How did Vermillion, SD vote in the 2024 presidential election?

Vermillion, SD voted Democratic in 2024 with a margin of D+6.5. Kamala D Harris received 2,944 votes and Donald Trump received 2,574 out of 5,657 total votes cast, a 4.5-point shift toward Republicans from 2020.

What is Vermillion, SD's political history?

Vermillion, SD has 34 presidential elections on record, spanning 1892 to 2024. It has voted Democratic in every presidential election since 1988. The largest single-election swing was 63.7 points in 1912.

What are the demographics of Vermillion, SD?

Vermillion, SD has a population of 15,219 according to the 2020 Census. The racial composition is 84.2% non-Hispanic white, 3.3% Hispanic, 1.8% Black. About 45% of residents hold a bachelor's degree or higher. Median household income is $56,850.

Which places are most similar to Vermillion, SD?

Based on demographic and electoral similarity analysis, the three most similar metro areas to Vermillion, SD are Pullman, WA, Athens, OH, Mount Pleasant, MI. Similarity is computed using a vector embedding of demographic, economic, and electoral characteristics.

Vermillion, SD

Latest: 2024↓ R+4.5 vs 2020

Leans Democratic — shifted 4.5pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 15K residents — 1 counties

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Race & ancestry

Group	%
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(12)	84.2%
▶Hispanic / Latino(5)	3.3%
▶Black / African American(6)	1.8%
▶Asian(4)	3.0%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(3)	3.8%
Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander	0.1%
Multiracial / Other	3.9%

View full demographics →

Religious adherence

Tradition	% Pop	% Adherents
Mainline Protestant	15.5%	46.3%
Catholic	9.6%	28.5%
Evangelical Protestant	5.0%	15.0%
Other	3.4%	10.2%
LDS (Mormon)	2.4%	7.2%
Non-religious	66.4%	—

View full religion →

Presidential results

Year	Result
2024	Harris+6.5
2020	Biden+11.0
2016	Clinton+9.8
2012	Obama+15.4
2008	Obama+24.2
2004	Kerry+10.2
2000	Gore+5.4
1996	Clinton+17.4
1992	Clinton+15.9

View full election history →

Vermillion, SD is a metro area that has a population of 15,219. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Democratic with a margin of D+6.5. Akashic Edge tracks 34 presidential elections here, dating back to 1892.

Vermillion, SD Presidential Election Results, 1948–2024
Year	Dem %	Rep %	Margin	Swing
2024	52.0%	45.5%	D+6.5	R+4.5
2020	54.1%	43.1%	D+11.0	D+1.2
2016	51.4%	41.6%	D+9.8	R+5.6
2012	56.5%	41.0%	D+15.4	R+8.8
2008	61.0%	36.8%	D+24.2	D+14.1
2004	54.0%	43.9%	D+10.2	D+4.8
2000	51.7%	46.3%	D+5.4	R+12.1
1996	53.5%	36.0%	D+17.4	D+1.6
1992	46.8%	31.0%	D+15.9	D+5.2
1988	55.0%	44.4%	D+10.6	D+16.6
1984	46.7%	52.6%	R+6.0	D+5.6
1980	36.0%	47.6%	R+11.6	R+10.6
1976	48.9%	49.9%	R+1.0	R+6.7
1972	52.7%	47.0%	D+5.7	D+11.2
1968	45.7%	51.3%	R+5.5	R+23.6
1964	59.1%	40.9%	D+18.1	D+37.3
1960	40.4%	59.6%	R+19.2	R+3.8
1956	42.3%	57.7%	R+15.4	D+24.7
1952	30.0%	70.0%	R+40.1	R+36.7
1948	47.7%	51.1%	R+3.4	—

Political Identity

What defines Vermillion, SD?

It has a predominantly white, college-educated electorate that has shifted sharply toward Democrats in the Trump era.

Constituent Counties

Open in Cartographer

Similarity Explorer

Similar metro areas

Nearest neighbors matched on the same place-page feature set used across the dossier system.

8 visible matches

Pullman, WA

Educated rural competitive

D+8.9

Similarity score97%

Athens, OH

Educated rural competitive

D+10.7

Similarity score95%

Mount Pleasant, MI

Educated rural competitive

R+7.5

Similarity score95%

Stillwater, OK

Educated rural competitive

R+25.3

Similarity score93%

Manhattan, KS

Educated rural competitive

R+16.1

Similarity score93%

Laramie, WY

Educated rural competitive

R+3.1

Similarity score93%

Ames, IA

Educated rural competitive

D+2.8

Similarity score93%

Moscow, ID

Educated rural competitive

R+8.0

Similarity score92%

Constituent Geography

Counties in Vermillion, SD

2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.

Sort:

County	Pop.	Margin	Dem	Rep	Total	Share
Clay	15K	D+6.5	2,944	2,574	5,657	100.0%

1 countiesTotal votes: 5,657

Historian Query

Ask the Historian

Explore Vermillion, SD's political evolution with the Historian

“How has the Vermillion, SD metro area voted in presidential elections?”

Automated Readout

Key Insights

High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.

Has voted Democratic in the last 5 presidential elections
College attainment is 45% — 12pp above the national average. Similar education levels correlate with Democratic lean nationally
Swung 4.5 points toward Republican between 2020 and 2024

Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.

Vermillion, SDCensus ACS 2024Ancestry detail available

Census race profile

Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.

Expand rows for ancestry detail

White (Non-Hispanic) 84.2%Multiracial 3.9%Native American 3.8%Hispanic 3.3%Asian 3.0%Black 1.8%

Group	Vermillion, SD	National
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(12)	84.2%	57.4%
Multiracial / Other	3.9%	4.0%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(3)	3.8%	0.9%
▶Hispanic / Latino(5)	3.3%	19.3%
▶Asian(4)	3.0%	6.0%
▶Black / African American(6)	1.8%	12.2%
Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander	0.1%	0.2%

Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Click rows to expand ancestry detail. Ancestry from ACS B04006, B03001, B02020, B02016. Totals may differ from race — individuals can report multiple ancestries.

Black / African American (estimated remainder) is derived as Black population share minus reported Sub-Saharan African and West Indian ancestry. It is shown as an estimated ancestry detail, not a standalone Census ancestry category.

Religious Adherents

Population that are religious adherents:

33.6%(5.1K people)

U.S. Religion Census 2020

Browse all religions

Catholic-Evangelical edge: +9.0pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Catholic-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Democratic-leaning urban and suburban communities.

Tradition	% Pop	% Adherents	US Pop	US Adherents
Mainline Protestant	15.5%	46.3%	—	—
Catholic	9.6%	28.5%	—	—
Evangelical Protestant	5.0%	15.0%	—	—
Other	3.4%	10.2%	—	—
LDS (Mormon)	2.4%	7.2%	—	—
Non-religiousPopulation	66.4%	—	—	—

Click the chevron to expand denominations. Tradition and denomination rows label both share of total population and share of all religious adherents. Non-religious is shown as a share of total population only.

Who lives in the Vermillion, SD metro area? 15,219 residents across 1 counties.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.

Vermillion, SD vs National15K residents

45% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 12pp above the national average. Places with similar education levels vote D+16 on average nationally.

Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population

Local vs state vs U.S.

15K

local

15KNational 334.9M

Share of U.S. population

Local vs state vs U.S.

0.00%

local

0.00%National 100%

Voting-age population

Local vs state vs U.S.

66.3%

local

66.3%National 75.7%

Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income

Local vs state vs U.S.

$56,850

local

$56,850National $83,960

Poverty rate

Local vs state vs U.S.

19.7%

local

19.7%National 12.5%

College degree

Local vs state vs U.S.

45.4%

local

45.4%National 35.6%

Homeownership

Local vs state vs U.S.

50.8%

local

50.8%National 65.2%

Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age

Local vs state vs U.S.

24.9 yrs

local

24.9 yrsNational 39.1 yrs

Age 18–29

Local vs state vs U.S.

40.0%

local

40.0%National 15.7%

Age 65+

Local vs state vs U.S.

12.2%

local

12.2%National 17.0%

Foreign born

Local vs state vs U.S.

3.8%

local

3.8%National 14.1%

Non-English at home

Local vs state vs U.S.

4.2%

local

4.2%National 22.2%

English only

Local vs state vs U.S.

95.8%

local

95.8%National 77.8%

Voter Turnout

Turnout in Vermillion, SD

Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.

2024 Turnout

56.1%

vs Previous

-0.4pp

Voting-Age Pop

10,091

History

1988–2024

Competitiveness

How competitive is Vermillion, SD?

Lean DAvg margin: D+9.1 (last 3 elections)

2008

D+24.2

2012

D+15.4

2016

D+9.8

2020

D+11.0

2024

D+6.5

Elasticity

17.7pp

margin range

Party Flips

last 30 years

5-Elec Avg

D+13.4

Ticket-Splitting

Do voters in Vermillion, SD split their tickets?

Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.

ConsistencyHeavy splitting (0/100)

2022 Office Comparisons

Offices	Margin A	Margin B	Split
Senate vs Governor	R+10.2	D+11.1	21.3pp

Average divergence across office pairs: 29.8pp

Containing Geography

Located In

Vermillion, SD sits inside these higher-level geographies.

South Dakota(State)

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