How did Medford, OR vote in the 2024 presidential election?

Medford, OR voted Republican in 2024 with a margin of R+6.4. Kamala D Harris received 54,065 votes and Donald Trump received 61,743 out of 119,572 total votes cast, a 3.0-point shift toward Republicans from 2020.

What is Medford, OR's political history?

Medford, OR has 40 presidential elections on record, spanning 1868 to 2024. Democrats have won 14 and Republicans 26 of those contests. The largest single-election swing was 67.5 points in 1932.

What are the demographics of Medford, OR?

Medford, OR has a population of 222,645 according to the 2020 Census. The racial composition is 76.8% non-Hispanic white, 14.6% Hispanic. About 32% of residents hold a bachelor's degree or higher. Median household income is $73,999.

Which places are most similar to Medford, OR?

Based on demographic and electoral similarity analysis, the three most similar metro areas to Medford, OR are Astoria, OR, Truckee-Grass Valley, CA, Barnstable Town, MA. Similarity is computed using a vector embedding of demographic, economic, and electoral characteristics.

Medford, OR

Latest: 2024↓ R+3.0 vs 2020

Leans Republican — 223K residents — 1 counties

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Race & ancestry

Group	%
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)	76.8%
▶Hispanic / Latino(15)	14.6%
▶Black / African American(5)	0.6%
▶Asian(6)	1.1%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(5)	0.2%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(3)	0.6%
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(3)	0.1%
Multiracial / Other	6.1%

View full demographics →

Religious adherence

Tradition	% Pop	% Adherents
Evangelical Protestant	12.7%	44.9%
Catholic	7.5%	26.4%
Other	6.5%	22.9%
LDS (Mormon)	3.7%	13.0%
Mainline Protestant	1.4%	4.9%
Black Protestant	0.1%	0.5%
Non-religious	71.8%	—

View full religion →

Presidential results

Year	Result
2024	Trump+6.4
2020	Trump+3.5
2016	Trump+8.6
2012	Romney+4.7
2008	Obama+0.0
2004	Bush+11.9
2000	Bush+15.2
1996	Dole+6.2
1992	Clinton+0.6

View full election history →

Medford, OR is a metro area that has a population of 222,645. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+6.4. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.

Medford, OR Presidential Election Results, 1948–2024
Year	Dem %	Rep %	Margin	Swing
2024	45.2%	51.6%	R+6.4	R+3.0
2020	46.8%	50.2%	R+3.5	D+5.2
2016	40.7%	49.3%	R+8.6	R+3.9
2012	45.8%	50.5%	R+4.7	R+4.7
2008	48.6%	48.5%	Even	D+11.9
2004	43.4%	55.3%	R+11.9	D+3.3
2000	39.1%	54.3%	R+15.2	R+9.0
1996	39.7%	45.9%	R+6.2	R+6.7
1992	37.8%	37.2%	D+0.6	D+7.8
1988	45.3%	52.5%	R+7.2	D+16.7
1984	37.9%	61.8%	R+23.9	R+1.8
1980	33.9%	56.0%	R+22.1	R+20.4
1976	46.5%	48.2%	R+1.7	D+21.1
1972	35.0%	57.8%	R+22.8	R+3.1
1968	36.5%	56.2%	R+19.7	R+34.0
1964	57.0%	42.7%	D+14.3	D+23.7
1960	45.2%	54.6%	R+9.4	D+5.5
1956	42.5%	57.5%	R+14.9	D+20.6
1952	32.1%	67.5%	R+35.5	R+15.1
1948	38.5%	58.9%	R+20.4	—

Political Identity

What defines Medford, OR?

Medford, OR has been won by both parties in the last 6 presidential elections (1D, 5R) — a genuine swing geography. It has a moderately diverse, middle-class electorate where education levels and suburban growth shape the partisan balance.

Constituent Counties

Open in Cartographer

Similarity Explorer

Similar metro areas

Nearest neighbors matched on the same place-page feature set used across the dossier system.

8 visible matches

Astoria, OR

Educated rural democratic

D+11.3

Similarity score93%

Truckee-Grass Valley, CA

Educated rural democratic

D+12.2

Similarity score92%

Barnstable Town, MA

Educated rural democratic

D+20.6

Similarity score89%

Port Townsend, WA

Educated rural democratic

D+45.1

Similarity score89%

Hudson, NY

Educated rural democratic

D+14.6

Similarity score88%

Port Angeles, WA

Small-town rural republican

D+7.8

Similarity score88%

Newport, OR

Small-town rural republican

D+18.3

Similarity score88%

Greenfield, MA

Educated rural democratic

D+37.6

Similarity score88%

Constituent Geography

Counties in Medford, OR

2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.

Sort:

County	Pop.	Margin	Dem	Rep	Total	Share
Jackson	223K	R+6.4	54,065	61,743	119,572	100.0%

1 countiesTotal votes: 119,572

Historian Query

Ask the Historian

Explore Medford, OR's political evolution with the Historian

“How has the Medford, OR metro area voted in presidential elections?”

Automated Readout

Key Insights

High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.

The 2008 election was decided by just 0.0 points — razor-thin
Won by both parties in recent history — Democrats most recently in 2008, Republicans in 2024
Turnout decreased by 4.4 percentage points since the previous presidential election

Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.

Medford, ORCensus ACS 2024Ancestry detail available

Census race profile

Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.

Expand rows for ancestry detail

White (Non-Hispanic) 76.8%Hispanic 14.6%Multiracial 6.1%Asian 1.1%Black 0.6%Native American 0.6%

Group	Medford, OR	National
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)	76.8%	57.4%
▶Hispanic / Latino(15)	14.6%	19.3%
Multiracial / Other	6.1%	4.0%
▶Asian(6)	1.1%	6.0%
▶Black / African American(5)	0.6%	12.2%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(3)	0.6%	0.9%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(5)	0.2%	0.9%
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(3)	0.1%	0.2%

Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Click rows to expand ancestry detail. Ancestry from ACS B04006, B03001, B02020, B02016. Totals may differ from race — individuals can report multiple ancestries.

Black / African American (estimated remainder) is derived as Black population share minus reported Sub-Saharan African and West Indian ancestry. It is shown as an estimated ancestry detail, not a standalone Census ancestry category.

MENA estimated from ancestry reporting — Census does not have a separate MENA race category. Not shown in bar (overlaps with other race groups).

Religious Adherents

Population that are religious adherents:

28.2%(62.9K people)

U.S. Religion Census 2020

Browse all religions

Catholic-Evangelical edge: -23.0pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.

Tradition	% Pop	% Adherents	US Pop	US Adherents
Evangelical Protestant	12.7%	44.9%	—	—
Catholic	7.5%	26.4%	—	—
Other	6.5%	22.9%	—	—
LDS (Mormon)	3.7%	13.0%	—	—
Mainline Protestant	1.4%	4.9%	—	—
Black Protestant	0.1%	0.5%	—	—
Non-religiousPopulation	71.8%	—	—	—

Click the chevron to expand denominations. Tradition and denomination rows label both share of total population and share of all religious adherents. Non-religious is shown as a share of total population only.

Who lives in the Medford, OR metro area? 222,645 residents across 1 counties.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.

Medford, OR vs National223K residents

Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population

Local vs state vs U.S.

223K

local

223KNational 334.9M

Share of U.S. population

Local vs state vs U.S.

0.07%

local

0.07%National 100%

Voting-age population

Local vs state vs U.S.

77.8%

local

77.8%National 75.7%

Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income

Local vs state vs U.S.

$73,999

local

$73,999National $83,960

Poverty rate

Local vs state vs U.S.

12.4%

local

12.4%National 12.5%

College degree

Local vs state vs U.S.

31.7%

local

31.7%National 35.6%

Homeownership

Local vs state vs U.S.

66.0%

local

66.0%National 65.2%

Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age

Local vs state vs U.S.

42.8 yrs

local

42.8 yrsNational 39.1 yrs

Age 18–29

Local vs state vs U.S.

13.1%

local

13.1%National 15.7%

Age 65+

Local vs state vs U.S.

23.5%

local

23.5%National 17.0%

Foreign born

Local vs state vs U.S.

5.3%

local

5.3%National 14.1%

Non-English at home

Local vs state vs U.S.

9.4%

local

9.4%National 22.2%

English only

Local vs state vs U.S.

90.6%

local

90.6%National 77.8%

Voter Turnout

Turnout in Medford, OR

Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.

2024 Turnout

69.0%

vs Previous

-4.4pp

Voting-Age Pop

173,286

History

1988–2024

Competitiveness

How competitive is Medford, OR?

Lean RAvg margin: R+6.2 (last 3 elections)

2008

D+0.0

2012

R+4.7

2016

R+8.6

2020

R+3.5

2024

R+6.4

Elasticity

8.7pp

margin range

Party Flips

last 30 years

5-Elec Avg

R+4.6

Ticket-Splitting

Do voters in Medford, OR split their tickets?

Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.

ConsistencyHeavy splitting (17/100)

2022 Office Comparisons

Offices	Margin A	Margin B	Split
Senate vs Governor	R+4.5	R+16.0	11.6pp

Average divergence across office pairs: 14.8pp

Containing Geography

Located In

Medford, OR sits inside these higher-level geographies.

Oregon(State)

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