Seymour, IN
Safe Republican — 47K residents — 1 counties
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 79.5% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(8) | 14.4% |
▶Black / African American(1) | 0.6% |
▶Asian(6) | 2.2% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 2.2% |
Multiracial / Other | 1.1% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 40.8% | 75.0% |
| Mainline Protestant | 7.3% | 13.4% |
| Catholic | 5.4% | 9.9% |
| Black Protestant | 0.5% | 1.0% |
| Other | 0.4% | 0.8% |
| Non-religious | 45.6% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+55.3 |
| 2020 | Trump+53.3 |
| 2016 | Trump+51.0 |
| 2012 | Romney+27.4 |
| 2008 | McCain+13.6 |
| 2004 | Bush+36.7 |
| 2000 | Bush+25.6 |
| 1996 | Dole+5.8 |
| 1992 | Bush+9.8 |
Seymour, IN is a metro area that has a population of 46,660. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+55.3. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 21.5% | 76.8% | R+55.3 | R+2.0 |
| 2020 | 22.4% | 75.7% | R+53.3 | R+2.3 |
| 2016 | 21.8% | 72.8% | R+51.0 | R+23.6 |
| 2012 | 34.9% | 62.3% | R+27.4 | R+13.8 |
| 2008 | 42.2% | 55.8% | R+13.6 | D+23.1 |
| 2004 | 31.2% | 68.0% | R+36.7 | R+11.2 |
| 2000 | 36.6% | 62.1% | R+25.6 | R+19.8 |
| 1996 | 40.6% | 46.4% | R+5.8 | D+4.0 |
| 1992 | 35.0% | 44.8% | R+9.8 | D+16.2 |
| 1988 | 36.8% | 62.8% | R+26.0 | D+5.0 |
| 1984 | 33.9% | 64.8% | R+31.0 | R+15.4 |
| 1980 | 40.3% | 55.8% | R+15.5 | R+15.5 |
| 1976 | 49.6% | 49.6% | Even | D+31.0 |
| 1972 | 33.9% | 65.0% | R+31.1 | R+13.7 |
| 1968 | 34.7% | 52.0% | R+17.3 | R+32.6 |
| 1964 | 57.3% | 42.0% | D+15.3 | D+26.3 |
| 1960 | 44.3% | 55.3% | R+11.0 | D+4.0 |
| 1956 | 42.3% | 57.3% | R+15.0 | R+4.0 |
| 1952 | 44.2% | 55.1% | R+11.0 | R+19.9 |
| 1948 | 53.9% | 45.0% | D+8.9 | — |
What defines Seymour, IN?
Seymour, IN has been trending Republican — 28pp redder over the last 4 presidential cycles. It has a working-class electorate (20% college-educated) — a demographic increasingly aligned with Republicans nationwide.
Constituent Counties
Similar metro areas
Counties in Seymour, IN
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson | 47K | R+55.3 | 4,015 | 14,323 | 18,654 | 100.0% |
Ask the Historian
Key Insights
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 55.3% margin
- Shifted 27.8 points toward Republicans over the last 4 elections
Who Lives Here
| Group | Seymour, IN | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 79.5% | 57.4% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(8) | 14.4% | 19.3% |
▶Asian(6) | 2.2% | 6.0% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 2.2% | 0.9% |
Multiracial / Other | 1.1% | 4.0% |
▶Black / African American(1) | 0.6% | 12.2% |
Religious Adherents
Catholic-Evangelical edge: -69.6pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 40.8% | 75.0% | — | — | |
| 7.3% | 13.4% | — | — | |
| 5.4% | 9.9% | — | — | |
| 0.5% | 1.0% | — | — | |
| 0.4% | 0.8% | — | — | |
Non-religiousPopulation | 45.6% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Seymour, IN metro area? 46,660 residents across 1 counties.
Demographics
20% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 13pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+15 on average nationally.
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Turnout in Seymour, IN
How competitive is Seymour, IN?
Do voters in Seymour, IN split their tickets?
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| President vs Governor | R+55.3 | R+42.9 | 12.3pp |
| Senate vs Governor | R+54.4 | R+42.9 | 11.5pp |
| President vs Senate | R+55.3 | R+54.4 | 0.8pp |