Vineyard Haven, MA
Safe Democratic — shifted 4.6pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 21K residents — 1 counties
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 80.0% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(6) | 3.3% |
▶Black / African American(10) | 2.7% |
▶Asian(4) | 1.5% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(4) | 0.2% |
Native American / Alaska Native | 1.1% |
Multiracial / Other | 11.5% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Other | 9.5% | 38.4% |
| Mainline Protestant | 8.4% | 34.2% |
| Catholic | 5.6% | 22.6% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 1.5% | 6.1% |
| Evangelical Protestant | 1.2% | 4.8% |
| Non-religious | 75.4% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Harris+52.4 |
| 2020 | Biden+56.9 |
| 2016 | Clinton+50.0 |
| 2012 | Obama+47.3 |
| 2008 | Obama+51.8 |
| 2004 | Kerry+46.6 |
| 2000 | Gore+35.7 |
| 1996 | Clinton+44.1 |
| 1992 | Clinton+31.3 |
Vineyard Haven, MA is a metro area that has a population of 20,933. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Democratic with a margin of D+52.4. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 74.8% | 22.5% | D+52.4 | R+4.6 |
| 2020 | 77.5% | 20.6% | D+56.9 | D+6.9 |
| 2016 | 70.9% | 20.9% | D+50.0 | D+2.6 |
| 2012 | 72.9% | 25.6% | D+47.3 | R+4.5 |
| 2008 | 75.0% | 23.1% | D+51.8 | D+5.2 |
| 2004 | 72.7% | 26.0% | D+46.6 | D+11.0 |
| 2000 | 61.8% | 26.1% | D+35.7 | R+8.4 |
| 1996 | 66.7% | 22.6% | D+44.1 | D+12.9 |
| 1992 | 54.4% | 23.2% | D+31.3 | D+2.0 |
| 1988 | 64.0% | 34.7% | D+29.2 | D+20.7 |
| 1984 | 54.1% | 45.5% | D+8.6 | R+1.8 |
| 1980 | 43.9% | 33.5% | D+10.4 | D+7.5 |
| 1976 | 48.9% | 46.1% | D+2.9 | D+10.1 |
| 1972 | 46.1% | 53.3% | R+7.2 | R+6.0 |
| 1968 | 48.2% | 49.3% | R+1.1 | R+37.6 |
| 1964 | 68.0% | 31.6% | D+36.5 | D+58.3 |
| 1960 | 39.0% | 60.8% | R+21.8 | D+43.9 |
| 1956 | 17.1% | 82.8% | R+65.7 | R+13.4 |
| 1952 | 23.8% | 76.0% | R+52.3 | R+11.6 |
| 1948 | 29.0% | 69.7% | R+40.7 | — |
What defines Vineyard Haven, MA?
It has a predominantly white, college-educated electorate that has shifted sharply toward Democrats in the Trump era.
Constituent Counties
Similar metro areas
Counties in Vineyard Haven, MA
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dukes | 21K | D+52.4 | 9,137 | 2,745 | 12,209 | 100.0% |
Ask the Historian
Key Insights
- Has voted Democratic in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Democratic landslide with a 52.4% margin
- College attainment is 52% — 19pp above the national average. Similar education levels correlate with Democratic lean nationally
Who Lives Here
| Group | Vineyard Haven, MA | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 80.0% | 57.4% |
Multiracial / Other | 11.5% | 4.0% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(6) | 3.3% | 19.3% |
▶Black / African American(10) | 2.7% | 12.2% |
▶Asian(4) | 1.5% | 6.0% |
Native American / Alaska Native | 1.1% | 0.9% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(4) | 0.2% | 0.9% |
Religious Adherents
Catholic-Evangelical edge: +13.4pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Catholic-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Democratic-leaning urban and suburban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9.5% | 38.4% | — | — | |
| 8.4% | 34.2% | — | — | |
| 5.6% | 22.6% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 1.5% | 6.1% | — | — |
| 1.2% | 4.8% | — | — | |
Non-religiousPopulation | 75.4% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Vineyard Haven, MA metro area? 20,933 residents across 1 counties.
Demographics
52% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 19pp above the national average. Places with similar education levels vote D+25 on average nationally.
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Turnout in Vineyard Haven, MA
How competitive is Vineyard Haven, MA?
Do voters in Vineyard Haven, MA split their tickets?
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| President vs Senate | D+52.4 | D+45.9 | 6.5pp |