St. Marys, PA
Safe Republican — 31K residents — 1 counties
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 94.5% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(4) | 1.0% |
▶Black / African American(3) | 0.6% |
▶Asian(3) | 0.4% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(2) | 0.1% |
Multiracial / Other | 3.4% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Catholic | 41.6% | 73.8% |
| Mainline Protestant | 11.0% | 19.5% |
| Evangelical Protestant | 2.6% | 4.7% |
| Other | 1.1% | 2.0% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 1.1% | 2.0% |
| Non-religious | 43.7% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+47.0 |
| 2020 | Trump+45.1 |
| 2016 | Trump+42.4 |
| 2012 | Romney+15.9 |
| 2008 | Obama+4.3 |
| 2004 | Bush+8.7 |
| 2000 | Bush+11.7 |
| 1996 | Clinton+6.6 |
| 1992 | Clinton+0.8 |
St. Marys, PA is a metro area that has a population of 30,506. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+47.0. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 26.1% | 73.1% | R+47.0 | R+1.9 |
| 2020 | 26.7% | 71.8% | R+45.1 | R+2.6 |
| 2016 | 26.5% | 68.9% | R+42.4 | R+26.5 |
| 2012 | 41.1% | 57.1% | R+15.9 | R+20.2 |
| 2008 | 50.8% | 46.5% | D+4.3 | D+13.0 |
| 2004 | 45.4% | 54.1% | R+8.7 | D+3.0 |
| 2000 | 42.4% | 54.1% | R+11.7 | R+18.3 |
| 1996 | 44.2% | 37.6% | D+6.6 | D+5.8 |
| 1992 | 36.3% | 35.5% | D+0.8 | D+7.5 |
| 1988 | 46.1% | 52.9% | R+6.7 | D+14.6 |
| 1984 | 39.2% | 60.5% | R+21.3 | R+12.0 |
| 1980 | 43.1% | 52.5% | R+9.3 | R+13.6 |
| 1976 | 51.2% | 47.0% | D+4.2 | D+28.9 |
| 1972 | 36.5% | 61.2% | R+24.7 | R+29.6 |
| 1968 | 49.0% | 44.1% | D+4.9 | R+36.2 |
| 1964 | 70.5% | 29.4% | D+41.1 | D+33.2 |
| 1960 | 53.9% | 46.0% | D+8.0 | D+31.8 |
| 1956 | 38.0% | 61.8% | R+23.8 | R+15.0 |
| 1952 | 45.4% | 54.3% | R+8.8 | R+10.9 |
| 1948 | 51.0% | 49.0% | D+2.0 | — |
What defines St. Marys, PA?
St. Marys, PA has been trending Republican — 31pp redder over the last 4 presidential cycles. It has a working-class electorate (21% college-educated) — a demographic increasingly aligned with Republicans nationwide.
Constituent Counties
Similar metro areas
Counties in St. Marys, PA
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elk | 31K | R+47.0 | 4,483 | 12,543 | 17,153 | 100.0% |
Ask the Historian
Key Insights
- Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 47.0% margin
- Won by both parties in recent history — Democrats most recently in 2008, Republicans in 2024
- Shifted 31.1 points toward Republicans over the last 4 elections
Who Lives Here
| Group | St. Marys, PA | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 94.5% | 57.4% |
Multiracial / Other | 3.4% | 4.0% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(4) | 1.0% | 19.3% |
▶Black / African American(3) | 0.6% | 12.2% |
▶Asian(3) | 0.4% | 6.0% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(2) | 0.1% | 0.9% |
Religious Adherents
Catholic-Evangelical edge: +64.7pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Catholic-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Democratic-leaning urban and suburban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 41.6% | 73.8% | — | — | |
| 11.0% | 19.5% | — | — | |
| 2.6% | 4.7% | — | — | |
| 1.1% | 2.0% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 1.1% | 2.0% | — | — |
Non-religiousPopulation | 43.7% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the St. Marys, PA metro area? 30,506 residents across 1 counties.
Demographics
21% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 12pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+15 on average nationally.
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Turnout in St. Marys, PA
How competitive is St. Marys, PA?
Do voters in St. Marys, PA split their tickets?
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| President vs Senate | R+47.0 | R+42.5 | 4.5pp |