Rolla, MO
Latest: 2024
Safe Republican — 45K residents — 1 counties
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 84.9% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(7) | 3.1% |
▶Black / African American(6) | 2.4% |
▶Asian(5) | 3.9% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(4) | 0.3% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2) | 0.4% |
Multiracial / Other | 5.3% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 28.7% | 74.1% |
| Catholic | 4.0% | 10.3% |
| Other | 3.0% | 7.9% |
| Mainline Protestant | 2.8% | 7.3% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 1.9% | 4.8% |
| Orthodox Christian | 0.2% | 0.4% |
| Non-religious | 61.3% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+42.9 |
| 2020 | Trump+40.1 |
| 2016 | Trump+42.4 |
| 2012 | Romney+33.3 |
| 2008 | McCain+22.1 |
| 2004 | Bush+27.9 |
| 2000 | Bush+19.7 |
| 1996 | Dole+3.8 |
| 1992 | Clinton+4.9 |
Rolla, MO is a metro area that has a population of 45,194. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+42.9. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 27.9% | 70.8% | R+42.9 | R+2.8 |
| 2020 | 28.8% | 68.9% | R+40.1 | D+2.4 |
| 2016 | 25.5% | 67.9% | R+42.4 | R+9.1 |
| 2012 | 31.7% | 65.0% | R+33.3 | R+11.3 |
| 2008 | 37.9% | 60.0% | R+22.1 | D+5.8 |
| 2004 | 35.6% | 63.5% | R+27.9 | R+8.1 |
| 2000 | 38.8% | 58.5% | R+19.7 | R+15.9 |
| 1996 | 41.9% | 45.7% | R+3.8 | R+8.7 |
| 1992 | 40.9% | 36.1% | D+4.9 | D+22.1 |
| 1988 | 41.2% | 58.4% | R+17.3 | D+10.7 |
| 1984 | 36.0% | 64.0% | R+28.0 | R+14.0 |
| 1980 | 40.3% | 54.3% | R+14.0 | R+14.8 |
| 1976 | 50.0% | 49.2% | D+0.9 | D+37.0 |
| 1972 | 31.9% | 68.1% | R+36.1 | R+24.5 |
| 1968 | 35.7% | 47.3% | R+11.6 | R+32.8 |
| 1964 | 60.6% | 39.4% | D+21.2 | D+31.8 |
| 1960 | 44.7% | 55.3% | R+10.6 | R+10.5 |
| 1956 | 49.9% | 50.1% | R+0.1 | R+1.7 |
| 1952 | 50.7% | 49.1% | D+1.6 | R+24.4 |
| 1948 | 62.8% | 36.9% | D+26.0 | — |
What defines Rolla, MO?
Rolla, MO voted overwhelmingly Republican in 2024. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, revealing how its political character has evolved over more than a century.
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Rural Republican
Counties in Rolla, MO
2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.
Sort:
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phelps | 45K | R+42.9 | 5,379 | 13,658 | 19,300 | 100.0% |
1 countiesTotal votes: 19,300
Ask the Historian
Explore Rolla, MO's political evolution with the Historian
Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 42.9% margin
- Highly elastic — margins have ranged 20.8 points across recent elections, suggesting a volatile electorate
Who Lives Here
A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.
Census race profile
Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.
| Group | Rolla, MO | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 84.9% | 57.4% |
Multiracial / Other | 5.3% | 4.0% |
▶Asian(5) | 3.9% | 6.0% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(7) | 3.1% | 19.3% |
▶Black / African American(6) | 2.4% | 12.2% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2) | 0.4% | 0.9% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(4) | 0.3% | 0.9% |
Method notes
Religious Adherents
Population that are religious adherents:
38.7%
Catholic-Evangelical edge: -68.3pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28.7% | 74.1% | — | — | |
| 4.0% | 10.3% | — | — | |
| 3.0% | 7.9% | — | — | |
| 2.8% | 7.3% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 1.9% | 4.8% | — | — |
| 0.2% | 0.4% | — | — | |
Non-religiousPopulation | 61.3% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Rolla, MO metro area? 45,194 residents across 1 counties.
Demographics
Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.
Population & electorate
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Total population
45K
Share of U.S. population
0.01%
Voting-age population
72.4%
Economic profile
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Median household income
$58,396
Poverty rate
16.8%
College degree
32.4%
Homeownership
61.7%
Community profile
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Median age
35.8 yrs
Age 18–29
22.0%
Age 65+
17.1%
Foreign born
4.2%
Non-English at home
4.8%
English only
95.2%
Turnout in Rolla, MO
Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.
59.0%
-0.8pp
32,700
1988–2024
How competitive is Rolla, MO?
Safe RAvg margin: R+41.8 (last 3 elections)
2008
R+22.1
2012
R+33.3
2016
R+42.4
2020
R+40.1
2024
R+42.9
20.8pp
0
R+36.2
Do voters in Rolla, MO split their tickets?
Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.
Heavy splitting (38/100)
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| Senate vs Governor | R+38.4 | R+45.7 | 7.3pp |
| President vs Senate | R+42.9 | R+38.4 | 4.5pp |
| President vs Governor | R+42.9 | R+45.7 | 2.8pp |
Average divergence across office pairs: 11.8pp
Located In
Rolla, MO sits inside these higher-level geographies.
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