Prescott Valley-Prescott, AZ
Latest: 2024
Safe Republican — shifted 4.6pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 245K residents — 1 counties
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 77.4% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(15) | 15.4% |
▶Black / African American(6) | 0.5% |
▶Asian(6) | 1.1% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(6) | 0.4% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(7) | 1.5% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(3) | 0.1% |
Multiracial / Other | 3.9% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Catholic | 17.5% | 43.8% |
| Evangelical Protestant | 11.7% | 29.4% |
| Other | 9.3% | 23.3% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 4.4% | 11.0% |
| Mainline Protestant | 1.4% | 3.4% |
| Non-religious | 60.0% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+33.9 |
| 2020 | Trump+29.3 |
| 2016 | Trump+31.2 |
| 2012 | Romney+30.3 |
| 2008 | McCain+24.3 |
| 2004 | Bush+23.2 |
| 2000 | Bush+23.6 |
| 1996 | Dole+13.6 |
| 1992 | Bush+8.7 |
Prescott Valley-Prescott, AZ is a metro area that has a population of 245,480. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+33.9. Akashic Edge tracks 29 presidential elections here, dating back to 1912.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 32.6% | 66.5% | R+33.9 | R+4.6 |
| 2020 | 34.6% | 63.9% | R+29.3 | D+2.0 |
| 2016 | 31.1% | 62.3% | R+31.2 | R+0.9 |
| 2012 | 33.7% | 64.0% | R+30.3 | R+6.1 |
| 2008 | 36.8% | 61.1% | R+24.3 | R+1.0 |
| 2004 | 37.8% | 61.0% | R+23.2 | D+0.3 |
| 2000 | 35.3% | 58.8% | R+23.6 | R+9.9 |
| 1996 | 36.6% | 50.3% | R+13.6 | R+5.0 |
| 1992 | 30.7% | 39.4% | R+8.7 | D+22.2 |
| 1988 | 33.6% | 64.4% | R+30.8 | D+12.6 |
| 1984 | 27.5% | 70.9% | R+43.4 | D+2.0 |
| 1980 | 23.0% | 68.4% | R+45.4 | R+20.8 |
| 1976 | 35.6% | 60.2% | R+24.6 | D+19.9 |
| 1972 | 21.3% | 65.8% | R+44.5 | R+14.1 |
| 1968 | 28.1% | 58.4% | R+30.3 | R+15.6 |
| 1964 | 42.4% | 57.2% | R+14.8 | D+7.6 |
| 1960 | 38.8% | 61.1% | R+22.3 | D+9.0 |
| 1956 | 34.3% | 65.7% | R+31.3 | R+2.5 |
| 1952 | 35.6% | 64.4% | R+28.8 | R+30.5 |
| 1948 | 49.8% | 48.0% | D+1.7 | — |
What defines Prescott Valley-Prescott, AZ?
It has a moderately diverse, middle-class electorate where education levels and suburban growth shape the partisan balance.
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Counties in Prescott Valley-Prescott, AZ
2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.
Sort:
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yavapai | 245K | R+33.9 | 48,717 | 99,346 | 149,428 | 100.0% |
1 countiesTotal votes: 149,428
Ask the Historian
Explore Prescott Valley-Prescott, AZ's political evolution with the Historian
Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 33.9% margin
- Turnout increased by 3.1 percentage points since the previous presidential election
Who Lives Here
A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.
Census race profile
Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.
| Group | Local | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 77.4% | 57.4% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(15) | 15.4% | 19.3% |
Multiracial / Other | 3.9% | 4.0% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(7) | 1.5% | 0.9% |
▶Asian(6) | 1.1% | 6.0% |
▶Black / African American(6) | 0.5% | 12.2% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(6) | 0.4% | 0.9% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(3) | 0.1% | 0.2% |
Method notes
Religious Adherents
Population that are religious adherents:
40.0%
Catholic-Evangelical edge: +9.9pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Catholic-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Democratic-leaning urban and suburban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17.5% | 43.8% | — | — | |
| 11.7% | 29.4% | — | — | |
| 9.3% | 23.3% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 4.4% | 11.0% | — | — |
| 1.4% | 3.4% | — | — | |
Non-religiousPopulation | 60.0% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Prescott Valley-Prescott, AZ metro area? 245,480 residents across 1 counties.
Demographics
Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.
Population & electorate
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Total population
245K
Share of U.S. population
0.07%
Voting-age population
82.9%
Economic profile
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Median household income
$69,613
Poverty rate
12.0%
College degree
30.3%
Homeownership
75.1%
Community profile
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Median age
55.1 yrs
Age 18–29
10.8%
Age 65+
34.1%
Foreign born
6.4%
Non-English at home
10.5%
English only
89.5%
Turnout in Prescott Valley-Prescott, AZ
Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.
73.5%
+3.1pp
203,383
1988–2024
How competitive is Prescott Valley-Prescott, AZ?
Safe RAvg margin: R+31.5 (last 3 elections)
2008
R+24.3
2012
R+30.3
2016
R+31.2
2020
R+29.3
2024
R+33.9
9.6pp
0
R+29.8
Do voters in Prescott Valley-Prescott, AZ split their tickets?
Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.
Heavy splitting (0/100)
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| President vs Senate | R+33.9 | R+27.8 | 6.1pp |
Average divergence across office pairs: 17.2pp
Located In
Prescott Valley-Prescott, AZ sits inside these higher-level geographies.
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