Lawrenceburg, TN
Safe Republican — shifted 4.2pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 45K residents — 1 counties
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 92.1% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(8) | 2.8% |
▶Black / African American(3) | 1.4% |
▶Asian(4) | 0.4% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(3) | 0.3% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(1) | 0.1% |
Multiracial / Other | 3.3% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 48.6% | 81.9% |
| Mainline Protestant | 5.4% | 9.1% |
| Catholic | 2.8% | 4.7% |
| Other | 1.3% | 2.2% |
| Black Protestant | 1.2% | 2.0% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 0.7% | 1.3% |
| Non-religious | 40.7% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+69.1 |
| 2020 | Trump+64.9 |
| 2016 | Trump+61.3 |
| 2012 | Romney+42.9 |
| 2008 | McCain+33.7 |
| 2004 | Bush+20.2 |
| 2000 | Bush+6.7 |
| 1996 | Clinton+0.5 |
| 1992 | Clinton+8.7 |
Lawrenceburg, TN is a metro area that has a population of 45,385. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+69.1. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 15.0% | 84.1% | R+69.1 | R+4.2 |
| 2020 | 17.1% | 81.9% | R+64.9 | R+3.6 |
| 2016 | 18.0% | 79.3% | R+61.3 | R+18.3 |
| 2012 | 27.8% | 70.8% | R+42.9 | R+9.2 |
| 2008 | 32.2% | 66.0% | R+33.7 | R+13.5 |
| 2004 | 39.6% | 59.8% | R+20.2 | R+13.5 |
| 2000 | 45.9% | 52.6% | R+6.7 | R+7.2 |
| 1996 | 46.3% | 45.8% | D+0.5 | R+8.2 |
| 1992 | 49.2% | 40.5% | D+8.7 | D+21.0 |
| 1988 | 43.8% | 56.1% | R+12.3 | R+7.3 |
| 1984 | 47.2% | 52.2% | R+5.0 | R+1.6 |
| 1980 | 45.1% | 48.5% | R+3.3 | R+21.2 |
| 1976 | 58.6% | 40.7% | D+17.8 | D+55.9 |
| 1972 | 29.8% | 67.9% | R+38.1 | R+17.7 |
| 1968 | 20.8% | 41.3% | R+20.4 | R+29.0 |
| 1964 | 54.3% | 45.7% | D+8.6 | D+16.5 |
| 1960 | 45.7% | 53.7% | R+8.0 | R+3.9 |
| 1956 | 47.6% | 51.7% | R+4.1 | R+1.1 |
| 1952 | 48.1% | 51.1% | R+2.9 | R+14.1 |
| 1948 | 53.4% | 42.2% | D+11.2 | — |
What defines Lawrenceburg, TN?
Lawrenceburg, TN has been trending Republican — 26pp redder over the last 4 presidential cycles. It has a working-class, predominantly white electorate — strong Republican base territory.
Constituent Counties
Similar metro areas
Counties in Lawrenceburg, TN
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lawrence | 45K | R+69.1 | 2,939 | 16,429 | 19,533 | 100.0% |
Ask the Historian
Key Insights
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 69.1% margin
- Shifted 26.1 points toward Republicans over the last 4 elections
Who Lives Here
| Group | Lawrenceburg, TN | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 92.1% | 57.4% |
Multiracial / Other | 3.3% | 4.0% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(8) | 2.8% | 19.3% |
▶Black / African American(3) | 1.4% | 12.2% |
▶Asian(4) | 0.4% | 6.0% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(3) | 0.3% | 0.9% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(1) | 0.1% | 0.2% |
Religious Adherents
Catholic-Evangelical edge: -81.7pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 48.6% | 81.9% | — | — | |
| 5.4% | 9.1% | — | — | |
| 2.8% | 4.7% | — | — | |
| 1.3% | 2.2% | — | — | |
| 1.2% | 2.0% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 0.7% | 1.3% | — | — |
Non-religiousPopulation | 40.7% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Lawrenceburg, TN metro area? 45,385 residents across 1 counties.
Demographics
15% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 18pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+22 on average nationally.
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Turnout in Lawrenceburg, TN
How competitive is Lawrenceburg, TN?
Do voters in Lawrenceburg, TN split their tickets?
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| President vs Senate | R+69.1 | R+66.4 | 2.7pp |