Poplar Bluff, MO
Safe Republican — 42K residents — 1 counties
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 85.9% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(5) | 2.5% |
▶Black / African American(5) | 4.7% |
▶Asian(4) | 0.4% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(2) | 0.2% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 0.2% |
Multiracial / Other | 6.3% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 29.4% | 73.9% |
| Mainline Protestant | 3.6% | 9.1% |
| Catholic | 3.1% | 7.7% |
| Black Protestant | 1.9% | 4.8% |
| Other | 1.8% | 4.5% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 1.1% | 2.8% |
| Non-religious | 60.2% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+63.8 |
| 2020 | Trump+62.3 |
| 2016 | Trump+61.5 |
| 2012 | Romney+46.7 |
| 2008 | McCain+37.4 |
| 2004 | Bush+42.8 |
| 2000 | Bush+28.6 |
| 1996 | Dole+8.5 |
| 1992 | Clinton+1.0 |
Poplar Bluff, MO is a metro area that has a population of 42,020. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+63.8. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 17.7% | 81.5% | R+63.8 | R+1.5 |
| 2020 | 18.2% | 80.5% | R+62.3 | R+0.8 |
| 2016 | 17.6% | 79.1% | R+61.5 | R+14.8 |
| 2012 | 25.8% | 72.5% | R+46.7 | R+9.3 |
| 2008 | 30.7% | 68.1% | R+37.4 | D+5.3 |
| 2004 | 28.4% | 71.1% | R+42.8 | R+14.2 |
| 2000 | 34.7% | 63.3% | R+28.6 | R+20.1 |
| 1996 | 40.3% | 48.8% | R+8.5 | R+9.5 |
| 1992 | 43.2% | 42.2% | D+1.0 | D+17.1 |
| 1988 | 41.9% | 58.0% | R+16.1 | D+13.8 |
| 1984 | 35.0% | 65.0% | R+29.9 | R+10.6 |
| 1980 | 39.5% | 58.8% | R+19.3 | R+28.0 |
| 1976 | 54.1% | 45.4% | D+8.7 | D+54.0 |
| 1972 | 27.4% | 72.6% | R+45.3 | R+30.8 |
| 1968 | 32.5% | 47.0% | R+14.5 | R+30.2 |
| 1964 | 57.9% | 42.1% | D+15.7 | D+39.3 |
| 1960 | 38.2% | 61.8% | R+23.6 | R+13.3 |
| 1956 | 44.9% | 55.1% | R+10.3 | R+0.4 |
| 1952 | 45.0% | 54.9% | R+9.9 | R+20.8 |
| 1948 | 55.2% | 44.4% | D+10.8 | — |
What defines Poplar Bluff, MO?
Poplar Bluff, MO has been trending Republican — 17pp redder over the last 4 presidential cycles. It has a working-class, predominantly white electorate — strong Republican base territory.
Constituent Counties
Similar metro areas
Counties in Poplar Bluff, MO
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Butler | 42K | R+63.8 | 3,160 | 14,549 | 17,860 | 100.0% |
Ask the Historian
Key Insights
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 63.8% margin
- Shifted 17.1 points toward Republicans over the last 4 elections
Who Lives Here
| Group | Poplar Bluff, MO | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 85.9% | 57.4% |
Multiracial / Other | 6.3% | 4.0% |
▶Black / African American(5) | 4.7% | 12.2% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(5) | 2.5% | 19.3% |
▶Asian(4) | 0.4% | 6.0% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(2) | 0.2% | 0.9% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 0.2% | 0.9% |
Religious Adherents
Catholic-Evangelical edge: -70.6pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29.4% | 73.9% | — | — | |
| 3.6% | 9.1% | — | — | |
| 3.1% | 7.7% | — | — | |
| 1.9% | 4.8% | — | — | |
| 1.8% | 4.5% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 1.1% | 2.8% | — | — |
Non-religiousPopulation | 60.2% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Poplar Bluff, MO metro area? 42,020 residents across 1 counties.
Demographics
16% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 17pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+22 on average nationally.
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Turnout in Poplar Bluff, MO
How competitive is Poplar Bluff, MO?
Do voters in Poplar Bluff, MO split their tickets?
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| Senate vs Governor | R+63.1 | R+65.9 | 2.9pp |
| President vs Governor | R+63.8 | R+65.9 | 2.2pp |
| President vs Senate | R+63.8 | R+63.1 | 0.7pp |