Connersville, IN
Safe Republican — 23K residents — 1 counties
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 93.7% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(4) | 1.4% |
▶Black / African American(2) | 1.4% |
▶Asian(1) | 0.1% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2) | 0.1% |
Multiracial / Other | 3.3% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 34.8% | 70.5% |
| Catholic | 8.0% | 16.2% |
| Mainline Protestant | 4.4% | 8.9% |
| Other | 2.2% | 4.5% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 1.4% | 2.9% |
| Non-religious | 50.6% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+56.3 |
| 2020 | Trump+54.4 |
| 2016 | Trump+47.8 |
| 2012 | Romney+16.9 |
| 2008 | McCain+5.6 |
| 2004 | Bush+22.5 |
| 2000 | Bush+19.1 |
| 1996 | Dole+2.9 |
| 1992 | Bush+3.8 |
Connersville, IN is a metro area that has a population of 23,334. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+56.3. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 21.2% | 77.5% | R+56.3 | R+1.9 |
| 2020 | 22.1% | 76.5% | R+54.4 | R+6.6 |
| 2016 | 23.5% | 71.3% | R+47.8 | R+30.9 |
| 2012 | 40.2% | 57.1% | R+16.9 | R+11.3 |
| 2008 | 46.3% | 51.9% | R+5.6 | D+17.0 |
| 2004 | 38.3% | 60.8% | R+22.5 | R+3.5 |
| 2000 | 39.6% | 58.7% | R+19.1 | R+16.1 |
| 1996 | 41.9% | 44.9% | R+2.9 | D+0.9 |
| 1992 | 37.1% | 40.9% | R+3.8 | D+14.3 |
| 1988 | 40.7% | 58.9% | R+18.1 | D+8.5 |
| 1984 | 36.3% | 62.9% | R+26.6 | R+10.8 |
| 1980 | 40.1% | 55.9% | R+15.8 | R+14.2 |
| 1976 | 48.9% | 50.5% | R+1.6 | D+33.0 |
| 1972 | 32.5% | 67.2% | R+34.7 | R+28.1 |
| 1968 | 40.4% | 46.9% | R+6.5 | R+24.8 |
| 1964 | 58.9% | 40.7% | D+18.2 | D+30.6 |
| 1960 | 43.6% | 56.0% | R+12.3 | D+0.5 |
| 1956 | 43.5% | 56.3% | R+12.8 | D+2.1 |
| 1952 | 42.2% | 57.0% | R+14.8 | R+19.1 |
| 1948 | 51.8% | 47.6% | D+4.2 | — |
What defines Connersville, IN?
Connersville, IN has been trending Republican — 39pp redder over the last 4 presidential cycles. It has a working-class, predominantly white electorate — strong Republican base territory.
Constituent Counties
Similar metro areas
Counties in Connersville, IN
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fayette | 23K | R+56.3 | 2,084 | 7,625 | 9,838 | 100.0% |
Ask the Historian
Key Insights
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 56.3% margin
- Shifted 39.5 points toward Republicans over the last 4 elections
Who Lives Here
| Group | Connersville, IN | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 93.7% | 57.4% |
Multiracial / Other | 3.3% | 4.0% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(4) | 1.4% | 19.3% |
▶Black / African American(2) | 1.4% | 12.2% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2) | 0.1% | 0.9% |
▶Asian(1) | 0.1% | 6.0% |
Religious Adherents
Catholic-Evangelical edge: -58.8pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 34.8% | 70.5% | — | — | |
| 8.0% | 16.2% | — | — | |
| 4.4% | 8.9% | — | — | |
| 2.2% | 4.5% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 1.4% | 2.9% | — | — |
Non-religiousPopulation | 50.6% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Connersville, IN metro area? 23,334 residents across 1 counties.
Demographics
16% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 17pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+22 on average nationally.
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Turnout in Connersville, IN
How competitive is Connersville, IN?
Do voters in Connersville, IN split their tickets?
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| President vs Governor | R+56.3 | R+48.1 | 8.2pp |
| Senate vs Governor | R+55.1 | R+48.1 | 7.0pp |
| President vs Senate | R+56.3 | R+55.1 | 1.2pp |