Lawrence, KS
Latest: 2024
Safe Democratic — 120K residents — 1 counties
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 76.0% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(18) | 7.2% |
▶Black / African American(10) | 4.4% |
▶Asian(6) | 4.3% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(8) | 0.9% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(8) | 1.3% |
Multiracial / Other | 6.8% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Catholic | 9.0% | 31.5% |
| Evangelical Protestant | 8.4% | 29.3% |
| Mainline Protestant | 7.3% | 25.3% |
| Other | 2.5% | 8.6% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 1.8% | 6.2% |
| Black Protestant | 1.5% | 5.2% |
| Non-religious | 71.3% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Harris+37.6 |
| 2020 | Biden+39.4 |
| 2016 | Clinton+32.3 |
| 2012 | Obama+24.5 |
| 2008 | Obama+30.7 |
| 2004 | Kerry+16.1 |
| 2000 | Gore+3.0 |
| 1996 | Clinton+5.3 |
| 1992 | Clinton+15.4 |
Lawrence, KS is a metro area that has a population of 120,302. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Democratic with a margin of D+37.6. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 67.4% | 29.8% | D+37.6 | R+1.8 |
| 2020 | 68.5% | 29.1% | D+39.4 | D+7.1 |
| 2016 | 61.1% | 28.8% | D+32.3 | D+7.9 |
| 2012 | 60.4% | 35.9% | D+24.5 | R+6.2 |
| 2008 | 64.1% | 33.4% | D+30.7 | D+14.6 |
| 2004 | 57.1% | 41.0% | D+16.1 | D+13.2 |
| 2000 | 45.8% | 42.8% | D+3.0 | R+2.3 |
| 1996 | 47.9% | 42.6% | D+5.3 | R+10.1 |
| 1992 | 46.0% | 30.6% | D+15.4 | D+16.6 |
| 1988 | 48.7% | 49.9% | R+1.2 | D+17.7 |
| 1984 | 40.0% | 58.9% | R+18.9 | R+2.4 |
| 1980 | 32.5% | 49.0% | R+16.5 | R+8.0 |
| 1976 | 42.8% | 51.3% | R+8.5 | D+4.9 |
| 1972 | 42.3% | 55.6% | R+13.3 | D+5.0 |
| 1968 | 35.4% | 53.8% | R+18.4 | R+27.5 |
| 1964 | 54.3% | 45.1% | D+9.2 | D+42.3 |
| 1960 | 33.3% | 66.4% | R+33.1 | D+10.9 |
| 1956 | 27.9% | 71.8% | R+43.9 | D+5.2 |
| 1952 | 25.2% | 74.3% | R+49.1 | R+17.9 |
| 1948 | 33.1% | 64.3% | R+31.2 | — |
What defines Lawrence, KS?
It has a predominantly white, college-educated electorate that has shifted sharply toward Democrats in the Trump era.
Constituent Counties
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Ann Arbor, MI
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Columbia, MO
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Lincoln, NE
Educated rural competitive
Counties in Lawrence, KS
2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.
Sort:
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Douglas | 120K | D+37.6 | 39,582 | 17,523 | 58,707 | 100.0% |
1 countiesTotal votes: 58,707
Ask the Historian
Explore Lawrence, KS's political evolution with the Historian
Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Democratic in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Democratic landslide with a 37.6% margin
- College attainment is 53% — 20pp above the national average. Similar education levels correlate with Democratic lean nationally
Who Lives Here
A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.
Census race profile
Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.
| Group | Lawrence, KS | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 76.0% | 57.4% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(18) | 7.2% | 19.3% |
Multiracial / Other | 6.8% | 4.0% |
▶Black / African American(10) | 4.4% | 12.2% |
▶Asian(6) | 4.3% | 6.0% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(8) | 1.3% | 0.9% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(8) | 0.9% | 0.9% |
Method notes
Religious Adherents
Population that are religious adherents:
28.7%
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | 31.5% | — | — | |
| 8.4% | 29.3% | — | — | |
| 7.3% | 25.3% | — | — | |
| 2.5% | 8.6% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 1.8% | 6.2% | — | — |
| 1.5% | 5.2% | — | — | |
Non-religiousPopulation | 71.3% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Lawrence, KS metro area? 120,302 residents across 1 counties.
Demographics
Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.
53% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 20pp above the national average. Places with similar education levels vote D+25 on average nationally.
Population & electorate
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Total population
120K
Share of U.S. population
0.04%
Voting-age population
75.3%
Economic profile
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Median household income
$69,746
Poverty rate
14.7%
College degree
53.2%
Homeownership
50.1%
Community profile
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Median age
31.6 yrs
Age 18–29
30.3%
Age 65+
13.9%
Foreign born
6.0%
Non-English at home
8.8%
English only
91.2%
Turnout in Lawrence, KS
Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.
64.8%
+1.2pp
90,586
1988–2024
How competitive is Lawrence, KS?
Safe DAvg margin: D+36.4 (last 3 elections)
2008
D+30.7
2012
D+24.5
2016
D+32.3
2020
D+39.4
2024
D+37.6
14.9pp
0
D+32.9
Do voters in Lawrence, KS split their tickets?
Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.
Heavy splitting (0/100)
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| Senate vs Governor | D+35.9 | D+53.1 | 17.2pp |
Average divergence across office pairs: 33.7pp
Located In
Lawrence, KS sits inside these higher-level geographies.
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