3%
▶Black / African American(7)	5.8%	12.2%
Multiracial / Other	2.9%	4.0%
▶Asian(5)	0.4%	6.0%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2)	0.3%	0.9%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(5)	0.2%	0.9%

Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Click rows to expand ancestry detail. Ancestry from ACS B04006, B03001, B02020, B02016. Totals may differ from race — individuals can report multiple ancestries.

Black / African American (estimated remainder) is derived as Black population share minus reported Sub-Saharan African and West Indian ancestry. It is shown as an estimated ancestry detail, not a standalone Census ancestry category.

MENA estimated from ancestry reporting — Census does not have a separate MENA race category. Not shown in bar (overlaps with other race groups).

Religious Adherents

Population that are religious adherents:

24.3%(10.1K people)

U.S. Religion Census 2020

Browse all religions

Catholic-Evangelical edge: -47.1pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.

Tradition	% Pop	% Adherents	US Pop	US Adherents
Evangelical Protestant	15.0%	61.7%	—	—
Catholic	4.6%	19.1%	—	—
Mainline Protestant	3.8%	15.8%	—	—
Other	0.8%	3.5%	—	—
LDS (Mormon)	0.8%	3.4%	—	—
Non-religiousPopulation	75.7%	—	—	—

Click the chevron to expand denominations. Tradition and denomination rows label both share of total population and share of all religious adherents. Non-religious is shown as a share of total population only.

Explore Evangelical Protestant adherence nationally

Who lives in the Alma, MI metro area? 41,385 residents across 1 counties.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.

Alma, MI vs National41K residents

19% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 14pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+15 on average nationally.

Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population

Local vs state vs U.S.

41K

local

41KNational 334.9M

Share of U.S. population

Local vs state vs U.S.

0.01%

local

0.01%National 100%

Voting-age population

Local vs state vs U.S.

66.2%

local

66.2%National 75.7%

Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income

Local vs state vs U.S.

$63,556

local

$63,556National $83,960

Poverty rate

Local vs state vs U.S.

14.0%

local

14.0%National 12.5%

College degree

Local vs state vs U.S.

18.7%

local

18.7%National 35.6%

Homeownership

Local vs state vs U.S.

78.9%

local

78.9%National 65.2%

Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age

Local vs state vs U.S.

39.6 yrs

local

39.6 yrsNational 39.1 yrs

Age 18–29

Local vs state vs U.S.

18.1%

local

18.1%National 15.7%

Age 65+

Local vs state vs U.S.

17.8%

local

17.8%National 17.0%

Foreign born

Local vs state vs U.S.

1.3%

local

1.3%National 14.1%

Non-English at home

Local vs state vs U.S.

4.1%

local

4.1%National 22.2%

English only

Local vs state vs U.S.

95.9%

local

95.9%National 77.8%

Voter Turnout

Turnout in Alma, MI

Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.

2024 Turnout

72.4%

vs Previous

+2.6pp

Voting-Age Pop

27,409

History

1988–2024

Competitiveness

How competitive is Alma, MI?

Safe RAvg margin: R+28.4 (last 3 elections)

2008

D+4.4

2012

R+3.9

2016

R+25.6

2020

R+28.3

2024

R+31.3

Elasticity

35.7pp

margin range

Party Flips

last 30 years

5-Elec Avg

R+16.9

Ticket-Splitting

Do voters in Alma, MI split their tickets?

Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.

ConsistencyModerate splitting (51/100)

2024 Office Comparisons

Offices	Margin A	Margin B	Split
President vs Senate	R+31.3	R+28.9	2.4pp

Average divergence across office pairs: 9.8pp

Containing Geography

Located In

Alma, MI sits inside these higher-level geographies.

Michigan(State)

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