Houma-Bayou Cane-Thibodaux, LA
Safe Republican — 202K residents — 2 counties
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 68.7% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(13) | 6.6% |
▶Black / African American(7) | 15.8% |
▶Asian(6) | 0.9% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(4) | 0.2% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(4) | 4.0% |
Multiracial / Other | 4.1% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Catholic | 40.4% | 69.0% |
| Evangelical Protestant | 12.6% | 21.5% |
| Black Protestant | 1.9% | 3.3% |
| Mainline Protestant | 1.9% | 3.2% |
| Other | 1.8% | 3.0% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 0.3% | 0.5% |
| Non-religious | 41.5% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+57.0 |
| 2020 | Trump+55.1 |
| 2016 | Trump+52.3 |
| 2012 | Romney+44.7 |
| 2008 | McCain+43.3 |
| 2004 | Bush+26.8 |
| 2000 | Bush+15.3 |
| 1996 | Clinton+15.9 |
| 1992 | Clinton+3.0 |
Houma-Bayou Cane-Thibodaux, LA is a metro area that has a population of 202,438. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+57.0. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 20.9% | 77.9% | R+57.0 | R+1.9 |
| 2020 | 21.7% | 76.8% | R+55.1 | R+2.8 |
| 2016 | 22.3% | 74.7% | R+52.3 | R+7.6 |
| 2012 | 26.6% | 71.4% | R+44.7 | R+1.4 |
| 2008 | 27.0% | 70.4% | R+43.3 | R+16.6 |
| 2004 | 35.8% | 62.6% | R+26.8 | R+11.5 |
| 2000 | 40.8% | 56.1% | R+15.3 | R+31.2 |
| 1996 | 52.7% | 36.7% | D+15.9 | D+13.0 |
| 1992 | 42.0% | 39.0% | D+3.0 | D+14.2 |
| 1988 | 43.0% | 54.2% | R+11.2 | D+26.3 |
| 1984 | 30.0% | 67.5% | R+37.5 | R+26.5 |
| 1980 | 42.1% | 53.1% | R+11.0 | R+11.9 |
| 1976 | 49.0% | 48.1% | D+0.8 | D+44.8 |
| 1972 | 25.4% | 69.4% | R+44.0 | R+44.3 |
| 1968 | 25.4% | 25.1% | D+0.3 | R+22.7 |
| 1964 | 61.5% | 38.5% | D+23.1 | R+28.8 |
| 1960 | 72.6% | 20.7% | D+51.9 | D+79.7 |
| 1956 | 34.4% | 62.3% | R+27.9 | R+39.8 |
| 1952 | 56.0% | 44.0% | D+12.0 | D+6.6 |
| 1948 | 27.8% | 22.4% | D+5.4 | — |
What defines Houma-Bayou Cane-Thibodaux, LA?
Houma-Bayou Cane-Thibodaux, LA has been trending Republican — 12pp redder over the last 4 presidential cycles. It has a working-class electorate (20% college-educated) — a demographic increasingly aligned with Republicans nationwide.
Constituent Counties
Similar metro areas
Counties in Houma-Bayou Cane-Thibodaux, LA
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terrebonne | 106K | R+51.8 | 9,702 | 31,115 | 41,327 | 49.1% |
| Lafourche | 96K | R+62.1 | 7,864 | 34,461 | 42,845 | 50.9% |
Ask the Historian
Key Insights
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 57.0% margin
- Shifted 12.3 points toward Republicans over the last 4 elections
Who Lives Here
| Group | Local | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 68.7% | 57.4% |
▶Black / African American(7) | 15.8% | 12.2% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(13) | 6.6% | 19.3% |
Multiracial / Other | 4.1% | 4.0% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(4) | 4.0% | 0.9% |
▶Asian(6) | 0.9% | 6.0% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(4) | 0.2% | 0.9% |
Religious Adherents
Catholic-Evangelical edge: +43.0pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Catholic-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Democratic-leaning urban and suburban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 40.4% | 69.0% | — | — | |
| 12.6% | 21.5% | — | — | |
| 1.9% | 3.3% | — | — | |
| 1.9% | 3.2% | — | — | |
| 1.8% | 3.0% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 0.3% | 0.5% | — | — |
Non-religiousPopulation | 41.5% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Houma-Bayou Cane-Thibodaux, LA metro area? 202,438 residents across 2 counties.
Demographics
20% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 13pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+15 on average nationally.
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Turnout in Houma-Bayou Cane-Thibodaux, LA
How competitive is Houma-Bayou Cane-Thibodaux, LA?
Do voters in Houma-Bayou Cane-Thibodaux, LA split their tickets?
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| President vs Senate | R+55.1 | R+68.0 | 12.9pp |