Arkansas City-Winfield, KS
Safe Republican — 34K residents — 1 counties
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 76.9% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(13) | 12.2% |
▶Black / African American(5) | 2.5% |
▶Asian(5) | 1.5% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(4) | 1.4% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(1) | 0.3% |
Multiracial / Other | 5.3% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 16.9% | 42.7% |
| Mainline Protestant | 13.4% | 34.0% |
| Catholic | 5.4% | 13.6% |
| Other | 2.3% | 5.9% |
| Black Protestant | 1.5% | 3.8% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 1.1% | 2.9% |
| Non-religious | 60.5% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+40.1 |
| 2020 | Trump+37.9 |
| 2016 | Trump+37.4 |
| 2012 | Romney+29.6 |
| 2008 | McCain+25.2 |
| 2004 | Bush+31.8 |
| 2000 | Bush+17.9 |
| 1996 | Dole+14.7 |
| 1992 | Bush+0.1 |
Arkansas City-Winfield, KS is a metro area that has a population of 34,411. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+40.1. Akashic Edge tracks 39 presidential elections here, dating back to 1872.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 28.9% | 69.1% | R+40.1 | R+2.3 |
| 2020 | 30.0% | 67.9% | R+37.9 | R+0.5 |
| 2016 | 28.1% | 65.5% | R+37.4 | R+7.8 |
| 2012 | 34.0% | 63.6% | R+29.6 | R+4.4 |
| 2008 | 36.4% | 61.6% | R+25.2 | D+6.5 |
| 2004 | 33.3% | 65.1% | R+31.8 | R+13.9 |
| 2000 | 39.0% | 56.9% | R+17.9 | R+3.2 |
| 1996 | 36.1% | 50.8% | R+14.7 | R+14.6 |
| 1992 | 34.2% | 34.4% | R+0.1 | D+11.0 |
| 1988 | 43.3% | 54.4% | R+11.1 | D+20.1 |
| 1984 | 33.7% | 65.0% | R+31.3 | R+9.9 |
| 1980 | 35.7% | 57.1% | R+21.4 | R+18.6 |
| 1976 | 47.5% | 50.3% | R+2.8 | D+43.2 |
| 1972 | 24.5% | 70.5% | R+46.0 | R+25.4 |
| 1968 | 33.7% | 54.3% | R+20.6 | R+23.9 |
| 1964 | 51.3% | 47.9% | D+3.4 | D+27.9 |
| 1960 | 37.4% | 62.0% | R+24.6 | D+3.7 |
| 1956 | 35.6% | 63.9% | R+28.3 | D+8.6 |
| 1952 | 31.2% | 68.1% | R+36.9 | R+30.1 |
| 1948 | 45.3% | 52.1% | R+6.8 | — |
What defines Arkansas City-Winfield, KS?
Arkansas City-Winfield, KS voted overwhelmingly Republican in 2024. Akashic Edge tracks 39 presidential elections here, revealing how its political character has evolved over more than a century.
Constituent Counties
Similar metro areas
Counties in Arkansas City-Winfield, KS
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cowley | 34K | R+40.1 | 3,919 | 9,360 | 13,554 | 100.0% |
Ask the Historian
Key Insights
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 40.1% margin
- Shifted 10.5 points toward Republicans over the last 4 elections
Who Lives Here
| Group | Local | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 76.9% | 57.4% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(13) | 12.2% | 19.3% |
Multiracial / Other | 5.3% | 4.0% |
▶Black / African American(5) | 2.5% | 12.2% |
▶Asian(5) | 1.5% | 6.0% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(4) | 1.4% | 0.9% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(1) | 0.3% | 0.2% |
Religious Adherents
Catholic-Evangelical edge: -33.6pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16.9% | 42.7% | — | — | |
| 13.4% | 34.0% | — | — | |
| 5.4% | 13.6% | — | — | |
| 2.3% | 5.9% | — | — | |
| 1.5% | 3.8% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 1.1% | 2.9% | — | — |
Non-religiousPopulation | 60.5% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Arkansas City-Winfield, KS metro area? 34,411 residents across 1 counties.
Demographics
25% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 8pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+9 on average nationally.
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Turnout in Arkansas City-Winfield, KS
How competitive is Arkansas City-Winfield, KS?
Do voters in Arkansas City-Winfield, KS split their tickets?
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| Senate vs Governor | R+42.4 | R+14.7 | 27.6pp |