How did Bradford, PA vote in the 2024 presidential election?

Bradford, PA voted Republican in 2024 with a margin of R+47.2. Kamala D Harris received 5,115 votes and Donald Trump received 14,401 out of 19,682 total votes cast, a 1.0-point shift toward Republicans from 2020.

What is Bradford, PA's political history?

Bradford, PA has 40 presidential elections on record, spanning 1868 to 2024. It has voted Republican in every presidential election since 1968. The largest single-election swing was 43.3 points in 1964.

What are the demographics of Bradford, PA?

Bradford, PA has a population of 39,904 according to the 2020 Census. The racial composition is 91.7% non-Hispanic white, 2.0% Hispanic, 2.3% Black. About 21% of residents hold a bachelor's degree or higher. Median household income is $62,905.

Which places are most similar to Bradford, PA?

Based on demographic and electoral similarity analysis, the three most similar metro areas to Bradford, PA are Wabash, IN, Ashland, OH, DuBois, PA. Similarity is computed using a vector embedding of demographic, economic, and electoral characteristics.

Bradford, PA

Latest: 2024↓ R+1.0 vs 2020

Safe Republican — 40K residents — 1 counties

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Race & ancestry

Group	%
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)	91.7%
▶Hispanic / Latino(8)	2.0%
▶Black / African American(7)	2.3%
▶Asian(5)	0.7%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(2)	0.1%
Multiracial / Other	3.3%

View full demographics →

Religious adherence

Tradition	% Pop	% Adherents
Mainline Protestant	14.8%	39.6%
Catholic	11.3%	30.4%
Evangelical Protestant	10.2%	27.4%
Other	0.8%	2.2%
Black Protestant	0.1%	0.3%
Non-religious	62.8%	—

View full religion →

Presidential results

Year	Result
2024	Trump+47.2
2020	Trump+46.2
2016	Trump+46.2
2012	Romney+28.0
2008	McCain+17.2
2004	Bush+26.7
2000	Bush+26.3
1996	Dole+8.9
1992	Bush+10.0

View full election history →

Bradford, PA is a metro area that has a population of 39,904. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+47.2. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.

Bradford, PA Presidential Election Results, 1948–2024
Year	Dem %	Rep %	Margin	Swing
2024	26.0%	73.2%	R+47.2	R+1.0
2020	26.2%	72.3%	R+46.2	D+0.1
2016	24.4%	70.7%	R+46.2	R+18.2
2012	35.0%	63.0%	R+28.0	R+10.8
2008	40.4%	57.6%	R+17.2	D+9.4
2004	36.1%	62.8%	R+26.7	R+0.4
2000	34.9%	61.1%	R+26.3	R+17.3
1996	37.1%	46.0%	R+8.9	D+1.0
1992	32.5%	42.5%	R+10.0	D+17.3
1988	35.9%	63.2%	R+27.3	D+11.5
1984	30.4%	69.2%	R+38.8	R+11.3
1980	33.4%	60.9%	R+27.5	R+4.5
1976	38.0%	60.9%	R+22.9	D+21.7
1972	27.1%	71.7%	R+44.7	R+20.9
1968	35.9%	59.7%	R+23.7	R+39.5
1964	57.6%	41.8%	D+15.8	D+43.3
1960	36.1%	63.6%	R+27.5	D+20.4
1956	25.8%	73.8%	R+48.0	R+0.4
1952	25.9%	73.4%	R+47.6	R+12.0
1948	31.3%	66.9%	R+35.6	—

Political Identity

What defines Bradford, PA?

It has a working-class electorate (21% college-educated) — a demographic increasingly aligned with Republicans nationwide.

Constituent Counties

Open in Cartographer

Similarity Explorer

Similar metro areas

Nearest neighbors matched on the same place-page feature set used across the dossier system.

8 visible matches

Wabash, IN

Small-town rural republican 3

R+50.8

Similarity score98%

Ashland, OH

Small-town rural republican 3

R+50.0

Similarity score98%

DuBois, PA

Small-town rural republican 3

R+51.5

Similarity score98%

Meadville, PA

Small-town rural republican 3

R+39.3

Similarity score97%

Huntingdon, PA

Small-town rural republican 3

R+52.9

Similarity score97%

Somerset, PA

Small-town rural republican 3

R+57.2

Similarity score97%

Bedford, IN

Small-town rural republican 3

R+51.0

Similarity score97%

Hillsdale, MI

Small-town rural republican 3

R+51.4

Similarity score96%

Constituent Geography

Counties in Bradford, PA

2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.

Sort:

County	Pop.	Margin	Dem	Rep	Total	Share
McKean	40K	R+47.2	5,115	14,401	19,682	100.0%

1 countiesTotal votes: 19,682

Historian Query

Ask the Historian

Explore Bradford, PA's political evolution with the Historian

“How has the Bradford, PA metro area voted in presidential elections?”

Automated Readout

Key Insights

High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.

Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 47.2% margin
Highly elastic — margins have ranged 29.9 points across recent elections, suggesting a volatile electorate

Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.

Bradford, PACensus ACS 2024Ancestry detail available

Census race profile

Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.

Expand rows for ancestry detail

White (Non-Hispanic) 91.7%Multiracial 3.3%Black 2.3%Hispanic 2.0%Asian 0.7%

Group	Bradford, PA	National
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)	91.7%	57.4%
Multiracial / Other	3.3%	4.0%
▶Black / African American(7)	2.3%	12.2%
▶Hispanic / Latino(8)	2.0%	19.3%
▶Asian(5)	0.7%	6.0%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(2)	0.1%	0.9%

Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Click rows to expand ancestry detail. Ancestry from ACS B04006, B03001, B02020, B02016. Totals may differ from race — individuals can report multiple ancestries.

Black / African American (estimated remainder) is derived as Black population share minus reported Sub-Saharan African and West Indian ancestry. It is shown as an estimated ancestry detail, not a standalone Census ancestry category.

MENA estimated from ancestry reporting — Census does not have a separate MENA race category. Not shown in bar (overlaps with other race groups).

Religious Adherents

Population that are religious adherents:

37.2%(14.8K people)

U.S. Religion Census 2020

Browse all religions

Tradition	% Pop	% Adherents	US Pop	US Adherents
Mainline Protestant	14.8%	39.6%	—	—
Catholic	11.3%	30.4%	—	—
Evangelical Protestant	10.2%	27.4%	—	—
Other	0.8%	2.2%	—	—
Black Protestant	0.1%	0.3%	—	—
Non-religiousPopulation	62.8%	—	—	—

Click the chevron to expand denominations. Tradition and denomination rows label both share of total population and share of all religious adherents. Non-religious is shown as a share of total population only.

Who lives in the Bradford, PA metro area? 39,904 residents across 1 counties.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.

Bradford, PA vs National40K residents

21% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 12pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+15 on average nationally.

Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population

Local vs state vs U.S.

40K

local

40KNational 334.9M

Share of U.S. population

Local vs state vs U.S.

0.01%

local

0.01%National 100%

Voting-age population

Local vs state vs U.S.

73.4%

local

73.4%National 75.7%

Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income

Local vs state vs U.S.

$62,905

local

$62,905National $83,960

Poverty rate

Local vs state vs U.S.

13.7%

local

13.7%National 12.5%

College degree

Local vs state vs U.S.

20.8%

local

20.8%National 35.6%

Homeownership

Local vs state vs U.S.

78.0%

local

78.0%National 65.2%

Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age

Local vs state vs U.S.

44.0 yrs

local

44.0 yrsNational 39.1 yrs

Age 18–29

Local vs state vs U.S.

14.5%

local

14.5%National 15.7%

Age 65+

Local vs state vs U.S.

21.0%

local

21.0%National 17.0%

Foreign born

Local vs state vs U.S.

1.5%

local

1.5%National 14.1%

Non-English at home

Local vs state vs U.S.

2.3%

local

2.3%National 22.2%

English only

Local vs state vs U.S.

97.7%

local

97.7%National 77.8%

Voter Turnout

Turnout in Bradford, PA

Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.

2024 Turnout

67.2%

vs Previous

+0.7pp

Voting-Age Pop

29,275

History

1988–2024

Competitiveness

How competitive is Bradford, PA?

Safe RAvg margin: R+46.5 (last 3 elections)

2008

R+17.2

2012

R+28.0

2016

R+46.2

2020

R+46.2

2024

R+47.2

Elasticity

29.9pp

margin range

Party Flips

last 30 years

5-Elec Avg

R+37.0

Ticket-Splitting

Do voters in Bradford, PA split their tickets?

Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.

ConsistencyStraight-ticket (80/100)

2024 Office Comparisons

Offices	Margin A	Margin B	Split
President vs Senate	R+47.2	R+43.8	3.4pp

Average divergence across office pairs: 4.9pp

Containing Geography

Located In

Bradford, PA sits inside these higher-level geographies.

Pennsylvania(State)

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