Sulphur Springs, TX
Latest: 2024
Safe Republican — shifted 3.9pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 38K residents — 1 counties
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 70.5% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(11) | 18.7% |
▶Black / African American(6) | 7.0% |
▶Asian(5) | 0.9% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(3) | 0.2% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2) | 0.6% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(3) | 0.1% |
Multiracial / Other | 2.3% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 34.6% | 63.8% |
| Black Protestant | 7.9% | 14.6% |
| Catholic | 5.2% | 9.5% |
| Mainline Protestant | 4.1% | 7.6% |
| Other | 2.5% | 4.6% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 0.9% | 1.6% |
| Non-religious | 45.7% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+64.6 |
| 2020 | Trump+60.7 |
| 2016 | Trump+60.5 |
| 2012 | Romney+55.4 |
| 2008 | McCain+44.7 |
| 2004 | Bush+42.6 |
| 2000 | Bush+31.0 |
| 1996 | Clinton+1.8 |
| 1992 | Clinton+6.5 |
Sulphur Springs, TX is a metro area that has a population of 37,784. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+64.6. Akashic Edge tracks 39 presidential elections here, dating back to 1872.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 17.4% | 82.0% | R+64.6 | R+3.9 |
| 2020 | 19.1% | 79.8% | R+60.7 | R+0.1 |
| 2016 | 18.5% | 79.1% | R+60.5 | R+5.2 |
| 2012 | 21.8% | 77.1% | R+55.4 | R+10.7 |
| 2008 | 27.3% | 72.0% | R+44.7 | R+2.1 |
| 2004 | 28.5% | 71.1% | R+42.6 | R+11.6 |
| 2000 | 33.8% | 64.9% | R+31.0 | R+32.8 |
| 1996 | 45.5% | 43.7% | D+1.8 | R+4.6 |
| 1992 | 38.4% | 31.9% | D+6.5 | D+7.9 |
| 1988 | 49.1% | 50.6% | R+1.5 | D+20.3 |
| 1984 | 39.0% | 60.8% | R+21.8 | R+27.9 |
| 1980 | 52.2% | 46.1% | D+6.1 | R+26.0 |
| 1976 | 65.8% | 33.7% | D+32.1 | D+71.0 |
| 1972 | 30.3% | 69.2% | R+38.9 | R+51.8 |
| 1968 | 41.6% | 28.7% | D+12.9 | R+33.3 |
| 1964 | 73.1% | 26.9% | D+46.3 | D+25.5 |
| 1960 | 60.3% | 39.5% | D+20.7 | D+3.7 |
| 1956 | 58.3% | 41.3% | D+17.1 | R+3.7 |
| 1952 | 60.3% | 39.6% | D+20.7 | R+52.2 |
| 1948 | 83.2% | 10.3% | D+73.0 | — |
What defines Sulphur Springs, TX?
It has a working-class electorate (22% college-educated) — a demographic increasingly aligned with Republicans nationwide.
Constituent Counties
Similar metro areas
Nearest neighbors matched on the same place-page feature set used across the dossier system.
Gainesville, TX
Small-town rural republican 3
Cornelia, GA
Small-town rural republican 3
Mineral Wells, TX
Small-town rural republican 3
Calhoun, GA
Small-town rural republican 3
Bonham, TX
Small-town rural republican 3
Seymour, IN
Small-town rural republican 3
Sherman-Denison, TX
Small-town rural republican 3
Woodward, OK
Small-town rural republican 3
Counties in Sulphur Springs, TX
2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.
Sort:
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hopkins | 38K | R+64.6 | 2,917 | 13,754 | 16,778 | 100.0% |
1 countiesTotal votes: 16,778
Ask the Historian
Explore Sulphur Springs, TX's political evolution with the Historian
Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 64.6% margin
- Shifted 9.2 points toward Republicans over the last 4 elections
Who Lives Here
A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.
Census race profile
Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.
| Group | Sulphur Springs, TX | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 70.5% | 57.4% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(11) | 18.7% | 19.3% |
▶Black / African American(6) | 7.0% | 12.2% |
Multiracial / Other | 2.3% | 4.0% |
▶Asian(5) | 0.9% | 6.0% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2) | 0.6% | 0.9% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(3) | 0.2% | 0.9% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(3) | 0.1% | 0.2% |
Method notes
Religious Adherents
Population that are religious adherents:
54.3%
Catholic-Evangelical edge: -58.7pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 34.6% | 63.8% | — | — | |
| 7.9% | 14.6% | — | — | |
| 5.2% | 9.5% | — | — | |
| 4.1% | 7.6% | — | — | |
| 2.5% | 4.6% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 0.9% | 1.6% | — | — |
Non-religiousPopulation | 45.7% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Sulphur Springs, TX metro area? 37,784 residents across 1 counties.
Demographics
Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.
22% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 11pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+15 on average nationally.
Population & electorate
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Total population
38K
Share of U.S. population
0.01%
Voting-age population
74.3%
Economic profile
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Median household income
$70,888
Poverty rate
11.9%
College degree
21.9%
Homeownership
71.1%
Community profile
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Median age
39.5 yrs
Age 18–29
14.1%
Age 65+
18.7%
Foreign born
9.4%
Non-English at home
17.0%
English only
83.0%
Turnout in Sulphur Springs, TX
Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.
59.7%
+2.9pp
28,083
1988–2024
How competitive is Sulphur Springs, TX?
Safe RAvg margin: R+61.9 (last 3 elections)
2008
R+44.7
2012
R+55.4
2016
R+60.5
2020
R+60.7
2024
R+64.6
19.9pp
1
R+57.2
Do voters in Sulphur Springs, TX split their tickets?
Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.
Moderate splitting (57/100)
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| President vs Senate | R+64.6 | R+60.6 | 4.0pp |
Average divergence across office pairs: 8.9pp
Located In
Sulphur Springs, TX sits inside these higher-level geographies.
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