How did Midland, MI vote in the 2024 presidential election?

Midland, MI voted Republican in 2024 with a margin of R+15.2. Kamala D Harris received 20,926 votes and Donald Trump received 28,571 out of 50,301 total votes cast, a 0.6-point shift toward Republicans from 2020.

What is Midland, MI's political history?

Midland, MI has 40 presidential elections on record, spanning 1868 to 2024. It has voted Republican in every presidential election since 1968. The largest single-election swing was 61.7 points in 1932.

What are the demographics of Midland, MI?

Midland, MI has a population of 83,757 according to the 2020 Census. The racial composition is 89.2% non-Hispanic white, 3.4% Hispanic, 1.2% Black. About 37% of residents hold a bachelor's degree or higher. Median household income is $77,705.

Which places are most similar to Midland, MI?

Based on demographic and electoral similarity analysis, the three most similar metro areas to Midland, MI are Red Wing, MN, Petoskey, MI, Laconia, NH. Similarity is computed using a vector embedding of demographic, economic, and electoral characteristics.

Midland, MI

Latest: 2024↓ R+0.6 vs 2020

Safe Republican — 84K residents — 1 counties

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Race & ancestry

Group	%
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)	89.2%
▶Hispanic / Latino(10)	3.4%
▶Black / African American(5)	1.2%
▶Asian(6)	2.2%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(7)	0.2%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(3)	0.2%
Multiracial / Other	3.8%

View full demographics →

Religious adherence

Tradition	% Pop	% Adherents
Catholic	16.8%	38.0%
Evangelical Protestant	15.8%	35.8%
Mainline Protestant	8.9%	20.2%
Other	2.3%	5.2%
LDS (Mormon)	1.1%	2.6%
Black Protestant	0.4%	0.8%
Non-religious	55.8%	—

View full religion →

Presidential results

Year	Result
2024	Trump+15.2
2020	Trump+14.6
2016	Trump+19.2
2012	Romney+15.4
2008	McCain+3.6
2004	Bush+13.9
2000	Bush+15.2
1996	Dole+3.8
1992	Bush+7.2

View full election history →

Midland, MI is a metro area that has a population of 83,757. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+15.2. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.

Midland, MI Presidential Election Results, 1948–2024
Year	Dem %	Rep %	Margin	Swing
2024	41.6%	56.8%	R+15.2	R+0.6
2020	41.7%	56.4%	R+14.6	D+4.6
2016	36.6%	55.7%	R+19.2	R+3.8
2012	41.6%	57.0%	R+15.4	R+11.8
2008	47.3%	50.8%	R+3.6	D+10.3
2004	42.4%	56.3%	R+13.9	D+1.3
2000	41.0%	56.3%	R+15.2	R+11.4
1996	42.2%	46.0%	R+3.8	D+3.4
1992	34.6%	41.8%	R+7.2	D+12.2
1988	39.8%	59.1%	R+19.3	D+13.7
1984	33.1%	66.1%	R+33.0	R+15.7
1980	35.8%	53.0%	R+17.3	D+1.6
1976	39.7%	58.6%	R+18.8	D+7.1
1972	35.4%	61.4%	R+26.0	D+3.2
1968	31.4%	60.6%	R+29.2	R+45.6
1964	58.1%	41.7%	D+16.5	D+51.7
1960	32.3%	67.6%	R+35.2	D+14.5
1956	25.0%	74.8%	R+49.7	R+4.7
1952	27.1%	72.1%	R+45.0	R+16.7
1948	34.8%	63.2%	R+28.3	—

Political Identity

What defines Midland, MI?

Midland, MI voted overwhelmingly Republican in 2024. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, revealing how its political character has evolved over more than a century.

Constituent Counties

Open in Cartographer

Similarity Explorer

Similar metro areas

Nearest neighbors matched on the same place-page feature set used across the dossier system.

8 visible matches

Red Wing, MN

Small-town rural republican 2

R+16.4

Similarity score96%

Petoskey, MI

Small-town rural republican

R+10.8

Similarity score95%

Laconia, NH

Small-town rural republican

R+13.0

Similarity score94%

Kill Devil Hills, NC

Small-town rural republican

R+18.7

Similarity score93%

Augusta-Waterville, ME

Small-town rural republican 2

R+2.8

Similarity score92%

Alexandria, MN

Small-town rural republican

R+35.0

Similarity score92%

Owatonna, MN

Small-town rural republican 2

R+24.4

Similarity score92%

Traverse City, MI

Small-town rural republican

R+5.5

Similarity score92%

Constituent Geography

Counties in Midland, MI

2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.

Sort:

County	Pop.	Margin	Dem	Rep	Total	Share
Midland	84K	R+15.2	20,926	28,571	50,301	100.0%

1 countiesTotal votes: 50,301

Historian Query

Ask the Historian

Explore Midland, MI's political evolution with the Historian

“How has the Midland, MI metro area voted in presidential elections?”

Automated Readout

Key Insights

High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.

Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
Closest recent contest: 2008 at just 3.6 points

Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.

Midland, MICensus ACS 2024Ancestry detail available

Census race profile

Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.

Expand rows for ancestry detail

White (Non-Hispanic) 89.2%Multiracial 3.8%Hispanic 3.4%Asian 2.2%Black 1.2%

Group	Midland, MI	National
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)	89.2%	57.4%
Multiracial / Other	3.8%	4.0%
▶Hispanic / Latino(10)	3.4%	19.3%
▶Asian(6)	2.2%	6.0%
▶Black / African American(5)	1.2%	12.2%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(3)	0.2%	0.9%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(7)	0.2%	0.9%

Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Click rows to expand ancestry detail. Ancestry from ACS B04006, B03001, B02020, B02016. Totals may differ from race — individuals can report multiple ancestries.

Black / African American (estimated remainder) is derived as Black population share minus reported Sub-Saharan African and West Indian ancestry. It is shown as an estimated ancestry detail, not a standalone Census ancestry category.

MENA estimated from ancestry reporting — Census does not have a separate MENA race category. Not shown in bar (overlaps with other race groups).

Religious Adherents

Population that are religious adherents:

44.2%(37.0K people)

U.S. Religion Census 2020

Browse all religions

Tradition	% Pop	% Adherents	US Pop	US Adherents
Catholic	16.8%	38.0%	—	—
Evangelical Protestant	15.8%	35.8%	—	—
Mainline Protestant	8.9%	20.2%	—	—
Other	2.3%	5.2%	—	—
LDS (Mormon)	1.1%	2.6%	—	—
Black Protestant	0.4%	0.8%	—	—
Non-religiousPopulation	55.8%	—	—	—

Click the chevron to expand denominations. Tradition and denomination rows label both share of total population and share of all religious adherents. Non-religious is shown as a share of total population only.

Who lives in the Midland, MI metro area? 83,757 residents across 1 counties.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.

Midland, MI vs National84K residents

Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population

Local vs state vs U.S.

84K

local

84KNational 334.9M

Share of U.S. population

Local vs state vs U.S.

0.03%

local

0.03%National 100%

Voting-age population

Local vs state vs U.S.

77.6%

local

77.6%National 75.7%

Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income

Local vs state vs U.S.

$77,705

local

$77,705National $83,960

Poverty rate

Local vs state vs U.S.

10.7%

local

10.7%National 12.5%

College degree

Local vs state vs U.S.

36.5%

local

36.5%National 35.6%

Homeownership

Local vs state vs U.S.

78.1%

local

78.1%National 65.2%

Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age

Local vs state vs U.S.

41.8 yrs

local

41.8 yrsNational 39.1 yrs

Age 18–29

Local vs state vs U.S.

13.4%

local

13.4%National 15.7%

Age 65+

Local vs state vs U.S.

20.2%

local

20.2%National 17.0%

Foreign born

Local vs state vs U.S.

3.2%

local

3.2%National 14.1%

Non-English at home

Local vs state vs U.S.

3.9%

local

3.9%National 22.2%

English only

Local vs state vs U.S.

96.1%

local

96.1%National 77.8%

Voter Turnout

Turnout in Midland, MI

Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.

2024 Turnout

77.4%

vs Previous

+1.9pp

Voting-Age Pop

64,978

History

1988–2024

Competitiveness

How competitive is Midland, MI?

Safe RAvg margin: R+16.3 (last 3 elections)

2008

R+3.6

2012

R+15.4

2016

R+19.2

2020

R+14.6

2024

R+15.2

Elasticity

15.6pp

margin range

Party Flips

last 30 years

5-Elec Avg

R+13.6

Ticket-Splitting

Do voters in Midland, MI split their tickets?

Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.

ConsistencyModerate splitting (58/100)

2024 Office Comparisons

Offices	Margin A	Margin B	Split
President vs Senate	R+15.2	R+14.0	1.2pp

Average divergence across office pairs: 8.7pp

Containing Geography

Located In

Midland, MI sits inside these higher-level geographies.

Michigan(State)

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