Jacksonville, IL
Latest: 2024
Safe Republican — 38K residents — 2 counties
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 88.2% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(12) | 2.8% |
▶Black / African American(6) | 4.4% |
▶Asian(5) | 0.8% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 0.1% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(1) | 0.1% |
Multiracial / Other | 3.6% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Mainline Protestant | 14.9% | 35.1% |
| Evangelical Protestant | 13.3% | 31.2% |
| Catholic | 11.7% | 27.4% |
| Other | 1.8% | 4.2% |
| Black Protestant | 0.9% | 2.2% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 0.9% | 2.1% |
| Non-religious | 57.4% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+36.7 |
| 2020 | Trump+35.5 |
| 2016 | Trump+33.4 |
| 2012 | Romney+17.0 |
| 2008 | McCain+2.7 |
| 2004 | Bush+25.3 |
| 2000 | Bush+16.0 |
| 1996 | Dole+1.8 |
| 1992 | Bush+1.5 |
Jacksonville, IL is a metro area that has a population of 37,958. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+36.7. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 30.9% | 67.6% | R+36.7 | R+1.2 |
| 2020 | 31.2% | 66.7% | R+35.5 | R+2.1 |
| 2016 | 30.0% | 63.4% | R+33.4 | R+16.4 |
| 2012 | 40.2% | 57.2% | R+17.0 | R+14.3 |
| 2008 | 47.5% | 50.3% | R+2.7 | D+22.6 |
| 2004 | 36.9% | 62.2% | R+25.3 | R+9.3 |
| 2000 | 41.2% | 57.1% | R+16.0 | R+14.2 |
| 1996 | 42.7% | 44.5% | R+1.8 | R+0.3 |
| 1992 | 38.8% | 40.3% | R+1.5 | D+15.8 |
| 1988 | 41.2% | 58.5% | R+17.4 | D+16.0 |
| 1984 | 33.1% | 66.5% | R+33.4 | R+3.6 |
| 1980 | 32.1% | 61.9% | R+29.8 | R+20.4 |
| 1976 | 44.8% | 54.1% | R+9.4 | D+22.9 |
| 1972 | 33.8% | 66.1% | R+32.3 | R+15.5 |
| 1968 | 37.9% | 54.7% | R+16.8 | R+28.4 |
| 1964 | 55.8% | 44.2% | D+11.6 | D+27.2 |
| 1960 | 42.2% | 57.8% | R+15.6 | D+7.8 |
| 1956 | 38.3% | 61.7% | R+23.4 | R+1.5 |
| 1952 | 39.0% | 60.9% | R+21.9 | R+12.8 |
| 1948 | 45.3% | 54.3% | R+9.0 | — |
What defines Jacksonville, IL?
Jacksonville, IL has been trending Republican — 20pp redder over the last 4 presidential cycles.
Constituent Counties
Similar metro areas
Nearest neighbors matched on the same place-page feature set used across the dossier system.
Madison, IN
Small-town rural republican 3
Bradford, PA
Small-town rural republican 3
Wabash, IN
Small-town rural republican 3
Taylorville, IL
Small-town rural republican 3
Hannibal, MO
Small-town rural republican 3
Ashland, OH
Small-town rural republican 3
New Castle, IN
Small-town rural republican 3
Huntington, IN
Small-town rural republican 3
Counties in Jacksonville, IL
2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.
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Ask the Historian
Explore Jacksonville, IL's political evolution with the Historian
Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 36.7% margin
- Shifted 19.7 points toward Republicans over the last 4 elections
Who Lives Here
A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.
Census race profile
Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.
| Group | Jacksonville, IL | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 88.2% | 57.4% |
▶Black / African American(6) | 4.4% | 12.2% |
Multiracial / Other | 3.6% | 4.0% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(12) | 2.8% | 19.3% |
▶Asian(5) | 0.8% | 6.0% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 0.1% | 0.9% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(1) | 0.1% | 0.2% |
Method notes
Religious Adherents
Population that are religious adherents:
42.6%
Catholic-Evangelical edge: -8.2pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14.9% | 35.1% | — | — | |
| 13.3% | 31.2% | — | — | |
| 11.7% | 27.4% | — | — | |
| 1.8% | 4.2% | — | — | |
| 0.9% | 2.2% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 0.9% | 2.1% | — | — |
Non-religiousPopulation | 57.4% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Jacksonville, IL metro area? 37,958 residents across 2 counties.
Demographics
Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.
22% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 11pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+9 on average nationally.
Population & electorate
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Total population
38K
Share of U.S. population
0.01%
Voting-age population
74.5%
Economic profile
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Median household income
$66,360
Poverty rate
13.2%
College degree
22.4%
Homeownership
73.6%
Community profile
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Median age
41.7 yrs
Age 18–29
16.7%
Age 65+
21.2%
Foreign born
1.0%
Non-English at home
2.4%
English only
97.6%
Turnout in Jacksonville, IL
Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.
61.1%
-2.8pp
28,276
1988–2024
How competitive is Jacksonville, IL?
Safe RAvg margin: R+35.2 (last 3 elections)
2008
R+2.7
2012
R+17.0
2016
R+33.4
2020
R+35.5
2024
R+36.7
34.0pp
0
R+25.1
Do voters in Jacksonville, IL split their tickets?
Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.
Heavy splitting (0/100)
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| Senate vs Governor | R+35.0 | R+39.4 | 4.4pp |
Average divergence across office pairs: 18.3pp
Located In
Jacksonville, IL sits inside these higher-level geographies.
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