How did Ponca City, OK vote in the 2024 presidential election?

Ponca City, OK voted Republican in 2024 with a margin of R+49.4. Kamala D Harris received 4,136 votes and Donald Trump received 12,483 out of 16,913 total votes cast, a 1.6-point shift toward Democrats from 2020.

What is Ponca City, OK's political history?

Ponca City, OK has 30 presidential elections on record, spanning 1908 to 2024. It has voted Republican in every presidential election since 1952. The largest single-election swing was 90.2 points in 1932.

What are the demographics of Ponca City, OK?

Ponca City, OK has a population of 43,625 according to the 2020 Census. The racial composition is 71.2% non-Hispanic white, 9.0% Hispanic, 2.0% Black. About 19% of residents hold a bachelor's degree or higher. Median household income is $58,423.

Which places are most similar to Ponca City, OK?

Based on demographic and electoral similarity analysis, the three most similar metro areas to Ponca City, OK are Ardmore, OK, Shawnee, OK, Bartlesville, OK. Similarity is computed using a vector embedding of demographic, economic, and electoral characteristics.

Ponca City, OK

Latest: 2024↑ D+1.6 vs 2020

Safe Republican — 44K residents — 1 counties

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POPULATION
44K
COUNTIES
1
PRES MARGIN
R+49.4
2024
TURNOUT
53.6%
MEDIAN INCOME
$58K

Place Story

What defines Ponca City, OK

Methodology

Reliably Republican since 1952
- Safe R
- 19 straight R wins
Mobilization target, not persuasion target.
Biggest swing: D+90.2 in 1932
- 1928 → 1932
Volatile behavior — treat historical margins with caution.
Evangelical edge: 47pp over Catholics
- 14% Catholic / 60% Evangelical
Correlates nationally with Republican-leaning behavior.
Ticket-splitting: Senate ran 25.1pp behind Governor
- Divergence 25.1pp in 2014
Persuadable voters present — downballot races can run independent of presidential.
Demographically distinctive: 19% college+ (-16pp vs national)
- 19% college+ (-16pp vs national)

Constituent Counties

Open in Cartographer

Similarity Explorer

Similar metro areas

Nearest neighbors matched on the same place-page feature set used across the dossier system.

8 visible matches

Ardmore, OK

Small-town rural republican 3

R+54.7

Similarity score95%

Shawnee, OK

Small-town rural republican 3

R+47.4

Similarity score95%

Bartlesville, OK

Small-town rural republican 3

R+47.6

Similarity score94%

Durant, OK

Small-town rural republican 3

R+58.6

Similarity score93%

McAlester, OK

Small-town rural republican 3

R+59.0

Similarity score92%

Woodward, OK

Small-town rural republican 3

R+72.0

Similarity score92%

Duncan, OK

Small-town rural republican 3

R+63.7

Similarity score92%

Price, UT

Small-town rural republican 3

R+44.0

Similarity score91%

Constituent Geography

Counties in Ponca City, OK

2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.

Sort:

County	Pop.	Margin	Dem	Rep	Total	Share
Kay	44K	R+49.4	4,136	12,483	16,913	100.0%

1 countiesTotal votes: 16,913

Historian Query

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Explore Ponca City, OK's political evolution with the Historian

“How has the Ponca City, OK metro area voted in presidential elections?”

Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.

Ponca City, OKCensus ACS 2024Ancestry detail available

Census race profile

Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.

Expand rows for ancestry detail

White (Non-Hispanic) 71.2%Multiracial 9.3%Hispanic 9.0%Native American 7.4%Black 2.0%Native Hawaiian 0.6%Asian 0.5%

Group	Ponca City, OK	National
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)	71.2%	57.4%
Multiracial / Other	9.3%	4.0%
▶Hispanic / Latino(12)	9.0%	19.3%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(7)	7.4%	0.9%
▶Black / African American(2)	2.0%	12.2%
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(4)	0.6%	0.2%
▶Asian(5)	0.5%	6.0%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(2)	0.1%	0.9%

Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Click rows to expand ancestry detail. Ancestry from ACS B04006, B03001, B02020, B02016. Totals may differ from race — individuals can report multiple ancestries.

Black / African American (estimated remainder) is derived as Black population share minus reported Sub-Saharan African and West Indian ancestry. It is shown as an estimated ancestry detail, not a standalone Census ancestry category.

MENA estimated from ancestry reporting — Census does not have a separate MENA race category. Not shown in bar (overlaps with other race groups).

Religious Adherents

Population that are religious adherents:

70.9%(30.9K people)

U.S. Religion Census 2020

Browse all religions

Catholic-Evangelical edge: -51.2pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.

Tradition	% Pop	% Adherents	US Pop	US Adherents
Evangelical Protestant	42.9%	60.4%	—	—
Mainline Protestant	14.6%	20.6%	—	—
Catholic	9.7%	13.7%	—	—
Other	3.0%	4.3%	—	—
LDS (Mormon)	2.2%	3.1%	—	—
Black Protestant	0.7%	1.0%	—	—
Non-religiousPopulation	29.1%	—	—	—

Click the chevron to expand denominations. Tradition and denomination rows label both share of total population and share of all religious adherents. Non-religious is shown as a share of total population only.

Explore Evangelical Protestant adherence nationally

Who lives in the Ponca City, OK metro area? 43,625 residents across 1 counties.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.

Ponca City, OK vs National44K residents

19% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 14pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+15 on average nationally.

Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population

Local vs state vs U.S.

44K

local

44KNational 334.9M

Share of U.S. population

Local vs state vs U.S.

0.01%

local

0.01%National 100%

Voting-age population

Local vs state vs U.S.

72.3%

local

72.3%National 75.7%

Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income

Local vs state vs U.S.

$58,423

local

$58,423National $83,960

Poverty rate

Local vs state vs U.S.

16.0%

local

16.0%National 12.5%

College degree

Local vs state vs U.S.

19.2%

local

19.2%National 35.6%

Homeownership

Local vs state vs U.S.

69.2%

local

69.2%National 65.2%

Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age

Local vs state vs U.S.

38.5 yrs

local

38.5 yrsNational 39.1 yrs

Age 18–29

Local vs state vs U.S.

14.9%

local

14.9%National 15.7%

Age 65+

Local vs state vs U.S.

19.4%

local

19.4%National 17.0%

Foreign born

Local vs state vs U.S.

3.0%

local

3.0%National 14.1%

Non-English at home

Local vs state vs U.S.

6.0%

local

6.0%National 22.2%

English only

Local vs state vs U.S.

94.0%

local

94.0%National 77.8%

Voter Turnout

Turnout in Ponca City, OK

Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.

2024 Turnout

53.6%

vs Previous

-1.1pp

Voting-Age Pop

31,533

History

1988–2024

Competitiveness

How competitive is Ponca City, OK?

Safe RAvg margin: R+50.2 (last 3 elections)

2008

R+41.6

2012

R+42.6

2016

R+50.2

2020

R+51.0

2024

R+49.4

Elasticity

9.4pp

margin range

Party Flips

last 30 years

5-Elec Avg

R+46.9

Ticket-Splitting

Do voters in Ponca City, OK split their tickets?

Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.

ConsistencyHeavy splitting (10/100)

2022 Office Comparisons

Offices	Margin A	Margin B	Split
Senate vs Governor	R+41.8	R+29.7	12.1pp

Average divergence across office pairs: 15.8pp

Containing Geography

Located In

Ponca City, OK sits inside these higher-level geographies.

Oklahoma(State)

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