How did Longview-Kelso, WA vote in the 2024 presidential election?

Longview-Kelso, WA voted Republican in 2024 with a margin of R+19.8. Kamala D Harris received 22,825 votes and Donald Trump received 34,580 out of 59,325 total votes cast, a 2.4-point shift toward Republicans from 2020.

What is Longview-Kelso, WA's political history?

Longview-Kelso, WA has 34 presidential elections on record, spanning 1892 to 2024. Democrats have won 17 and Republicans 17 of those contests. The largest single-election swing was 53.7 points in 1932.

What are the demographics of Longview-Kelso, WA?

Longview-Kelso, WA has a population of 112,360 according to the 2020 Census. The racial composition is 79.6% non-Hispanic white, 10.5% Hispanic. About 18% of residents hold a bachelor's degree or higher. Median household income is $76,531.

Which places are most similar to Longview-Kelso, WA?

Based on demographic and electoral similarity analysis, the three most similar metro areas to Longview-Kelso, WA are Beaver Dam, WI, Wisconsin Rapids-Marshfield, WI, Fond du Lac, WI. Similarity is computed using a vector embedding of demographic, economic, and electoral characteristics.

Longview-Kelso, WA

Latest: 2024↓ R+2.4 vs 2020

Safe Republican — 112K residents — 1 counties

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Race & ancestry

Group	%
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)	79.6%
▶Hispanic / Latino(12)	10.5%
▶Black / African American(6)	0.7%
▶Asian(6)	1.2%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(5)	0.2%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(7)	1.3%
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(3)	0.4%
Multiracial / Other	6.3%

View full demographics →

Religious adherence

Tradition	% Pop	% Adherents
Evangelical Protestant	23.3%	64.5%
Catholic	5.5%	15.2%
Other	5.4%	15.0%
LDS (Mormon)	3.7%	10.3%
Mainline Protestant	1.9%	5.3%
Non-religious	63.8%	—

View full religion →

Presidential results

Year	Result
2024	Trump+19.8
2020	Trump+17.4
2016	Trump+13.3
2012	Obama+4.4
2008	Obama+11.1
2004	Kerry+3.2
2000	Gore+3.7
1996	Clinton+20.4
1992	Clinton+14.6

View full election history →

Longview-Kelso, WA is a metro area that has a population of 112,360. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+19.8. Akashic Edge tracks 34 presidential elections here, dating back to 1892.

Longview-Kelso, WA Presidential Election Results, 1948–2024
Year	Dem %	Rep %	Margin	Swing
2024	38.5%	58.3%	R+19.8	R+2.4
2020	39.7%	57.1%	R+17.4	R+4.1
2016	38.0%	51.3%	R+13.3	R+17.7
2012	50.5%	46.1%	D+4.4	R+6.7
2008	54.0%	43.0%	D+11.1	D+7.9
2004	50.8%	47.5%	D+3.2	R+0.5
2000	49.3%	45.6%	D+3.7	R+16.7
1996	53.9%	33.5%	D+20.4	D+5.8
1992	43.6%	29.0%	D+14.6	D+0.3
1988	56.5%	42.2%	D+14.3	D+12.7
1984	49.6%	48.0%	D+1.6	D+3.7
1980	43.9%	45.9%	R+2.1	R+10.6
1976	52.7%	44.1%	D+8.5	D+14.8
1972	45.0%	51.2%	R+6.2	R+15.7
1968	51.7%	42.2%	D+9.5	R+35.0
1964	71.9%	27.4%	D+44.5	D+44.7
1960	49.6%	49.8%	R+0.2	R+2.4
1956	51.0%	48.8%	D+2.2	D+6.9
1952	47.3%	52.1%	R+4.7	R+25.8
1948	58.6%	37.6%	D+21.0	—

Political Identity

What defines Longview-Kelso, WA?

Longview-Kelso, WA has been trending Republican — 24pp redder over the last 4 presidential cycles. It has a working-class, predominantly white electorate — strong Republican base territory.

Constituent Counties

Open in Cartographer

Similarity Explorer

Similar metro areas

Nearest neighbors matched on the same place-page feature set used across the dossier system.

8 visible matches

Beaver Dam, WI

Small-town rural republican 2

R+32.9

Similarity score86%

Wisconsin Rapids-Marshfield, WI

Small-town rural republican 2

R+19.9

Similarity score84%

Fond du Lac, WI

Small-town rural republican 2

R+28.7

Similarity score84%

Albany, OR

Small-town rural republican 2

R+24.3

Similarity score84%

Manitowoc, WI

Small-town rural republican

R+23.3

Similarity score84%

Fremont, OH

Small-town rural republican 2

R+30.9

Similarity score83%

Baraboo, WI

Small-town rural republican 2

R+1.7

Similarity score81%

Mason City, IA

Small-town rural republican 2

R+14.2

Similarity score81%

Constituent Geography

Counties in Longview-Kelso, WA

2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.

Sort:

County	Pop.	Margin	Dem	Rep	Total	Share
Cowlitz	112K	R+19.8	22,825	34,580	59,325	100.0%

1 countiesTotal votes: 59,325

Historian Query

Ask the Historian

Explore Longview-Kelso, WA's political evolution with the Historian

“How has the Longview-Kelso, WA metro area voted in presidential elections?”

Automated Readout

Key Insights

High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.

Won by both parties in recent history — Democrats most recently in 2012, Republicans in 2024
Shifted 24.2 points toward Republicans over the last 4 elections
Highly elastic — margins have ranged 30.9 points across recent elections, suggesting a volatile electorate

Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.

Longview-Kelso, WACensus ACS 2024Ancestry detail available

Census race profile

Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.

Expand rows for ancestry detail

White (Non-Hispanic) 79.6%Hispanic 10.5%Multiracial 6.3%Native American 1.3%Asian 1.2%Black 0.7%Native Hawaiian 0.4%

Group	Longview-Kelso, WA	National
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)	79.6%	57.4%
▶Hispanic / Latino(12)	10.5%	19.3%
Multiracial / Other	6.3%	4.0%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(7)	1.3%	0.9%
▶Asian(6)	1.2%	6.0%
▶Black / African American(6)	0.7%	12.2%
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(3)	0.4%	0.2%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(5)	0.2%	0.9%

Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Click rows to expand ancestry detail. Ancestry from ACS B04006, B03001, B02020, B02016. Totals may differ from race — individuals can report multiple ancestries.

Black / African American (estimated remainder) is derived as Black population share minus reported Sub-Saharan African and West Indian ancestry. It is shown as an estimated ancestry detail, not a standalone Census ancestry category.

MENA estimated from ancestry reporting — Census does not have a separate MENA race category. Not shown in bar (overlaps with other race groups).

Religious Adherents

Population that are religious adherents:

36.2%(40.7K people)

U.S. Religion Census 2020

Browse all religions

Catholic-Evangelical edge: -53.7pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.

Tradition	% Pop	% Adherents	US Pop	US Adherents
Evangelical Protestant	23.3%	64.5%	—	—
Catholic	5.5%	15.2%	—	—
Other	5.4%	15.0%	—	—
LDS (Mormon)	3.7%	10.3%	—	—
Mainline Protestant	1.9%	5.3%	—	—
Non-religiousPopulation	63.8%	—	—	—

Click the chevron to expand denominations. Tradition and denomination rows label both share of total population and share of all religious adherents. Non-religious is shown as a share of total population only.

Who lives in the Longview-Kelso, WA metro area? 112,360 residents across 1 counties.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.

Longview-Kelso, WA vs National112K residents

18% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 15pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+22 on average nationally.

Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population

Local vs state vs U.S.

112K

local

112KNational 334.9M

Share of U.S. population

Local vs state vs U.S.

0.03%

local

0.03%National 100%

Voting-age population

Local vs state vs U.S.

76.5%

local

76.5%National 75.7%

Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income

Local vs state vs U.S.

$76,531

local

$76,531National $83,960

Poverty rate

Local vs state vs U.S.

12.2%

local

12.2%National 12.5%

College degree

Local vs state vs U.S.

17.6%

local

17.6%National 35.6%

Homeownership

Local vs state vs U.S.

68.0%

local

68.0%National 65.2%

Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age

Local vs state vs U.S.

41.5 yrs

local

41.5 yrsNational 39.1 yrs

Age 18–29

Local vs state vs U.S.

13.3%

local

13.3%National 15.7%

Age 65+

Local vs state vs U.S.

19.8%

local

19.8%National 17.0%

Foreign born

Local vs state vs U.S.

4.3%

local

4.3%National 14.1%

Non-English at home

Local vs state vs U.S.

7.9%

local

7.9%National 22.2%

English only

Local vs state vs U.S.

92.1%

local

92.1%National 77.8%

Voter Turnout

Turnout in Longview-Kelso, WA

Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.

2024 Turnout

69.0%

vs Previous

-1.1pp

Voting-Age Pop

86,005

History

1988–2024

Competitiveness

How competitive is Longview-Kelso, WA?

Safe RAvg margin: R+16.8 (last 3 elections)

2008

D+11.1

2012

D+4.4

2016

R+13.3

2020

R+17.4

2024

R+19.8

Elasticity

30.9pp

margin range

Party Flips

last 30 years

5-Elec Avg

R+7.0

Ticket-Splitting

Do voters in Longview-Kelso, WA split their tickets?

Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.

ConsistencyHeavy splitting (48/100)

2024 Office Comparisons

Offices	Margin A	Margin B	Split
Senate vs Governor	R+14.9	R+23.9	9.0pp
President vs Senate	R+19.8	R+14.9	5.0pp
President vs Governor	R+19.8	R+23.9	4.0pp

Average divergence across office pairs: 10.3pp

Containing Geography

Located In

Longview-Kelso, WA sits inside these higher-level geographies.

Washington(State)

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