Shawnee, OK
Latest: 2024
Safe Republican — 73K residents — 1 counties
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 69.6% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(14) | 6.4% |
▶Black / African American(6) | 3.0% |
▶Asian(4) | 1.0% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(4) | 0.2% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(8) | 11.4% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(3) | 0.1% |
Multiracial / Other | 8.6% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 49.1% | 82.1% |
| Mainline Protestant | 4.4% | 7.3% |
| Catholic | 3.9% | 6.5% |
| Black Protestant | 1.4% | 2.3% |
| Other | 1.0% | 1.7% |
| Non-religious | 40.3% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+47.4 |
| 2020 | Trump+46.0 |
| 2016 | Trump+46.5 |
| 2012 | Romney+38.7 |
| 2008 | McCain+38.4 |
| 2004 | Bush+33.2 |
| 2000 | Bush+20.0 |
| 1996 | Dole+3.0 |
| 1992 | Bush+6.8 |
Shawnee, OK is a metro area that has a population of 73,463. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+47.4. Akashic Edge tracks 30 presidential elections here, dating back to 1908.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 25.3% | 72.7% | R+47.4 | R+1.4 |
| 2020 | 25.8% | 71.8% | R+46.0 | D+0.5 |
| 2016 | 23.6% | 70.1% | R+46.5 | R+7.8 |
| 2012 | 30.7% | 69.3% | R+38.7 | R+0.3 |
| 2008 | 30.8% | 69.2% | R+38.4 | R+5.2 |
| 2004 | 33.4% | 66.6% | R+33.2 | R+13.1 |
| 2000 | 39.3% | 59.3% | R+20.0 | R+17.0 |
| 1996 | 42.0% | 45.1% | R+3.0 | D+3.7 |
| 1992 | 33.7% | 40.5% | R+6.8 | D+8.5 |
| 1988 | 41.9% | 57.2% | R+15.2 | D+24.2 |
| 1984 | 29.9% | 69.4% | R+39.5 | R+21.4 |
| 1980 | 39.0% | 57.1% | R+18.0 | R+28.6 |
| 1976 | 54.7% | 44.2% | D+10.5 | D+56.0 |
| 1972 | 25.8% | 71.3% | R+45.5 | R+44.4 |
| 1968 | 38.4% | 39.4% | R+1.0 | R+23.8 |
| 1964 | 61.4% | 38.6% | D+22.8 | D+30.6 |
| 1960 | 46.1% | 53.9% | R+7.7 | R+10.0 |
| 1956 | 51.1% | 48.9% | D+2.3 | D+5.6 |
| 1952 | 48.4% | 51.6% | R+3.3 | R+39.7 |
| 1948 | 68.2% | 31.8% | D+36.4 | — |
What defines Shawnee, OK?
It has a working-class electorate (20% college-educated) — a demographic increasingly aligned with Republicans nationwide.
Constituent Counties
Similar metro areas
Nearest neighbors matched on the same place-page feature set used across the dossier system.
Ardmore, OK
Small-town rural republican 3
Durant, OK
Small-town rural republican 3
Ponca City, OK
Small-town rural republican 3
Ada, OK
Small-town rural republican 3
Miami, OK
Small-town rural republican 3
Bartlesville, OK
Small-town rural republican 3
McAlester, OK
Small-town rural republican 3
Riverton, WY
Small-town rural republican 3
Counties in Shawnee, OK
2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.
Sort:
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pottawatomie | 73K | R+47.4 | 7,266 | 20,915 | 28,774 | 100.0% |
1 countiesTotal votes: 28,774
Ask the Historian
Explore Shawnee, OK's political evolution with the Historian
Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 47.4% margin
- College attainment is 20% — 13pp below the national average. Similar education levels correlate with Republican lean nationally
Who Lives Here
A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.
Census race profile
Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.
| Group | Shawnee, OK | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 69.6% | 57.4% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(8) | 11.4% | 0.9% |
Multiracial / Other | 8.6% | 4.0% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(14) | 6.4% | 19.3% |
▶Black / African American(6) | 3.0% | 12.2% |
▶Asian(4) | 1.0% | 6.0% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(4) | 0.2% | 0.9% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(3) | 0.1% | 0.2% |
Method notes
Religious Adherents
Population that are religious adherents:
59.7%
Catholic-Evangelical edge: -80.0pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 49.1% | 82.1% | — | — | |
| 4.4% | 7.3% | — | — | |
| 3.9% | 6.5% | — | — | |
| 1.4% | 2.3% | — | — | |
| 1.0% | 1.7% | — | — | |
Non-religiousPopulation | 40.3% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Shawnee, OK metro area? 73,463 residents across 1 counties.
Demographics
Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.
20% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 13pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+15 on average nationally.
Population & electorate
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Total population
73K
Share of U.S. population
0.02%
Voting-age population
72.0%
Economic profile
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Median household income
$61,398
Poverty rate
15.9%
College degree
20.4%
Homeownership
70.4%
Community profile
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Median age
37.9 yrs
Age 18–29
16.0%
Age 65+
16.7%
Foreign born
2.1%
Non-English at home
4.2%
English only
95.8%
Turnout in Shawnee, OK
Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.
54.4%
+1.1pp
52,867
1988–2024
How competitive is Shawnee, OK?
Safe RAvg margin: R+46.6 (last 3 elections)
2008
R+38.4
2012
R+38.7
2016
R+46.5
2020
R+46.0
2024
R+47.4
9.1pp
0
R+43.4
Do voters in Shawnee, OK split their tickets?
Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.
Heavy splitting (0/100)
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| Senate vs Governor | R+36.6 | R+23.0 | 13.6pp |
Average divergence across office pairs: 18.9pp
Located In
Shawnee, OK sits inside these higher-level geographies.
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