Cortland, NY
Latest: 2024
Leans Republican — shifted 4.5pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 46K residents — 1 counties
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 89.2% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(13) | 3.6% |
▶Black / African American(8) | 1.9% |
▶Asian(6) | 1.4% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(5) | 0.6% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 0.1% |
Multiracial / Other | 3.8% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Catholic | 19.2% | 58.0% |
| Mainline Protestant | 8.5% | 25.6% |
| Evangelical Protestant | 3.8% | 11.6% |
| Other | 1.6% | 4.8% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 0.9% | 2.7% |
| Non-religious | 66.9% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+6.4 |
| 2020 | Trump+1.9 |
| 2016 | Trump+5.6 |
| 2012 | Obama+9.1 |
| 2008 | Obama+10.0 |
| 2004 | Bush+4.1 |
| 2000 | Bush+0.8 |
| 1996 | Clinton+7.8 |
| 1992 | Clinton+0.2 |
Cortland, NY is a metro area that has a population of 46,246. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+6.4. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 46.6% | 53.1% | R+6.4 | R+4.5 |
| 2020 | 47.8% | 49.8% | R+1.9 | D+3.6 |
| 2016 | 43.3% | 48.9% | R+5.6 | R+14.7 |
| 2012 | 53.4% | 44.3% | D+9.1 | R+0.9 |
| 2008 | 54.1% | 44.2% | D+10.0 | D+14.1 |
| 2004 | 46.9% | 51.0% | R+4.1 | R+3.3 |
| 2000 | 46.8% | 47.6% | R+0.8 | R+8.6 |
| 1996 | 46.9% | 39.1% | D+7.8 | D+7.7 |
| 1992 | 37.5% | 37.3% | D+0.2 | D+17.5 |
| 1988 | 40.9% | 58.3% | R+17.4 | D+18.5 |
| 1984 | 31.8% | 67.7% | R+35.9 | R+15.3 |
| 1980 | 34.2% | 54.8% | R+20.6 | D+2.8 |
| 1976 | 38.0% | 61.3% | R+23.4 | D+18.8 |
| 1972 | 28.8% | 71.0% | R+42.1 | R+14.8 |
| 1968 | 33.4% | 60.8% | R+27.3 | R+56.0 |
| 1964 | 64.3% | 35.6% | D+28.7 | D+63.7 |
| 1960 | 32.5% | 67.5% | R+35.0 | D+24.2 |
| 1956 | 20.4% | 79.6% | R+59.2 | R+3.5 |
| 1952 | 21.6% | 77.3% | R+55.7 | R+17.2 |
| 1948 | 29.7% | 68.3% | R+38.6 | — |
What defines Cortland, NY?
Cortland, NY has been won by both parties in the last 6 presidential elections (2D, 4R) — a genuine swing geography.
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Counties in Cortland, NY
2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.
Sort:
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cortland | 46K | R+6.4 | 10,290 | 11,706 | 22,063 | 100.0% |
1 countiesTotal votes: 22,063
Ask the Historian
Explore Cortland, NY's political evolution with the Historian
Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- The 2020 election was decided by just 1.9 points — razor-thin
- Won by both parties in recent history — Democrats most recently in 2012, Republicans in 2024
- Swung 4.5 points toward Republican between 2020 and 2024
Who Lives Here
A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.
Census race profile
Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.
| Group | Cortland, NY | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 89.2% | 57.4% |
Multiracial / Other | 3.8% | 4.0% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(13) | 3.6% | 19.3% |
▶Black / African American(8) | 1.9% | 12.2% |
▶Asian(6) | 1.4% | 6.0% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(5) | 0.6% | 0.9% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 0.1% | 0.9% |
Method notes
Religious Adherents
Population that are religious adherents:
33.1%
Catholic-Evangelical edge: +42.0pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Catholic-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Democratic-leaning urban and suburban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19.2% | 58.0% | — | — | |
| 8.5% | 25.6% | — | — | |
| 3.8% | 11.6% | — | — | |
| 1.6% | 4.8% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 0.9% | 2.7% | — | — |
Non-religiousPopulation | 66.9% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Cortland, NY metro area? 46,246 residents across 1 counties.
Demographics
Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.
Population & electorate
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Total population
46K
Share of U.S. population
0.01%
Voting-age population
73.7%
Economic profile
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Median household income
$70,418
Poverty rate
12.8%
College degree
29.1%
Homeownership
66.3%
Community profile
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Median age
37.0 yrs
Age 18–29
23.9%
Age 65+
17.1%
Foreign born
2.8%
Non-English at home
5.6%
English only
94.4%
Turnout in Cortland, NY
Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.
64.8%
+1.2pp
34,065
1988–2024
How competitive is Cortland, NY?
Tilt RAvg margin: R+4.6 (last 3 elections)
2008
D+10.0
2012
D+9.1
2016
R+5.6
2020
R+1.9
2024
R+6.4
16.4pp
3
D+1.0
Do voters in Cortland, NY split their tickets?
Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.
Heavy splitting (27/100)
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| President vs Senate | R+6.4 | R+2.2 | 4.2pp |
Average divergence across office pairs: 13.4pp
Located In
Cortland, NY sits inside these higher-level geographies.
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