Augusta-Waterville, ME
Latest: 2024
Competitive — shifted 3.0pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 127K residents — 1 counties
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 91.8% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(15) | 2.3% |
▶Black / African American(10) | 0.9% |
▶Asian(6) | 0.9% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(6) | 1.0% |
Native American / Alaska Native | 0.2% |
Multiracial / Other | 4.0% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Catholic | 19.8% | 51.9% |
| Evangelical Protestant | 9.2% | 24.2% |
| Mainline Protestant | 5.0% | 13.1% |
| Other | 4.1% | 10.9% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 1.3% | 3.4% |
| Non-religious | 61.9% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+2.7 |
| 2020 | Biden+0.3 |
| 2016 | Trump+3.6 |
| 2012 | Obama+13.5 |
| 2008 | Obama+14.8 |
| 2004 | Kerry+8.8 |
| 2000 | Gore+12.3 |
| 1996 | Clinton+26.7 |
| 1992 | Clinton+12.5 |
Augusta-Waterville, ME is a metro area that has a population of 126,808. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+2.7. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 47.5% | 50.2% | R+2.7 | R+3.0 |
| 2020 | 48.6% | 48.3% | D+0.3 | D+3.8 |
| 2016 | 44.3% | 47.8% | R+3.6 | R+17.1 |
| 2012 | 55.4% | 41.9% | D+13.5 | R+1.3 |
| 2008 | 56.4% | 41.6% | D+14.8 | D+6.0 |
| 2004 | 53.3% | 44.6% | D+8.8 | R+3.5 |
| 2000 | 53.0% | 40.7% | D+12.3 | R+14.4 |
| 1996 | 54.4% | 27.7% | D+26.7 | D+14.2 |
| 1992 | 39.3% | 26.8% | D+12.5 | D+20.5 |
| 1988 | 45.6% | 53.6% | R+8.0 | D+11.8 |
| 1984 | 39.8% | 59.7% | R+19.9 | R+18.7 |
| 1980 | 42.7% | 43.8% | R+1.2 | R+3.2 |
| 1976 | 49.5% | 47.5% | D+2.0 | D+22.1 |
| 1972 | 39.9% | 60.0% | R+20.1 | R+36.5 |
| 1968 | 58.2% | 41.8% | D+16.4 | R+21.0 |
| 1964 | 68.7% | 31.3% | D+37.4 | D+46.0 |
| 1960 | 45.7% | 54.3% | R+8.6 | D+24.8 |
| 1956 | 33.3% | 66.7% | R+33.5 | R+6.2 |
| 1952 | 36.4% | 63.6% | R+27.3 | R+16.3 |
| 1948 | 44.3% | 55.3% | R+11.0 | — |
What defines Augusta-Waterville, ME?
Augusta-Waterville, ME has flipped between parties in each of the last three elections — a fiercely contested battleground.
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Counties in Augusta-Waterville, ME
2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.
Sort:
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kennebec | 127K | R+2.8 | 34,585 | 36,589 | 72,886 | 100.0% |
1 countiesTotal votes: 72,886
Ask the Historian
Explore Augusta-Waterville, ME's political evolution with the Historian
Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- The 2020 election was decided by just 0.3 points — razor-thin
- Split-ticket voting in 2024: Different parties won President and Senate
- Won by both parties in recent history — Democrats most recently in 2020, Republicans in 2024
Who Lives Here
A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.
Census race profile
Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.
| Group | Local | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 91.8% | 57.4% |
Multiracial / Other | 4.0% | 4.0% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(15) | 2.3% | 19.3% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(6) | 1.0% | 0.9% |
▶Asian(6) | 0.9% | 6.0% |
▶Black / African American(10) | 0.9% | 12.2% |
Native American / Alaska Native | 0.2% | 0.9% |
Method notes
Religious Adherents
Population that are religious adherents:
38.1%
Catholic-Evangelical edge: +23.2pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Catholic-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Democratic-leaning urban and suburban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19.8% | 51.9% | — | — | |
| 9.2% | 24.2% | — | — | |
| 5.0% | 13.1% | — | — | |
| 4.1% | 10.9% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 1.3% | 3.4% | — | — |
Non-religiousPopulation | 61.9% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Augusta-Waterville, ME metro area? 126,808 residents across 1 counties.
Demographics
Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.
Population & electorate
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Total population
127K
Share of U.S. population
0.04%
Voting-age population
77.9%
Economic profile
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Median household income
$69,077
Poverty rate
11.6%
College degree
31.9%
Homeownership
73.7%
Community profile
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Median age
43.7 yrs
Age 18–29
14.8%
Age 65+
21.1%
Foreign born
2.4%
Non-English at home
4.8%
English only
95.2%
Turnout in Augusta-Waterville, ME
Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.
73.8%
+1.0pp
98,721
1988–2024
How competitive is Augusta-Waterville, ME?
Tilt RAvg margin: R+2.0 (last 3 elections)
2008
D+14.8
2012
D+13.5
2016
R+3.6
2020
D+0.3
2024
R+2.7
18.4pp
3
D+4.4
Do voters in Augusta-Waterville, ME split their tickets?
Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.
Heavy splitting (0/100)
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| President vs Senate | R+2.7 | D+12.9 | 15.6pp |
Average divergence across office pairs: 28.3pp
Located In
Augusta-Waterville, ME sits inside these higher-level geographies.
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