Naples-Marco Island, FL
Latest: 2024
Safe Republican — shifted 8.4pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 398K residents — 1 counties
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 61.4% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(20) | 28.2% |
▶Black / African American(9) | 6.6% |
▶Asian(6) | 1.5% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(10) | 0.6% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2) | 1.6% |
Multiracial / Other | 0.8% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Catholic | 33.8% | 58.1% |
| Evangelical Protestant | 14.8% | 25.5% |
| Mainline Protestant | 4.6% | 7.9% |
| Other | 3.9% | 6.7% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 1.0% | 1.8% |
| Orthodox Christian | 0.9% | 1.5% |
| Black Protestant | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Non-religious | 41.9% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+33.1 |
| 2020 | Trump+24.7 |
| 2016 | Trump+26.0 |
| 2012 | Romney+30.0 |
| 2008 | McCain+22.5 |
| 2004 | Bush+30.9 |
| 2000 | Bush+33.1 |
| 1996 | Dole+26.8 |
| 1992 | Bush+27.3 |
Naples-Marco Island, FL is a metro area that has a population of 398,291. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+33.1. Akashic Edge tracks 26 presidential elections here, dating back to 1924.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 33.1% | 66.2% | R+33.1 | R+8.4 |
| 2020 | 37.4% | 62.0% | R+24.7 | D+1.3 |
| 2016 | 35.8% | 61.7% | R+26.0 | D+4.1 |
| 2012 | 34.6% | 64.6% | R+30.0 | R+7.5 |
| 2008 | 38.3% | 60.8% | R+22.5 | D+8.4 |
| 2004 | 34.1% | 65.0% | R+30.9 | D+2.2 |
| 2000 | 32.5% | 65.6% | R+33.1 | R+6.3 |
| 1996 | 32.0% | 58.7% | R+26.8 | D+0.6 |
| 1992 | 26.1% | 53.4% | R+27.3 | D+23.0 |
| 1988 | 24.6% | 74.9% | R+50.3 | D+7.2 |
| 1984 | 21.2% | 78.7% | R+57.5 | R+9.4 |
| 1980 | 23.0% | 71.1% | R+48.1 | R+23.3 |
| 1976 | 37.0% | 61.8% | R+24.8 | D+36.7 |
| 1972 | 19.1% | 80.6% | R+61.5 | R+31.8 |
| 1968 | 21.1% | 50.9% | R+29.7 | R+18.8 |
| 1964 | 44.5% | 55.5% | R+10.9 | D+10.6 |
| 1960 | 39.3% | 60.7% | R+21.5 | R+2.0 |
| 1956 | 40.3% | 59.7% | R+19.5 | R+20.3 |
| 1952 | 50.4% | 49.6% | D+0.8 | R+12.2 |
| 1948 | 41.1% | 28.1% | D+13.1 | — |
What defines Naples-Marco Island, FL?
It has a heavily immigrant community where nativity and ethnic networks shape the political landscape.
Constituent Counties
Similar metro areas
Nearest neighbors matched on the same place-page feature set used across the dossier system.
Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL
Small-town rural republican
North Port-Bradenton-Sarasota, FL
Small-town rural republican
Port St. Lucie, FL
Small-town rural republican
Sebastian-Vero Beach-West Vero Corridor, FL
Small-town rural republican
Key West-Key Largo, FL
Small-town rural republican
Punta Gorda, FL
Small-town rural republican
Palm Bay-Melbourne-Titusville, FL
Small-town rural republican
Deltona-Daytona Beach-Ormond Beach, FL
Small-town rural republican
Counties in Naples-Marco Island, FL
2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.
Sort:
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Collier | 398K | R+33.1 | 71,720 | 143,267 | 216,370 | 100.0% |
1 countiesTotal votes: 216,370
Ask the Historian
Explore Naples-Marco Island, FL's political evolution with the Historian
Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 33.1% margin
- Swung 8.4 points toward Republican between 2020 and 2024
Who Lives Here
A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.
Census race profile
Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.
| Group | Local | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 61.4% | 57.4% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(20) | 28.2% | 19.3% |
▶Black / African American(9) | 6.6% | 12.2% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2) | 1.6% | 0.9% |
▶Asian(6) | 1.5% | 6.0% |
Multiracial / Other | 0.8% | 4.0% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(10) | 0.6% | 0.9% |
Method notes
Religious Adherents
Population that are religious adherents:
58.1%
Catholic-Evangelical edge: +28.1pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Catholic-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Democratic-leaning urban and suburban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 33.8% | 58.1% | — | — | |
| 14.8% | 25.5% | — | — | |
| 4.6% | 7.9% | — | — | |
| 3.9% | 6.7% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 1.0% | 1.8% | — | — |
| 0.9% | 1.5% | — | — | |
| 0.1% | 0.2% | — | — | |
Non-religiousPopulation | 41.9% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Naples-Marco Island, FL metro area? 398,291 residents across 1 counties.
Demographics
Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.
40% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 7pp above the national average. Places with similar education levels vote D+16 on average nationally.
Population & electorate
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Total population
398K
Share of U.S. population
0.12%
Voting-age population
82.5%
Economic profile
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Median household income
$90,045
Poverty rate
10.7%
College degree
40.3%
Homeownership
76.6%
Community profile
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Median age
53.3 yrs
Age 18–29
10.7%
Age 65+
33.8%
Foreign born
24.6%
Non-English at home
32.7%
English only
67.3%
Turnout in Naples-Marco Island, FL
Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.
65.9%
+2.6pp
328,434
1988–2024
How competitive is Naples-Marco Island, FL?
Safe RAvg margin: R+27.9 (last 3 elections)
2008
R+22.5
2012
R+30.0
2016
R+26.0
2020
R+24.7
2024
R+33.1
10.6pp
0
R+27.2
Do voters in Naples-Marco Island, FL split their tickets?
Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.
Heavy splitting (49/100)
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| President vs Senate | R+33.1 | R+39.9 | 6.8pp |
Average divergence across office pairs: 10.2pp
Located In
Naples-Marco Island, FL sits inside these higher-level geographies.
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