Marshall, MN
Latest: 2024
Safe Republican — shifted 5.7pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 26K residents — 1 counties
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 80.9% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(9) | 7.9% |
▶Black / African American(8) | 2.6% |
▶Asian(5) | 4.5% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 0.7% |
Multiracial / Other | 3.4% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Catholic | 25.2% | 41.0% |
| Mainline Protestant | 19.4% | 31.6% |
| Evangelical Protestant | 13.7% | 22.2% |
| Other | 3.1% | 5.1% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 1.3% | 2.1% |
| Non-religious | 38.6% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+31.7 |
| 2020 | Trump+25.9 |
| 2016 | Trump+28.1 |
| 2012 | Romney+9.1 |
| 2008 | McCain+1.6 |
| 2004 | Bush+15.1 |
| 2000 | Bush+11.8 |
| 1996 | Clinton+1.1 |
| 1992 | Bush+0.9 |
Marshall, MN is a metro area that has a population of 25,503. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+31.7. Akashic Edge tracks 38 presidential elections here, dating back to 1876.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 33.0% | 64.7% | R+31.7 | R+5.7 |
| 2020 | 35.9% | 61.9% | R+25.9 | D+2.1 |
| 2016 | 31.3% | 59.4% | R+28.1 | R+19.0 |
| 2012 | 44.1% | 53.2% | R+9.1 | R+7.5 |
| 2008 | 48.1% | 49.7% | R+1.6 | D+13.5 |
| 2004 | 41.8% | 56.8% | R+15.1 | R+3.3 |
| 2000 | 41.2% | 53.0% | R+11.8 | R+12.9 |
| 1996 | 44.1% | 43.0% | D+1.1 | D+2.0 |
| 1992 | 36.4% | 37.3% | R+0.9 | D+1.8 |
| 1988 | 48.2% | 50.9% | R+2.7 | D+11.4 |
| 1984 | 42.6% | 56.6% | R+14.1 | R+12.3 |
| 1980 | 43.6% | 45.3% | R+1.8 | R+18.5 |
| 1976 | 57.2% | 40.4% | D+16.7 | D+18.5 |
| 1972 | 48.3% | 50.0% | R+1.8 | R+11.7 |
| 1968 | 53.4% | 43.5% | D+9.9 | R+25.6 |
| 1964 | 67.7% | 32.2% | D+35.5 | D+27.6 |
| 1960 | 53.9% | 46.0% | D+7.9 | D+18.5 |
| 1956 | 44.6% | 55.3% | R+10.6 | D+9.1 |
| 1952 | 40.0% | 59.7% | R+19.7 | R+53.0 |
| 1948 | 66.2% | 32.9% | D+33.3 | — |
What defines Marshall, MN?
Marshall, MN voted overwhelmingly Republican in 2024. Akashic Edge tracks 38 presidential elections here, revealing how its political character has evolved over more than a century.
Constituent Counties
Similar metro areas
Nearest neighbors matched on the same place-page feature set used across the dossier system.
Pella, IA
Small-town rural republican 2
Willmar, MN
Small-town rural republican 2
Lewisburg, PA
Small-town rural republican 2
Le Mars, IA
Small-town rural republican 3
Owatonna, MN
Small-town rural republican 2
Oskaloosa, IA
Small-town rural republican 3
New Ulm, MN
Small-town rural republican 2
Greencastle, IN
Small-town rural republican 3
Counties in Marshall, MN
2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.
Sort:
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lyon | 26K | R+31.7 | 4,284 | 8,400 | 12,990 | 100.0% |
1 countiesTotal votes: 12,990
Ask the Historian
Explore Marshall, MN's political evolution with the Historian
Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 31.7% margin
- The 2008 election was decided by just 1.6 points — razor-thin
Who Lives Here
A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.
Census race profile
Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.
| Group | Marshall, MN | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 80.9% | 57.4% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(9) | 7.9% | 19.3% |
▶Asian(5) | 4.5% | 6.0% |
Multiracial / Other | 3.4% | 4.0% |
▶Black / African American(8) | 2.6% | 12.2% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 0.7% | 0.9% |
Method notes
Religious Adherents
Population that are religious adherents:
61.4%
Catholic-Evangelical edge: +14.3pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Catholic-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Democratic-leaning urban and suburban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25.2% | 41.0% | — | — | |
| 19.4% | 31.6% | — | — | |
| 13.7% | 22.2% | — | — | |
| 3.1% | 5.1% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 1.3% | 2.1% | — | — |
Non-religiousPopulation | 38.6% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Marshall, MN metro area? 25,503 residents across 1 counties.
Demographics
Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.
Population & electorate
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Total population
26K
Share of U.S. population
0.01%
Voting-age population
70.5%
Economic profile
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Median household income
$75,303
Poverty rate
12.2%
College degree
31.1%
Homeownership
72.5%
Community profile
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Median age
37.4 yrs
Age 18–29
15.2%
Age 65+
17.6%
Foreign born
6.1%
Non-English at home
11.2%
English only
88.8%
Turnout in Marshall, MN
Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.
72.2%
+0.5pp
17,990
1988–2024
How competitive is Marshall, MN?
Safe RAvg margin: R+28.6 (last 3 elections)
2008
R+1.6
2012
R+9.1
2016
R+28.1
2020
R+25.9
2024
R+31.7
30.1pp
1
R+19.3
Do voters in Marshall, MN split their tickets?
Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.
Heavy splitting (29/100)
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| President vs Senate | R+31.7 | R+12.0 | 19.7pp |
Average divergence across office pairs: 13.1pp
Located In
Marshall, MN sits inside these higher-level geographies.
Unlock Metro Area Analytics
Advance from the public dossier into precinct-level, insight-rich district intelligence.
Precinct data, Smart Insights, full history, and export controls tailored to place pages.
Precinct-Level Data
See results for every neighborhood and voting precinct
Smart Insights
Automated highlights from recent election patterns
Full Historical Access
165 years of election data at every level of geography
CSV Exports
Download any table or chart as a CSV file