Hailey, ID
Safe Democratic — shifted 4.7pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 31K residents — 3 counties
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 70.4% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(11) | 23.4% |
▶Black / African American(4) | 0.4% |
▶Asian(3) | 0.5% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(3) | 0.1% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(4) | 1.7% |
Multiracial / Other | 3.6% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Catholic | 13.4% | 37.4% |
| Other | 12.9% | 36.1% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 9.9% | 27.8% |
| Evangelical Protestant | 7.1% | 19.9% |
| Mainline Protestant | 2.4% | 6.6% |
| Non-religious | 64.3% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Harris+17.1 |
| 2020 | Biden+21.7 |
| 2016 | Clinton+14.9 |
| 2012 | Obama+9.2 |
| 2008 | Obama+19.8 |
| 2004 | Kerry+5.7 |
| 2000 | Bush+6.4 |
| 1996 | Clinton+4.3 |
| 1992 | Clinton+4.0 |
Hailey, ID is a metro area that has a population of 31,433. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Democratic with a margin of D+17.1. Akashic Edge tracks 33 presidential elections here, dating back to 1896.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 57.3% | 40.2% | D+17.1 | R+4.7 |
| 2020 | 59.3% | 37.6% | D+21.7 | D+6.8 |
| 2016 | 52.7% | 37.8% | D+14.9 | D+5.8 |
| 2012 | 53.2% | 44.1% | D+9.2 | R+10.6 |
| 2008 | 58.8% | 39.0% | D+19.8 | D+14.1 |
| 2004 | 52.3% | 46.5% | D+5.7 | D+12.1 |
| 2000 | 42.9% | 49.3% | R+6.4 | R+10.7 |
| 1996 | 43.3% | 39.0% | D+4.3 | D+0.3 |
| 1992 | 34.4% | 30.4% | D+4.0 | D+18.7 |
| 1988 | 41.6% | 56.2% | R+14.6 | D+20.1 |
| 1984 | 31.9% | 66.7% | R+34.8 | R+10.5 |
| 1980 | 30.9% | 55.1% | R+24.2 | R+7.4 |
| 1976 | 40.2% | 57.0% | R+16.8 | D+18.7 |
| 1972 | 30.3% | 65.8% | R+35.5 | R+6.7 |
| 1968 | 28.4% | 57.2% | R+28.8 | R+22.7 |
| 1964 | 47.0% | 53.0% | R+6.0 | R+3.7 |
| 1960 | 48.8% | 51.2% | R+2.3 | D+16.5 |
| 1956 | 40.5% | 59.4% | R+18.9 | D+11.7 |
| 1952 | 34.7% | 65.2% | R+30.5 | R+33.3 |
| 1948 | 50.7% | 47.9% | D+2.8 | — |
What defines Hailey, ID?
It has a moderately diverse, middle-class electorate where education levels and suburban growth shape the partisan balance.
Constituent Counties
Similar metro areas
Counties in Hailey, ID
Ask the Historian
Key Insights
- Has voted Democratic in the last 5 presidential elections
- College attainment is 41% — 8pp above the national average. Similar education levels correlate with Democratic lean nationally
- Swung 4.7 points toward Republican between 2020 and 2024
Who Lives Here
| Group | Hailey, ID | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 70.4% | 57.4% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(11) | 23.4% | 19.3% |
Multiracial / Other | 3.6% | 4.0% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(4) | 1.7% | 0.9% |
▶Asian(3) | 0.5% | 6.0% |
▶Black / African American(4) | 0.4% | 12.2% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(3) | 0.1% | 0.9% |
Religious Adherents
Catholic-Evangelical edge: +13.1pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Catholic-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Democratic-leaning urban and suburban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13.4% | 37.4% | — | — | |
| 12.9% | 36.1% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 9.9% | 27.8% | — | — |
| 7.1% | 19.9% | — | — | |
| 2.4% | 6.6% | — | — | |
Non-religiousPopulation | 64.3% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Hailey, ID metro area? 31,433 residents across 3 counties.
Demographics
41% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 8pp above the national average. Places with similar education levels vote D+16 on average nationally.
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Turnout in Hailey, ID
How competitive is Hailey, ID?
Do voters in Hailey, ID split their tickets?
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| Senate vs Governor | D+16.1 | D+1.4 | 14.7pp |