How did Willmar, MN vote in the 2024 presidential election?

Willmar, MN voted Republican in 2024 with a margin of R+30.9. Kamala D Harris received 7,814 votes and Donald Trump received 15,014 out of 23,283 total votes cast, a 5.3-point shift toward Republicans from 2020.

What is Willmar, MN's political history?

Willmar, MN has 40 presidential elections on record, spanning 1868 to 2024. It has voted Republican in every presidential election since 2000. The largest single-election swing was 74.0 points in 1932.

What are the demographics of Willmar, MN?

Willmar, MN has a population of 44,079 according to the 2020 Census. The racial composition is 75.4% non-Hispanic white, 14.7% Hispanic, 5.2% Black. About 28% of residents hold a bachelor's degree or higher. Median household income is $76,592.

Which places are most similar to Willmar, MN?

Based on demographic and electoral similarity analysis, the three most similar metro areas to Willmar, MN are Le Mars, IA, Pella, IA, Owatonna, MN. Similarity is computed using a vector embedding of demographic, economic, and electoral characteristics.

Willmar, MN

Latest: 2024↓ R+5.3 vs 2020

Safe Republican — shifted 5.3pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 44K residents — 1 counties

Ask Historian Open in Explore CompareShare image

Race & ancestry

Group	%
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)	75.4%
▶Hispanic / Latino(12)	14.7%
▶Black / African American(9)	5.2%
▶Asian(5)	1.3%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1)	0.5%
Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander	0.2%
Multiracial / Other	2.6%

View full demographics →

Religious adherence

Tradition	% Pop	% Adherents
Mainline Protestant	33.8%	50.5%
Evangelical Protestant	17.7%	26.4%
Catholic	13.4%	20.1%
Other	2.0%	3.0%
LDS (Mormon)	0.7%	1.1%
Non-religious	33.0%	—

View full religion →

Presidential results

Year	Result
2024	Trump+30.9
2020	Trump+25.7
2016	Trump+25.3
2012	Romney+6.7
2008	McCain+5.5
2004	Bush+11.1
2000	Bush+9.4
1996	Clinton+10.2
1992	Clinton+5.7

View full election history →

Willmar, MN is a metro area that has a population of 44,079. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+30.9. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.

Willmar, MN Presidential Election Results, 1948–2024
Year	Dem %	Rep %	Margin	Swing
2024	33.6%	64.5%	R+30.9	R+5.3
2020	36.1%	61.8%	R+25.7	R+0.3
2016	33.4%	58.7%	R+25.3	R+18.7
2012	45.7%	52.4%	R+6.7	R+1.2
2008	46.2%	51.7%	R+5.5	D+5.6
2004	43.7%	54.8%	R+11.1	R+1.7
2000	42.6%	52.0%	R+9.4	R+19.6
1996	48.6%	38.4%	D+10.2	D+4.4
1992	40.3%	34.5%	D+5.7	D+3.9
1988	50.2%	48.3%	D+1.8	D+8.1
1984	46.4%	52.7%	R+6.3	R+3.8
1980	44.4%	46.9%	R+2.4	R+21.9
1976	58.3%	38.9%	D+19.4	D+15.2
1972	50.0%	45.7%	D+4.3	R+14.8
1968	57.0%	38.0%	D+19.1	R+19.7
1964	69.2%	30.5%	D+38.7	D+39.1
1960	49.7%	50.0%	R+0.4	R+11.6
1956	55.5%	44.3%	D+11.3	D+12.1
1952	49.1%	50.0%	R+0.8	R+31.3
1948	62.1%	31.6%	D+30.5	—

Political Identity

What defines Willmar, MN?

Willmar, MN voted overwhelmingly Republican in 2024. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, revealing how its political character has evolved over more than a century.

Constituent Counties

Open in Cartographer

Similarity Explorer

Similar metro areas

Nearest neighbors matched on the same place-page feature set used across the dossier system.

8 visible matches

Le Mars, IA

Small-town rural republican 3

R+54.1

Similarity score85%

Pella, IA

Small-town rural republican 2

R+37.6

Similarity score85%

Owatonna, MN

Small-town rural republican 2

R+24.4

Similarity score85%

Marshall, MN

Small-town rural republican 2

R+31.7

Similarity score85%

Hutchinson, MN

Small-town rural republican 2

R+37.8

Similarity score83%

New Ulm, MN

Small-town rural republican 2

R+35.0

Similarity score83%

Jasper, IN

Small-town rural republican 3

R+42.2

Similarity score82%

Carroll, IA

Small-town rural republican 3

R+41.8

Similarity score81%

Constituent Geography

Counties in Willmar, MN

2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.

Sort:

County	Pop.	Margin	Dem	Rep	Total	Share
Kandiyohi	44K	R+30.9	7,814	15,014	23,283	100.0%

1 countiesTotal votes: 23,283

Historian Query

Ask the Historian

Explore Willmar, MN's political evolution with the Historian

“How has the Willmar, MN metro area voted in presidential elections?”

Automated Readout

Key Insights

High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.

Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 30.9% margin
Shifted 24.2 points toward Republicans over the last 4 elections

Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.

Willmar, MNCensus ACS 2024Ancestry detail available

Census race profile

Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.

Expand rows for ancestry detail

White (Non-Hispanic) 75.4%Hispanic 14.7%Black 5.2%Multiracial 2.6%Asian 1.3%Native American 0.5%

Group	Willmar, MN	National
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)	75.4%	57.4%
▶Hispanic / Latino(12)	14.7%	19.3%
▶Black / African American(9)	5.2%	12.2%
Multiracial / Other	2.6%	4.0%
▶Asian(5)	1.3%	6.0%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1)	0.5%	0.9%
Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander	0.2%	0.2%

Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Click rows to expand ancestry detail. Ancestry from ACS B04006, B03001, B02020, B02016. Totals may differ from race — individuals can report multiple ancestries.

Black / African American (estimated remainder) is derived as Black population share minus reported Sub-Saharan African and West Indian ancestry. It is shown as an estimated ancestry detail, not a standalone Census ancestry category.

Religious Adherents

Population that are religious adherents:

67.0%(29.5K people)

U.S. Religion Census 2020

Browse all religions

Catholic-Evangelical edge: -10.8pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.

Tradition	% Pop	% Adherents	US Pop	US Adherents
Mainline Protestant	33.8%	50.5%	—	—
Evangelical Protestant	17.7%	26.4%	—	—
Catholic	13.4%	20.1%	—	—
Other	2.0%	3.0%	—	—
LDS (Mormon)	0.7%	1.1%	—	—
Non-religiousPopulation	33.0%	—	—	—

Click the chevron to expand denominations. Tradition and denomination rows label both share of total population and share of all religious adherents. Non-religious is shown as a share of total population only.

Who lives in the Willmar, MN metro area? 44,079 residents across 1 counties.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.

Willmar, MN vs National44K residents

28% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 5pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+3 on average nationally.

Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population

Local vs state vs U.S.

44K

local

44KNational 334.9M

Share of U.S. population

Local vs state vs U.S.

0.01%

local

0.01%National 100%

Voting-age population

Local vs state vs U.S.

72.6%

local

72.6%National 75.7%

Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income

Local vs state vs U.S.

$76,592

local

$76,592National $83,960

Poverty rate

Local vs state vs U.S.

9.1%

local

9.1%National 12.5%

College degree

Local vs state vs U.S.

27.9%

local

27.9%National 35.6%

Homeownership

Local vs state vs U.S.

72.5%

local

72.5%National 65.2%

Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age

Local vs state vs U.S.

40.0 yrs

local

40.0 yrsNational 39.1 yrs

Age 18–29

Local vs state vs U.S.

14.0%

local

14.0%National 15.7%

Age 65+

Local vs state vs U.S.

20.7%

local

20.7%National 17.0%

Foreign born

Local vs state vs U.S.

9.8%

local

9.8%National 14.1%

Non-English at home

Local vs state vs U.S.

14.3%

local

14.3%National 22.2%

English only

Local vs state vs U.S.

85.7%

local

85.7%National 77.8%

Voter Turnout

Turnout in Willmar, MN

Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.

2024 Turnout

72.7%

vs Previous

-0.3pp

Voting-Age Pop

32,018

History

1988–2024

Competitiveness

How competitive is Willmar, MN?

Safe RAvg margin: R+27.3 (last 3 elections)

2008

R+5.5

2012

R+6.7

2016

R+25.3

2020

R+25.7

2024

R+30.9

Elasticity

25.5pp

margin range

Party Flips

last 30 years

5-Elec Avg

R+18.8

Ticket-Splitting

Do voters in Willmar, MN split their tickets?

Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.

ConsistencyHeavy splitting (44/100)

2024 Office Comparisons

Offices	Margin A	Margin B	Split
President vs Senate	R+30.9	R+14.3	16.6pp

Average divergence across office pairs: 11.0pp

Containing Geography

Located In

Willmar, MN sits inside these higher-level geographies.

Minnesota(State)

Upgrade Path

Unlock Metro Area Analytics

Advance from the public dossier into precinct-level, insight-rich district intelligence.

Target plan Pro$33/mo

Precinct data, Smart Insights, full history, and export controls tailored to place pages.

Precinct-Level Data

See results for every neighborhood and voting precinct

Smart Insights

Automated highlights from recent election patterns

Full Historical Access

165 years of election data at every level of geography

CSV Exports

Download any table or chart as a CSV file

Upgrade to Pro$33/mo