Madisonville, KY
Latest: 2024
Safe Republican — 45K residents — 1 counties
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(12) | 86.9% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(10) | 2.8% |
▶Black / African American(2) | 5.8% |
▶Asian(3) | 0.6% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 1.2% |
Multiracial / Other | 2.7% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 45.9% | 73.1% |
| Mainline Protestant | 8.3% | 13.2% |
| Black Protestant | 5.2% | 8.4% |
| Catholic | 1.9% | 3.1% |
| Other | 1.4% | 2.2% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 0.8% | 1.3% |
| Non-religious | 37.3% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+50.9 |
| 2020 | Trump+48.0 |
| 2016 | Trump+53.9 |
| 2012 | Romney+39.9 |
| 2008 | McCain+24.9 |
| 2004 | Bush+31.3 |
| 2000 | Bush+16.7 |
| 1996 | Clinton+5.8 |
| 1992 | Clinton+16.3 |
Madisonville, KY is a metro area that has a population of 45,119. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+50.9. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 23.9% | 74.8% | R+50.9 | R+2.9 |
| 2020 | 25.3% | 73.2% | R+48.0 | D+5.9 |
| 2016 | 21.2% | 75.1% | R+53.9 | R+14.0 |
| 2012 | 29.3% | 69.2% | R+39.9 | R+15.1 |
| 2008 | 36.7% | 61.6% | R+24.9 | D+6.4 |
| 2004 | 34.1% | 65.4% | R+31.3 | R+14.6 |
| 2000 | 40.8% | 57.6% | R+16.7 | R+22.5 |
| 1996 | 47.7% | 41.9% | D+5.8 | R+10.5 |
| 1992 | 50.7% | 34.4% | D+16.3 | D+19.6 |
| 1988 | 48.1% | 51.5% | R+3.4 | D+12.8 |
| 1984 | 41.7% | 57.9% | R+16.2 | R+33.0 |
| 1980 | 57.4% | 40.6% | D+16.8 | R+3.5 |
| 1976 | 59.7% | 39.4% | D+20.3 | D+58.8 |
| 1972 | 30.1% | 68.7% | R+38.5 | R+43.6 |
| 1968 | 37.0% | 31.9% | D+5.1 | R+35.9 |
| 1964 | 70.4% | 29.5% | D+40.9 | D+33.8 |
| 1960 | 53.6% | 46.4% | D+7.2 | R+3.2 |
| 1956 | 54.8% | 44.5% | D+10.4 | R+14.7 |
| 1952 | 62.4% | 37.4% | D+25.0 | R+12.8 |
| 1948 | 65.7% | 27.8% | D+37.8 | — |
What defines Madisonville, KY?
It has a working-class, predominantly white electorate — strong Republican base territory.
Constituent Counties
Similar metro areas
Nearest neighbors matched on the same place-page feature set used across the dossier system.
Somerset, KY
Small-town rural republican 3
West Plains, MO
Small-town rural republican 3
Glasgow, KY
Small-town rural republican 3
Newport, TN
Small-town rural republican 3
Mayfield, KY
Small-town rural republican 3
Gallipolis, OH
Small-town rural republican 3
Poplar Bluff, MO
Small-town rural republican 3
Lebanon, MO
Small-town rural republican 3
Counties in Madisonville, KY
2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.
Sort:
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hopkins | 45K | R+50.9 | 4,916 | 15,361 | 20,537 | 100.0% |
1 countiesTotal votes: 20,537
Ask the Historian
Explore Madisonville, KY's political evolution with the Historian
Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 50.9% margin
- Highly elastic — margins have ranged 29.0 points across recent elections, suggesting a volatile electorate
Who Lives Here
A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.
Census race profile
Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.
| Group | Madisonville, KY | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(12) | 86.9% | 57.4% |
▶Black / African American(2) | 5.8% | 12.2% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(10) | 2.8% | 19.3% |
Multiracial / Other | 2.7% | 4.0% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 1.2% | 0.9% |
▶Asian(3) | 0.6% | 6.0% |
Method notes
Religious Adherents
Population that are religious adherents:
62.7%
Catholic-Evangelical edge: -74.5pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45.9% | 73.1% | — | — | |
| 8.3% | 13.2% | — | — | |
| 5.2% | 8.4% | — | — | |
| 1.9% | 3.1% | — | — | |
| 1.4% | 2.2% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 0.8% | 1.3% | — | — |
Non-religiousPopulation | 37.3% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Madisonville, KY metro area? 45,119 residents across 1 counties.
Demographics
Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.
17% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 16pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+22 on average nationally.
Population & electorate
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Total population
45K
Share of U.S. population
0.01%
Voting-age population
75.0%
Economic profile
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Median household income
$56,815
Poverty rate
20.0%
College degree
16.9%
Homeownership
70.7%
Community profile
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Median age
41.3 yrs
Age 18–29
13.7%
Age 65+
19.1%
Foreign born
2.0%
Non-English at home
2.6%
English only
97.4%
Turnout in Madisonville, KY
Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.
60.7%
-2.9pp
33,818
1988–2024
How competitive is Madisonville, KY?
Safe RAvg margin: R+50.9 (last 3 elections)
2008
R+24.9
2012
R+39.9
2016
R+53.9
2020
R+48.0
2024
R+50.9
29.0pp
1
R+43.5
Do voters in Madisonville, KY split their tickets?
Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.
Heavy splitting (13/100)
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| President vs Senate | R+48.0 | R+38.1 | 9.9pp |
Average divergence across office pairs: 15.4pp
Located In
Madisonville, KY sits inside these higher-level geographies.
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