How did Lock Haven, PA vote in the 2024 presidential election?

Lock Haven, PA voted Republican in 2024 with a margin of R+40.9. Kamala D Harris received 5,395 votes and Donald Trump received 12,965 out of 18,522 total votes cast, a 4.6-point shift toward Republicans from 2020.

What is Lock Haven, PA's political history?

Lock Haven, PA has 40 presidential elections on record, spanning 1868 to 2024. It has voted Republican in every presidential election since 2000. The largest single-election swing was 61.2 points in 1964.

What are the demographics of Lock Haven, PA?

Lock Haven, PA has a population of 37,798 according to the 2020 Census. The racial composition is 93.6% non-Hispanic white, 1.9% Hispanic. About 22% of residents hold a bachelor's degree or higher. Median household income is $60,816.

Which places are most similar to Lock Haven, PA?

Based on demographic and electoral similarity analysis, the three most similar metro areas to Lock Haven, PA are Tiffin, OH, Indiana, PA, Madison, IN. Similarity is computed using a vector embedding of demographic, economic, and electoral characteristics.

Lock Haven, PA

Latest: 2024↓ R+4.6 vs 2020

Safe Republican — shifted 4.6pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 38K residents — 1 counties

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POPULATION
38K
COUNTIES
1
PRES MARGIN
R+40.9
2024
TURNOUT
65.1%
MEDIAN INCOME
$61K

Place Story

What defines Lock Haven, PA

Methodology

Reliably Republican since 2000
- Safe R
- 7 straight R wins
Mobilization target, not persuasion target.
Biggest swing: D+61.2 in 1964
- 1960 → 1964
Volatile behavior — treat historical margins with caution.
Demographically distinctive: 94% non-Hispanic white (+36pp vs national)
- 94% non-Hispanic white (+36pp vs national)
- 2% Hispanic (-17pp vs national)
Ticket-splitting: President ran 16.5pp ahead of Senate
- Divergence 16.5pp in 2000
Persuadable voters present — downballot races can run independent of presidential.
Evangelical edge: 16pp over Catholics
- 23% Catholic / 39% Evangelical
Correlates nationally with Republican-leaning behavior.

Constituent Counties

Open in Cartographer

Similarity Explorer

Similar metro areas

Nearest neighbors matched on the same place-page feature set used across the dossier system.

8 visible matches

Tiffin, OH

Small-town rural republican 3

R+37.5

Similarity score95%

Indiana, PA

Small-town rural republican 3

R+39.1

Similarity score94%

Madison, IN

Small-town rural republican 3

R+36.1

Similarity score93%

Zanesville, OH

Small-town rural republican 3

R+43.9

Similarity score92%

Cambridge, OH

Small-town rural republican 3

R+52.0

Similarity score91%

Gallipolis, OH

Small-town rural republican 3

R+59.4

Similarity score91%

Winchester, TN

Small-town rural republican 3

R+53.2

Similarity score91%

Bucyrus, OH

Small-town rural republican 3

R+53.0

Similarity score91%

Constituent Geography

Counties in Lock Haven, PA

2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.

Sort:

County	Pop.	Margin	Dem	Rep	Total	Share
Clinton	38K	R+40.9	5,395	12,965	18,522	100.0%

1 countiesTotal votes: 18,522

Historian Query

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Explore Lock Haven, PA's political evolution with the Historian

“How has the Lock Haven, PA metro area voted in presidential elections?”

Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.

Lock Haven, PACensus ACS 2024Ancestry detail available

Census race profile

Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.

Expand rows for ancestry detail

White (Non-Hispanic) 93.6%Multiracial 2.8%Hispanic 1.9%Black 1.0%Asian 0.6%

Group	Lock Haven, PA	National
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)	93.6%	57.4%
Multiracial / Other	2.8%	4.0%
▶Hispanic / Latino(8)	1.9%	19.3%
▶Black / African American(6)	1.0%	12.2%
▶Asian(6)	0.6%	6.0%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(3)	0.1%	0.9%
Native American / Alaska Native	0.1%	0.9%

Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Click rows to expand ancestry detail. Ancestry from ACS B04006, B03001, B02020, B02016. Totals may differ from race — individuals can report multiple ancestries.

Black / African American (estimated remainder) is derived as Black population share minus reported Sub-Saharan African and West Indian ancestry. It is shown as an estimated ancestry detail, not a standalone Census ancestry category.

MENA estimated from ancestry reporting — Census does not have a separate MENA race category. Not shown in bar (overlaps with other race groups).

Religious Adherents

Population that are religious adherents:

33.4%(12.6K people)

U.S. Religion Census 2020

Browse all religions

Catholic-Evangelical edge: -20.4pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.

Tradition	% Pop	% Adherents	US Pop	US Adherents
Evangelical Protestant	13.0%	39.0%	—	—
Mainline Protestant	11.2%	33.6%	—	—
Catholic	7.7%	23.2%	—	—
Other	1.4%	4.2%	—	—
LDS (Mormon)	0.9%	2.7%	—	—
Non-religiousPopulation	66.6%	—	—	—

Click the chevron to expand denominations. Tradition and denomination rows label both share of total population and share of all religious adherents. Non-religious is shown as a share of total population only.

Explore Evangelical Protestant adherence nationally

Who lives in the Lock Haven, PA metro area? 37,798 residents across 1 counties.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.

Lock Haven, PA vs National38K residents

22% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 12pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+15 on average nationally.

Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population

Local vs state vs U.S.

38K

local

38KNational 334.9M

Share of U.S. population

Local vs state vs U.S.

0.01%

local

0.01%National 100%

Voting-age population

Local vs state vs U.S.

75.3%

local

75.3%National 75.7%

Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income

Local vs state vs U.S.

$60,816

local

$60,816National $83,960

Poverty rate

Local vs state vs U.S.

14.8%

local

14.8%National 12.5%

College degree

Local vs state vs U.S.

21.5%

local

21.5%National 35.6%

Homeownership

Local vs state vs U.S.

72.3%

local

72.3%National 65.2%

Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age

Local vs state vs U.S.

39.8 yrs

local

39.8 yrsNational 39.1 yrs

Age 18–29

Local vs state vs U.S.

19.4%

local

19.4%National 15.7%

Age 65+

Local vs state vs U.S.

20.0%

local

20.0%National 17.0%

Foreign born

Local vs state vs U.S.

1.4%

local

1.4%National 14.1%

Non-English at home

Local vs state vs U.S.

7.2%

local

7.2%National 22.2%

English only

Local vs state vs U.S.

92.8%

local

92.8%National 77.8%

Voter Turnout

Turnout in Lock Haven, PA

Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.

2024 Turnout

65.1%

vs Previous

+3.1pp

Voting-Age Pop

28,444

History

1988–2024

Competitiveness

How competitive is Lock Haven, PA?

Safe RAvg margin: R+37.1 (last 3 elections)

2008

R+2.8

2012

R+11.8

2016

R+34.0

2020

R+36.3

2024

R+40.9

Elasticity

38.1pp

margin range

Party Flips

last 30 years

5-Elec Avg

R+25.2

Ticket-Splitting

Do voters in Lock Haven, PA split their tickets?

Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.

ConsistencyModerate splitting (68/100)

2024 Office Comparisons

Offices	Margin A	Margin B	Split
President vs Senate	R+40.9	R+35.4	5.5pp

Average divergence across office pairs: 7.1pp

Containing Geography

Located In

Lock Haven, PA sits inside these higher-level geographies.

Pennsylvania(State)

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