Ocala, FL
Safe Republican — shifted 5.7pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 400K residents — 1 counties
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 65.5% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(19) | 17.0% |
▶Black / African American(10) | 12.1% |
▶Asian(6) | 1.8% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(8) | 0.3% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(3) | 0.3% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(1) | 0.1% |
Multiracial / Other | 3.2% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 17.2% | 47.7% |
| Catholic | 9.6% | 26.6% |
| Other | 4.0% | 11.1% |
| Mainline Protestant | 2.9% | 8.2% |
| Black Protestant | 2.3% | 6.3% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 0.5% | 1.5% |
| Non-religious | 64.0% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+31.6 |
| 2020 | Trump+25.9 |
| 2016 | Trump+26.2 |
| 2012 | Romney+16.2 |
| 2008 | McCain+11.6 |
| 2004 | Bush+17.2 |
| 2000 | Bush+10.2 |
| 1996 | Dole+4.8 |
| 1992 | Bush+5.3 |
Ocala, FL is a metro area that has a population of 400,078. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+31.6. Akashic Edge tracks 39 presidential elections here, dating back to 1872.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 33.8% | 65.5% | R+31.6 | R+5.7 |
| 2020 | 36.6% | 62.5% | R+25.9 | D+0.3 |
| 2016 | 35.5% | 61.7% | R+26.2 | R+10.0 |
| 2012 | 41.3% | 57.5% | R+16.2 | R+4.6 |
| 2008 | 43.6% | 55.1% | R+11.6 | D+5.6 |
| 2004 | 41.0% | 58.2% | R+17.2 | R+7.0 |
| 2000 | 43.4% | 53.6% | R+10.2 | R+5.3 |
| 1996 | 41.1% | 45.9% | R+4.8 | D+0.5 |
| 1992 | 35.4% | 40.7% | R+5.3 | D+28.0 |
| 1988 | 33.1% | 66.4% | R+33.3 | D+6.7 |
| 1984 | 30.0% | 70.0% | R+39.9 | R+19.4 |
| 1980 | 37.9% | 58.5% | R+20.6 | R+22.9 |
| 1976 | 50.4% | 48.0% | D+2.4 | D+58.9 |
| 1972 | 21.6% | 78.2% | R+56.5 | R+49.2 |
| 1968 | 25.4% | 32.7% | R+7.3 | D+1.5 |
| 1964 | 45.6% | 54.4% | R+8.8 | R+10.0 |
| 1960 | 50.6% | 49.4% | D+1.1 | D+3.1 |
| 1956 | 48.9% | 50.9% | R+2.0 | D+0.4 |
| 1952 | 48.8% | 51.2% | R+2.3 | R+36.9 |
| 1948 | 57.0% | 22.4% | D+34.6 | — |
What defines Ocala, FL?
Ocala, FL voted overwhelmingly Republican in 2024. Akashic Edge tracks 39 presidential elections here, revealing how its political character has evolved over more than a century.
Constituent Counties
Similar metro areas
Counties in Ocala, FL
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marion | 400K | R+31.6 | 72,436 | 140,173 | 214,106 | 100.0% |
Ask the Historian
Key Insights
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 31.6% margin
- Highly elastic — margins have ranged 20.1 points across recent elections, suggesting a volatile electorate
Who Lives Here
| Group | Ocala, FL | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 65.5% | 57.4% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(19) | 17.0% | 19.3% |
▶Black / African American(10) | 12.1% | 12.2% |
Multiracial / Other | 3.2% | 4.0% |
▶Asian(6) | 1.8% | 6.0% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(3) | 0.3% | 0.9% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(8) | 0.3% | 0.9% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(1) | 0.1% | 0.2% |
Religious Adherents
Catholic-Evangelical edge: -25.6pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17.2% | 47.7% | — | — | |
| 9.6% | 26.6% | — | — | |
| 4.0% | 11.1% | — | — | |
| 2.9% | 8.2% | — | — | |
| 2.3% | 6.3% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 0.5% | 1.5% | — | — |
Non-religiousPopulation | 64.0% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Ocala, FL metro area? 400,078 residents across 1 counties.
Demographics
23% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 10pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+9 on average nationally.
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Turnout in Ocala, FL
How competitive is Ocala, FL?
Do voters in Ocala, FL split their tickets?
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| President vs Senate | R+31.6 | R+29.5 | 2.2pp |