Salem, OH
Safe Republican — shifted 4.1pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 101K residents — 1 counties
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 92.0% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(8) | 1.9% |
▶Black / African American(4) | 2.0% |
▶Asian(3) | 0.3% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(6) | 0.2% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2) | 0.2% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(1) | 0.1% |
Multiracial / Other | 3.6% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 15.4% | 45.9% |
| Mainline Protestant | 8.7% | 25.8% |
| Catholic | 7.0% | 20.9% |
| Other | 1.6% | 4.6% |
| Black Protestant | 0.9% | 2.8% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 0.5% | 1.5% |
| Non-religious | 66.4% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+49.0 |
| 2020 | Trump+44.9 |
| 2016 | Trump+40.9 |
| 2012 | Romney+11.8 |
| 2008 | McCain+7.6 |
| 2004 | Bush+4.7 |
| 2000 | Bush+2.6 |
| 1996 | Clinton+12.2 |
| 1992 | Clinton+10.0 |
Salem, OH is a metro area that has a population of 100,704. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+49.0. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 25.1% | 74.1% | R+49.0 | R+4.1 |
| 2020 | 26.8% | 71.7% | R+44.9 | R+3.9 |
| 2016 | 26.4% | 67.4% | R+40.9 | R+29.2 |
| 2012 | 42.9% | 54.7% | R+11.8 | R+4.1 |
| 2008 | 44.9% | 52.5% | R+7.6 | R+2.9 |
| 2004 | 47.4% | 52.1% | R+4.7 | R+2.1 |
| 2000 | 46.5% | 49.1% | R+2.6 | R+14.8 |
| 1996 | 47.5% | 35.3% | D+12.2 | D+2.2 |
| 1992 | 41.6% | 31.6% | D+10.0 | D+9.0 |
| 1988 | 50.0% | 49.1% | D+0.9 | D+10.7 |
| 1984 | 44.7% | 54.4% | R+9.7 | R+1.6 |
| 1980 | 42.4% | 50.6% | R+8.1 | R+9.8 |
| 1976 | 49.8% | 48.1% | D+1.7 | D+28.3 |
| 1972 | 36.0% | 62.6% | R+26.7 | R+25.4 |
| 1968 | 44.9% | 46.2% | R+1.3 | R+30.2 |
| 1964 | 64.5% | 35.5% | D+28.9 | D+46.2 |
| 1960 | 41.4% | 58.6% | R+17.3 | D+15.7 |
| 1956 | 33.5% | 66.5% | R+32.9 | R+16.2 |
| 1952 | 41.6% | 58.4% | R+16.7 | R+13.4 |
| 1948 | 48.0% | 51.3% | R+3.3 | — |
What defines Salem, OH?
Salem, OH has been trending Republican — 37pp redder over the last 4 presidential cycles. It has a working-class, predominantly white electorate — strong Republican base territory.
Constituent Counties
Similar metro areas
Counties in Salem, OH
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Columbiana | 101K | R+49.0 | 12,064 | 35,607 | 48,053 | 100.0% |
Ask the Historian
Key Insights
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 49.0% margin
- Shifted 37.2 points toward Republicans over the last 4 elections
Who Lives Here
| Group | Salem, OH | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 92.0% | 57.4% |
Multiracial / Other | 3.6% | 4.0% |
▶Black / African American(4) | 2.0% | 12.2% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(8) | 1.9% | 19.3% |
▶Asian(3) | 0.3% | 6.0% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2) | 0.2% | 0.9% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(6) | 0.2% | 0.9% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(1) | 0.1% | 0.2% |
Religious Adherents
Catholic-Evangelical edge: -29.5pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15.4% | 45.9% | — | — | |
| 8.7% | 25.8% | — | — | |
| 7.0% | 20.9% | — | — | |
| 1.6% | 4.6% | — | — | |
| 0.9% | 2.8% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 0.5% | 1.5% | — | — |
Non-religiousPopulation | 66.4% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Salem, OH metro area? 100,704 residents across 1 counties.
Demographics
17% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 16pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+22 on average nationally.
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Turnout in Salem, OH
How competitive is Salem, OH?
Do voters in Salem, OH split their tickets?
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| President vs Senate | R+49.0 | R+37.5 | 11.5pp |