Greensboro-High Point, NC
Latest: 2024
Competitive — 786K residents — 3 counties
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 54.2% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(19) | 10.5% |
▶Black / African American(16) | 26.8% |
▶Asian(6) | 4.0% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(10) | 0.4% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2) | 0.3% |
Multiracial / Other | 4.1% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 24.6% | 49.2% |
| Mainline Protestant | 10.0% | 19.9% |
| Catholic | 7.8% | 15.7% |
| Other | 4.0% | 8.0% |
| Black Protestant | 3.5% | 7.0% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 0.7% | 1.3% |
| Orthodox Christian | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Non-religious | 50.0% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Harris+0.2 |
| 2020 | Biden+2.3 |
| 2016 | Clinton+0.6 |
| 2012 | Obama+0.6 |
| 2008 | Obama+3.9 |
| 2004 | Bush+10.9 |
| 2000 | Bush+12.0 |
| 1996 | Dole+6.0 |
| 1992 | Bush+0.9 |
Greensboro-High Point, NC is a metro area that has a population of 786,419. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Democratic with a margin of D+0.2. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 49.4% | 49.2% | D+0.2 | R+2.1 |
| 2020 | 50.5% | 48.2% | D+2.3 | D+1.6 |
| 2016 | 48.5% | 47.9% | D+0.6 | 0.0 |
| 2012 | 49.8% | 49.1% | D+0.6 | R+3.2 |
| 2008 | 51.5% | 47.6% | D+3.9 | D+14.8 |
| 2004 | 44.3% | 55.2% | R+10.9 | D+1.0 |
| 2000 | 43.7% | 55.6% | R+12.0 | R+5.9 |
| 1996 | 43.0% | 49.1% | R+6.0 | R+5.1 |
| 1992 | 42.2% | 43.2% | R+0.9 | D+18.4 |
| 1988 | 40.1% | 59.4% | R+19.3 | D+9.7 |
| 1984 | 35.4% | 64.4% | R+29.0 | R+17.5 |
| 1980 | 42.3% | 53.8% | R+11.5 | R+14.2 |
| 1976 | 51.1% | 48.4% | D+2.7 | D+46.1 |
| 1972 | 27.5% | 70.9% | R+43.4 | R+26.4 |
| 1968 | 28.1% | 45.1% | R+17.0 | R+20.0 |
| 1964 | 51.5% | 48.5% | D+3.0 | D+15.8 |
| 1960 | 43.6% | 56.4% | R+12.8 | D+3.8 |
| 1956 | 41.7% | 58.3% | R+16.6 | R+14.5 |
| 1952 | 48.9% | 51.1% | R+2.1 | R+13.0 |
| 1948 | 51.0% | 40.2% | D+10.8 | — |
What defines Greensboro-High Point, NC?
Greensboro-High Point, NC has been won by both parties in the last 6 presidential elections (5D, 1R) — a genuine swing geography. It has a plurality-minority electorate (46% nonwhite) where demographic change is reshaping the political map.
Constituent Counties
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Counties in Greensboro-High Point, NC
2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.
Sort:
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guilford | 548K | D+21.8 | 171,118 | 109,077 | 285,053 | 69.4% |
| Randolph | 146K | R+57.1 | 15,951 | 59,357 | 76,008 | 18.5% |
| Rockingham | 92K | R+35.8 | 15,676 | 33,447 | 49,595 | 12.1% |
3 countiesTotal votes: 410,656
Ask the Historian
Explore Greensboro-High Point, NC's political evolution with the Historian
Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Democratic in the last 5 presidential elections
- The 2024 election was decided by just 0.2 points — razor-thin
- Won by both parties in recent history — Democrats most recently in 2024, Republicans in 2004
Who Lives Here
A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.
Census race profile
Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.
| Group | Local | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 54.2% | 57.4% |
▶Black / African American(16) | 26.8% | 12.2% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(19) | 10.5% | 19.3% |
Multiracial / Other | 4.1% | 4.0% |
▶Asian(6) | 4.0% | 6.0% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(10) | 0.4% | 0.9% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2) | 0.3% | 0.9% |
Method notes
Religious Adherents
Population that are religious adherents:
50.0%
Catholic-Evangelical edge: -38.1pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24.6% | 49.2% | — | — | |
| 10.0% | 19.9% | — | — | |
| 7.8% | 15.7% | — | — | |
| 4.0% | 8.0% | — | — | |
| 3.5% | 7.0% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 0.7% | 1.3% | — | — |
| 0.1% | 0.2% | — | — | |
Non-religiousPopulation | 50.0% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Greensboro-High Point, NC metro area? 786,419 residents across 3 counties.
Demographics
Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.
Population & electorate
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Total population
786K
Share of U.S. population
0.23%
Voting-age population
74.6%
Economic profile
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Median household income
$65,807
Poverty rate
14.8%
College degree
32.5%
Homeownership
63.8%
Community profile
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Median age
39.1 yrs
Age 18–29
16.9%
Age 65+
17.0%
Foreign born
9.9%
Non-English at home
14.9%
English only
85.1%
Turnout in Greensboro-High Point, NC
Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.
70.0%
+0.9pp
586,781
1988–2024
How competitive is Greensboro-High Point, NC?
TossupAvg margin: D+1.0 (last 3 elections)
2008
D+3.9
2012
D+0.6
2016
D+0.6
2020
D+2.3
2024
D+0.2
3.6pp
1
D+1.5
Do voters in Greensboro-High Point, NC split their tickets?
Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.
Moderate splitting (51/100)
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| President vs Governor | D+0.2 | D+18.6 | 18.3pp |
Average divergence across office pairs: 9.8pp
Located In
Greensboro-High Point, NC sits inside these higher-level geographies.
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