Madison, IN
Safe Republican — 33K residents — 1 counties
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(11) | 91.0% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(7) | 3.5% |
▶Black / African American(3) | 1.0% |
▶Asian(5) | 0.8% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(3) | 0.1% |
Native American / Alaska Native | 0.2% |
Multiracial / Other | 3.5% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 16.8% | 42.1% |
| Mainline Protestant | 11.9% | 29.9% |
| Catholic | 8.6% | 21.6% |
| Other | 1.7% | 4.3% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 1.0% | 2.5% |
| Black Protestant | 0.8% | 2.1% |
| Non-religious | 60.1% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+36.1 |
| 2020 | Trump+33.6 |
| 2016 | Trump+30.9 |
| 2012 | Romney+10.4 |
| 2008 | McCain+5.9 |
| 2004 | Bush+20.4 |
| 2000 | Bush+12.4 |
| 1996 | Clinton+5.2 |
| 1992 | Clinton+4.3 |
Madison, IN is a metro area that has a population of 32,998. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+36.1. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 31.0% | 67.1% | R+36.1 | R+2.5 |
| 2020 | 32.2% | 65.8% | R+33.6 | R+2.7 |
| 2016 | 31.7% | 62.6% | R+30.9 | R+20.5 |
| 2012 | 43.5% | 53.9% | R+10.4 | R+4.5 |
| 2008 | 46.3% | 52.2% | R+5.9 | D+14.5 |
| 2004 | 39.4% | 59.8% | R+20.4 | R+8.0 |
| 2000 | 43.2% | 55.6% | R+12.4 | R+17.6 |
| 1996 | 46.2% | 41.0% | D+5.2 | D+0.9 |
| 1992 | 41.8% | 37.4% | D+4.3 | D+18.4 |
| 1988 | 42.6% | 56.6% | R+14.1 | D+5.9 |
| 1984 | 39.2% | 59.2% | R+20.0 | R+9.8 |
| 1980 | 42.0% | 52.2% | R+10.2 | R+15.0 |
| 1976 | 51.7% | 46.9% | D+4.8 | D+26.9 |
| 1972 | 38.4% | 60.5% | R+22.1 | R+12.7 |
| 1968 | 39.9% | 49.3% | R+9.4 | R+25.7 |
| 1964 | 57.8% | 41.5% | D+16.3 | D+26.8 |
| 1960 | 44.5% | 55.1% | R+10.6 | D+10.2 |
| 1956 | 39.5% | 60.3% | R+20.8 | R+2.5 |
| 1952 | 40.6% | 58.9% | R+18.3 | R+9.3 |
| 1948 | 44.8% | 53.8% | R+9.0 | — |
What defines Madison, IN?
Madison, IN has been trending Republican — 26pp redder over the last 4 presidential cycles. It has a working-class, predominantly white electorate — strong Republican base territory.
Constituent Counties
Similar metro areas
Counties in Madison, IN
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jefferson | 33K | R+36.1 | 4,442 | 9,614 | 14,327 | 100.0% |
Ask the Historian
Key Insights
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 36.1% margin
- Shifted 25.7 points toward Republicans over the last 4 elections
Who Lives Here
| Group | Madison, IN | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(11) | 91.0% | 57.4% |
Multiracial / Other | 3.5% | 4.0% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(7) | 3.5% | 19.3% |
▶Black / African American(3) | 1.0% | 12.2% |
▶Asian(5) | 0.8% | 6.0% |
Native American / Alaska Native | 0.2% | 0.9% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(3) | 0.1% | 0.9% |
Religious Adherents
Catholic-Evangelical edge: -25.0pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16.8% | 42.1% | — | — | |
| 11.9% | 29.9% | — | — | |
| 8.6% | 21.6% | — | — | |
| 1.7% | 4.3% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 1.0% | 2.5% | — | — |
| 0.8% | 2.1% | — | — | |
Non-religiousPopulation | 60.1% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Madison, IN metro area? 32,998 residents across 1 counties.
Demographics
20% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 13pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+15 on average nationally.
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Turnout in Madison, IN
How competitive is Madison, IN?
Do voters in Madison, IN split their tickets?
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| President vs Governor | R+36.1 | R+26.5 | 9.6pp |
| Senate vs Governor | R+35.1 | R+26.5 | 8.6pp |
| President vs Senate | R+36.1 | R+35.1 | 1.0pp |