How did Celina, OH vote in the 2024 presidential election?

Celina, OH voted Republican in 2024 with a margin of R+66.7. Kamala D Harris received 3,865 votes and Donald Trump received 19,710 out of 23,753 total votes cast, a 1.8-point shift toward Republicans from 2020.

What is Celina, OH's political history?

Celina, OH has 40 presidential elections on record, spanning 1868 to 2024. It has voted Republican in every presidential election since 1972. The largest single-election swing was 48.8 points in 1940.

What are the demographics of Celina, OH?

Celina, OH has a population of 42,484 according to the 2020 Census. The racial composition is 94.2% non-Hispanic white, 2.2% Hispanic, 1.2% Black. About 22% of residents hold a bachelor's degree or higher. Median household income is $76,782.

Which places are most similar to Celina, OH?

Based on demographic and electoral similarity analysis, the three most similar metro areas to Celina, OH are Wapakoneta, OH, Effingham, IL, Sidney, OH. Similarity is computed using a vector embedding of demographic, economic, and electoral characteristics.

Celina, OH

Latest: 2024↓ R+1.8 vs 2020

Safe Republican — 42K residents — 1 counties

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Race & ancestry

Group	%
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(12)	94.2%
▶Hispanic / Latino(4)	2.2%
▶Black / African American(3)	1.2%
▶Asian(5)	0.5%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1)	0.1%
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(2)	0.1%
Multiracial / Other	1.7%

View full demographics →

Religious adherence

Tradition	% Pop	% Adherents
Catholic	52.4%	67.4%
Evangelical Protestant	15.0%	19.3%
Mainline Protestant	9.0%	11.6%
Black Protestant	1.1%	1.4%
Other	0.3%	0.4%
Non-religious	22.4%	—

View full religion →

Presidential results

Year	Result
2024	Trump+66.7
2020	Trump+64.9
2016	Trump+64.0
2012	Romney+54.5
2008	McCain+43.4
2004	Bush+50.4
2000	Bush+39.8
1996	Dole+14.3
1992	Bush+20.5

View full election history →

Celina, OH is a metro area that has a population of 42,484. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+66.7. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.

Celina, OH Presidential Election Results, 1948–2024
Year	Dem %	Rep %	Margin	Swing
2024	16.3%	83.0%	R+66.7	R+1.8
2020	17.0%	81.9%	R+64.9	R+0.9
2016	15.3%	79.4%	R+64.0	R+9.5
2012	21.9%	76.4%	R+54.5	R+11.1
2008	27.5%	70.9%	R+43.4	D+7.0
2004	24.5%	74.9%	R+50.4	R+10.7
2000	28.5%	68.2%	R+39.8	R+25.4
1996	35.7%	50.0%	R+14.3	D+6.1
1992	26.3%	46.8%	R+20.5	D+17.5
1988	30.6%	68.5%	R+38.0	D+6.1
1984	27.4%	71.5%	R+44.1	R+23.5
1980	35.9%	56.5%	R+20.6	R+14.2
1976	45.3%	51.7%	R+6.4	D+12.3
1972	38.9%	57.6%	R+18.7	R+22.1
1968	47.9%	44.4%	D+3.4	R+36.1
1964	69.7%	30.3%	D+39.5	D+39.5
1960	50.0%	50.0%	Even	D+37.7
1956	31.1%	68.9%	R+37.8	R+6.3
1952	34.3%	65.7%	R+31.4	R+37.3
1948	52.9%	47.0%	D+5.9	—

Political Identity

What defines Celina, OH?

Celina, OH has been trending Republican — 12pp redder over the last 4 presidential cycles. It has a working-class electorate (22% college-educated) — a demographic increasingly aligned with Republicans nationwide.

Constituent Counties

Open in Cartographer

Similarity Explorer

Similar metro areas

Nearest neighbors matched on the same place-page feature set used across the dossier system.

8 visible matches

Wapakoneta, OH

Small-town rural republican 3

R+64.6

Similarity score99%

Effingham, IL

Small-town rural republican 3

R+60.7

Similarity score98%

Sidney, OH

Small-town rural republican 3

R+64.8

Similarity score97%

Van Wert, OH

Small-town rural republican 3

R+58.5

Similarity score96%

Ashland, OH

Small-town rural republican 3

R+50.0

Similarity score96%

Jasper, IN

Small-town rural republican 3

R+42.2

Similarity score96%

Le Mars, IA

Small-town rural republican 3

R+54.1

Similarity score96%

Bellefontaine, OH

Small-town rural republican 3

R+56.2

Similarity score95%

Constituent Geography

Counties in Celina, OH

2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.

Sort:

County	Pop.	Margin	Dem	Rep	Total	Share
Mercer	42K	R+66.7	3,865	19,710	23,753	100.0%

1 countiesTotal votes: 23,753

Historian Query

Ask the Historian

Explore Celina, OH's political evolution with the Historian

“How has the Celina, OH metro area voted in presidential elections?”

Automated Readout

Key Insights

High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.

Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 66.7% margin
Shifted 12.2 points toward Republicans over the last 4 elections

Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.

Celina, OHCensus ACS 2024Ancestry detail available

Census race profile

Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.

Expand rows for ancestry detail

White (Non-Hispanic) 94.2%Hispanic 2.2%Multiracial 1.7%Black 1.2%Asian 0.5%

Group	Celina, OH	National
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(12)	94.2%	57.4%
▶Hispanic / Latino(4)	2.2%	19.3%
Multiracial / Other	1.7%	4.0%
▶Black / African American(3)	1.2%	12.2%
▶Asian(5)	0.5%	6.0%
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(2)	0.1%	0.2%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1)	0.1%	0.9%

Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Click rows to expand ancestry detail. Ancestry from ACS B04006, B03001, B02020, B02016. Totals may differ from race — individuals can report multiple ancestries.

Black / African American (estimated remainder) is derived as Black population share minus reported Sub-Saharan African and West Indian ancestry. It is shown as an estimated ancestry detail, not a standalone Census ancestry category.

Religious Adherents

Population that are religious adherents:

77.6%(33.0K people)

U.S. Religion Census 2020

Browse all religions

Catholic-Evangelical edge: +43.7pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Catholic-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Democratic-leaning urban and suburban communities.

Tradition	% Pop	% Adherents	US Pop	US Adherents
Catholic	52.4%	67.4%	—	—
Evangelical Protestant	15.0%	19.3%	—	—
Mainline Protestant	9.0%	11.6%	—	—
Black Protestant	1.1%	1.4%	—	—
Other	0.3%	0.4%	—	—
Non-religiousPopulation	22.4%	—	—	—

Click the chevron to expand denominations. Tradition and denomination rows label both share of total population and share of all religious adherents. Non-religious is shown as a share of total population only.

Who lives in the Celina, OH metro area? 42,484 residents across 1 counties.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.

Celina, OH vs National42K residents

22% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 11pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+15 on average nationally.

Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population

Local vs state vs U.S.

42K

local

42KNational 334.9M

Share of U.S. population

Local vs state vs U.S.

0.01%

local

0.01%National 100%

Voting-age population

Local vs state vs U.S.

73.3%

local

73.3%National 75.7%

Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income

Local vs state vs U.S.

$76,782

local

$76,782National $83,960

Poverty rate

Local vs state vs U.S.

7.3%

local

7.3%National 12.5%

College degree

Local vs state vs U.S.

21.9%

local

21.9%National 35.6%

Homeownership

Local vs state vs U.S.

79.5%

local

79.5%National 65.2%

Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age

Local vs state vs U.S.

39.4 yrs

local

39.4 yrsNational 39.1 yrs

Age 18–29

Local vs state vs U.S.

13.8%

local

13.8%National 15.7%

Age 65+

Local vs state vs U.S.

19.2%

local

19.2%National 17.0%

Foreign born

Local vs state vs U.S.

1.7%

local

1.7%National 14.1%

Non-English at home

Local vs state vs U.S.

2.1%

local

2.1%National 22.2%

English only

Local vs state vs U.S.

97.9%

local

97.9%National 77.8%

Voter Turnout

Turnout in Celina, OH

Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.

2024 Turnout

76.3%

vs Previous

0.0pp

Voting-Age Pop

31,133

History

1988–2024

Competitiveness

How competitive is Celina, OH?

Safe RAvg margin: R+65.2 (last 3 elections)

2008

R+43.4

2012

R+54.5

2016

R+64.0

2020

R+64.9

2024

R+66.7

Elasticity

23.3pp

margin range

Party Flips

last 30 years

5-Elec Avg

R+58.7

Ticket-Splitting

Do voters in Celina, OH split their tickets?

Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.

ConsistencyModerate splitting (57/100)

2024 Office Comparisons

Offices	Margin A	Margin B	Split
President vs Senate	R+66.7	R+60.1	6.6pp

Average divergence across office pairs: 9.0pp

Containing Geography

Located In

Celina, OH sits inside these higher-level geographies.

Ohio(State)

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