Olean, NY
Safe Republican — shifted 3.2pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 76K residents — 1 counties
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 87.7% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(13) | 2.4% |
▶Black / African American(5) | 1.5% |
▶Asian(6) | 0.9% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(8) | 0.5% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 2.5% |
Multiracial / Other | 5.1% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Catholic | 16.8% | 47.1% |
| Evangelical Protestant | 9.2% | 25.7% |
| Mainline Protestant | 5.9% | 16.5% |
| Other | 3.5% | 9.8% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 2.2% | 6.2% |
| Black Protestant | 0.3% | 0.8% |
| Non-religious | 64.5% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+32.7 |
| 2020 | Trump+29.5 |
| 2016 | Trump+32.7 |
| 2012 | Romney+13.2 |
| 2008 | McCain+10.6 |
| 2004 | Bush+19.1 |
| 2000 | Bush+13.5 |
| 1996 | Clinton+0.2 |
| 1992 | Bush+10.8 |
Olean, NY is a metro area that has a population of 76,145. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+32.7. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 33.5% | 66.2% | R+32.7 | R+3.2 |
| 2020 | 34.1% | 63.6% | R+29.5 | D+3.2 |
| 2016 | 30.5% | 63.2% | R+32.7 | R+19.5 |
| 2012 | 42.5% | 55.7% | R+13.2 | R+2.6 |
| 2008 | 43.9% | 54.5% | R+10.6 | D+8.5 |
| 2004 | 39.4% | 58.5% | R+19.1 | R+5.5 |
| 2000 | 41.0% | 54.5% | R+13.5 | R+13.7 |
| 1996 | 41.2% | 41.0% | D+0.2 | D+11.0 |
| 1992 | 28.9% | 39.7% | R+10.8 | D+11.5 |
| 1988 | 38.4% | 60.7% | R+22.3 | D+18.2 |
| 1984 | 29.6% | 70.1% | R+40.5 | R+27.4 |
| 1980 | 39.5% | 52.7% | R+13.2 | D+3.9 |
| 1976 | 41.2% | 58.3% | R+17.1 | D+16.3 |
| 1972 | 33.1% | 66.5% | R+33.4 | R+20.1 |
| 1968 | 39.9% | 53.3% | R+13.3 | R+47.0 |
| 1964 | 66.8% | 33.1% | D+33.7 | D+52.7 |
| 1960 | 40.5% | 59.5% | R+19.0 | D+25.9 |
| 1956 | 27.5% | 72.5% | R+44.9 | R+5.7 |
| 1952 | 29.3% | 68.5% | R+39.2 | R+14.9 |
| 1948 | 35.7% | 60.0% | R+24.3 | — |
What defines Olean, NY?
It has a working-class electorate (21% college-educated) — a demographic increasingly aligned with Republicans nationwide.
Constituent Counties
Similar metro areas
Counties in Olean, NY
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cattaraugus | 76K | R+32.7 | 11,424 | 22,586 | 34,107 | 100.0% |
Ask the Historian
Key Insights
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 32.7% margin
- Highly elastic — margins have ranged 22.1 points across recent elections, suggesting a volatile electorate
Who Lives Here
| Group | Olean, NY | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 87.7% | 57.4% |
Multiracial / Other | 5.1% | 4.0% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 2.5% | 0.9% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(13) | 2.4% | 19.3% |
▶Black / African American(5) | 1.5% | 12.2% |
▶Asian(6) | 0.9% | 6.0% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(8) | 0.5% | 0.9% |
Religious Adherents
Catholic-Evangelical edge: +16.9pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Catholic-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Democratic-leaning urban and suburban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16.8% | 47.1% | — | — | |
| 9.2% | 25.7% | — | — | |
| 5.9% | 16.5% | — | — | |
| 3.5% | 9.8% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 2.2% | 6.2% | — | — |
| 0.3% | 0.8% | — | — | |
Non-religiousPopulation | 64.5% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Olean, NY metro area? 76,145 residents across 1 counties.
Demographics
21% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 12pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+15 on average nationally.
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Turnout in Olean, NY
How competitive is Olean, NY?
Do voters in Olean, NY split their tickets?
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| President vs Senate | R+32.7 | R+26.0 | 6.7pp |