How did Effingham, IL vote in the 2024 presidential election?

Effingham, IL voted Republican in 2024 with a margin of R+60.7. Kamala D Harris received 4,676 votes and Donald Trump received 19,751 out of 24,853 total votes cast, a 1.5-point shift toward Republicans from 2020.

What is Effingham, IL's political history?

Effingham, IL has 40 presidential elections on record, spanning 1868 to 2024. It has voted Republican in every presidential election since 1968. The largest single-election swing was 38.0 points in 1932.

What are the demographics of Effingham, IL?

Effingham, IL has a population of 44,856 according to the 2020 Census. The racial composition is 94.4% non-Hispanic white, 2.2% Hispanic. About 25% of residents hold a bachelor's degree or higher. Median household income is $78,773.

Which places are most similar to Effingham, IL?

Based on demographic and electoral similarity analysis, the three most similar metro areas to Effingham, IL are Celina, OH, Wapakoneta, OH, Ashland, OH. Similarity is computed using a vector embedding of demographic, economic, and electoral characteristics.

Effingham, IL

Latest: 2024↓ R+1.5 vs 2020

Safe Republican — 45K residents — 2 counties

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Race & ancestry

Group	%
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)	94.4%
▶Hispanic / Latino(9)	2.2%
▶Black / African American(1)	0.3%
▶Asian(3)	0.7%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(4)	0.2%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1)	0.1%
Multiracial / Other	2.4%

View full demographics →

Religious adherence

Tradition	% Pop	% Adherents
Evangelical Protestant	25.5%	49.7%
Catholic	18.6%	36.3%
Mainline Protestant	6.0%	11.6%
Other	1.2%	2.4%
LDS (Mormon)	0.7%	1.5%
Non-religious	48.6%	—

View full religion →

Presidential results

Year	Result
2024	Trump+60.7
2020	Trump+59.2
2016	Trump+59.2
2012	Romney+48.0
2008	McCain+32.2
2004	Bush+41.6
2000	Bush+35.0
1996	Dole+16.6
1992	Bush+4.2

View full election history →

Effingham, IL is a metro area that has a population of 44,856. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+60.7. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.

Effingham, IL Presidential Election Results, 1948–2024
Year	Dem %	Rep %	Margin	Swing
2024	18.8%	79.5%	R+60.7	R+1.5
2020	19.5%	78.6%	R+59.2	D+0.1
2016	17.7%	77.0%	R+59.2	R+11.3
2012	25.1%	73.1%	R+48.0	R+15.7
2008	32.9%	65.2%	R+32.2	D+9.3
2004	28.8%	70.4%	R+41.6	R+6.6
2000	31.7%	66.8%	R+35.0	R+18.4
1996	35.4%	51.9%	R+16.6	R+12.3
1992	36.3%	40.6%	R+4.2	D+22.0
1988	36.6%	62.8%	R+26.3	D+12.3
1984	30.5%	69.1%	R+38.6	R+6.4
1980	32.1%	64.2%	R+32.2	R+26.8
1976	46.5%	51.8%	R+5.4	D+24.2
1972	35.1%	64.7%	R+29.6	R+11.7
1968	37.2%	55.1%	R+17.9	R+32.8
1964	57.4%	42.6%	D+14.8	D+22.1
1960	46.3%	53.6%	R+7.3	D+13.1
1956	39.8%	60.2%	R+20.4	R+3.2
1952	41.3%	58.5%	R+17.2	R+17.3
1948	49.6%	49.5%	D+0.1	—

Political Identity

What defines Effingham, IL?

Effingham, IL voted overwhelmingly Republican in 2024. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, revealing how its political character has evolved over more than a century.

Constituent Counties

Open in Cartographer

Similarity Explorer

Similar metro areas

Nearest neighbors matched on the same place-page feature set used across the dossier system.

8 visible matches

Celina, OH

Small-town rural republican 3

R+66.7

Similarity score98%

Wapakoneta, OH

Small-town rural republican 3

R+64.6

Similarity score98%

Ashland, OH

Small-town rural republican 3

R+50.0

Similarity score96%

Sidney, OH

Small-town rural republican 3

R+64.8

Similarity score96%

Van Wert, OH

Small-town rural republican 3

R+58.5

Similarity score95%

Hannibal, MO

Small-town rural republican 3

R+54.8

Similarity score95%

Jasper, IN

Small-town rural republican 3

R+42.2

Similarity score95%

Bellefontaine, OH

Small-town rural republican 3

R+56.2

Similarity score95%

Constituent Geography

Counties in Effingham, IL

2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.

Sort:

County	Pop.	Margin	Dem	Rep	Total	Share
Effingham	35K	R+60.3	3,617	15,124	19,084	76.8%
Cumberland	10K	R+61.9	1,059	4,627	5,769	23.2%

2 countiesTotal votes: 24,853

Historian Query

Ask the Historian

Explore Effingham, IL's political evolution with the Historian

“How has the Effingham, IL metro area voted in presidential elections?”

Automated Readout

Key Insights

High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.

Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 60.7% margin
Highly elastic — margins have ranged 28.4 points across recent elections, suggesting a volatile electorate

Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.

Effingham, ILCensus ACS 2024Ancestry detail available

Census race profile

Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.

Expand rows for ancestry detail

White (Non-Hispanic) 94.4%Multiracial 2.4%Hispanic 2.2%Asian 0.7%

Group	Effingham, IL	National
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)	94.4%	57.4%
Multiracial / Other	2.4%	4.0%
▶Hispanic / Latino(9)	2.2%	19.3%
▶Asian(3)	0.7%	6.0%
▶Black / African American(1)	0.3%	12.2%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(4)	0.2%	0.9%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1)	0.1%	0.9%

Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Click rows to expand ancestry detail. Ancestry from ACS B04006, B03001, B02020, B02016. Totals may differ from race — individuals can report multiple ancestries.

Black / African American (estimated remainder) is derived as Black population share minus reported Sub-Saharan African and West Indian ancestry. It is shown as an estimated ancestry detail, not a standalone Census ancestry category.

MENA estimated from ancestry reporting — Census does not have a separate MENA race category. Not shown in bar (overlaps with other race groups).

Religious Adherents

Population that are religious adherents:

51.4%(23.0K people)

U.S. Religion Census 2020

Browse all religions

Catholic-Evangelical edge: -17.9pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.

Tradition	% Pop	% Adherents	US Pop	US Adherents
Evangelical Protestant	25.5%	49.7%	—	—
Catholic	18.6%	36.3%	—	—
Mainline Protestant	6.0%	11.6%	—	—
Other	1.2%	2.4%	—	—
LDS (Mormon)	0.7%	1.5%	—	—
Non-religiousPopulation	48.6%	—	—	—

Click the chevron to expand denominations. Tradition and denomination rows label both share of total population and share of all religious adherents. Non-religious is shown as a share of total population only.

Who lives in the Effingham, IL metro area? 44,856 residents across 2 counties.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.

Effingham, IL vs National45K residents

25% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 8pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+3 on average nationally.

Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population

Local vs state vs U.S.

45K

local

45KNational 334.9M

Share of U.S. population

Local vs state vs U.S.

0.01%

local

0.01%National 100%

Voting-age population

Local vs state vs U.S.

75.0%

local

75.0%National 75.7%

Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income

Local vs state vs U.S.

$78,773

local

$78,773National $83,960

Poverty rate

Local vs state vs U.S.

9.9%

local

9.9%National 12.5%

College degree

Local vs state vs U.S.

25.2%

local

25.2%National 35.6%

Homeownership

Local vs state vs U.S.

79.6%

local

79.6%National 65.2%

Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age

Local vs state vs U.S.

40.7 yrs

local

40.7 yrsNational 39.1 yrs

Age 18–29

Local vs state vs U.S.

12.8%

local

12.8%National 15.7%

Age 65+

Local vs state vs U.S.

19.3%

local

19.3%National 17.0%

Foreign born

Local vs state vs U.S.

1.3%

local

1.3%National 14.1%

Non-English at home

Local vs state vs U.S.

2.6%

local

2.6%National 22.2%

English only

Local vs state vs U.S.

97.4%

local

97.4%National 77.8%

Voter Turnout

Turnout in Effingham, IL

Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.

2024 Turnout

73.8%

vs Previous

-0.3pp

Voting-Age Pop

33,659

History

1988–2024

Competitiveness

How competitive is Effingham, IL?

Safe RAvg margin: R+59.7 (last 3 elections)

2008

R+32.2

2012

R+48.0

2016

R+59.2

2020

R+59.2

2024

R+60.7

Elasticity

28.4pp

margin range

Party Flips

last 30 years

5-Elec Avg

R+51.8

Ticket-Splitting

Do voters in Effingham, IL split their tickets?

Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.

ConsistencyHeavy splitting (0/100)

2022 Office Comparisons

Offices	Margin A	Margin B	Split
Senate vs Governor	R+57.0	R+64.5	7.6pp

Average divergence across office pairs: 18.0pp

Containing Geography

Located In

Effingham, IL sits inside these higher-level geographies.

Illinois(State)

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