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Alaska State House District 21

Alaska State House District 21

Alaska · Latest: 2024↑ D+1.9 vs 2020

Leans Democratic — 18K residents

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Alaska State House District 21 is a state house district that has a population of 18,414. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Democratic with a margin of D+8.0. Akashic Edge tracks 6 presidential elections here, dating back to 2008.

Alaska State House District 21 Presidential Election Results, 2008–2024
YearDem %Rep %MarginSwing
202452.1%44.1%D+8.0D+1.9
2020*51.3%45.2%D+6.1D+4.0
2020*49.3%47.1%D+2.1D+6.4
2016*42.4%46.6%R+4.2D+9.8
2012*40.7%54.7%R+14.0D+1.0
2008*41.6%56.6%R+15.0—

* Pre-2022 results projected onto current district boundaries. Actual boundaries at the time of the election may have differed.

Political Identity

What defines AK-HD-21?

AK-HD-21 has been drifting steadily toward Democrats — 12pp bluer over the last 4 presidential cycles. It has a plurality-minority electorate (49% nonwhite) where demographic change is reshaping the political map.

Similarity Explorer

Similar state house districts

Nearest neighbors matched on the same place-page feature set used across the dossier system.
8 visible matches
Historian Query

Ask the Historian

Explore AK-HD-21's political evolution with the Historian
Automated Readout

Key Insights

High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
  • Won by both parties in recent history — Democrats most recently in 2024, Republicans in 2016
  • Shifted 12.3 points toward Democrats over the last 4 elections
  • Highly elastic — margins have ranged 22.0 points across recent elections, suggesting a volatile electorate
Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.
AK-HD-21Census ACS 2024
Census race profile
Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.
Expand rows for ancestry detail
White (Non-Hispanic) 50.8%Multiracial 12.2%Asian 9.0%Native American 8.8%Hispanic 7.9%Black 7.1%Native Hawaiian 4.1%
GroupAK-HD-21StateNational
White (Non-Hispanic)
50.8%57.7%57.4%
Multiracial / Other
12.2%10.4%4.0%
Asian
9.0%6.4%6.0%
Native American / Alaska Native
8.8%13.5%0.9%
Hispanic / Latino
7.9%7.3%19.3%
Black / African American
7.1%3.0%12.2%
Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander
4.1%1.6%0.2%
Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Detailed ancestry data unavailable for this geography.

Who lives in Alaska State House District 21? 18,414 residents as of the 2020 Census.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.
AK-HD-21 vs Alaska vs National18K residents
Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population
Local vs state vs U.S.
18K
local
18KState 736KNational 334.9M
Share of U.S. population
Local vs state vs U.S.
0.01%
local
0.01%National 100%
Voting-age population
Local vs state vs U.S.
76.2%
local
76.2%State 71.8%National 75.7%
Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/AState $93,813National $83,960
Poverty rate
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/AState 10.1%National 12.5%
College degree
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/AState 31.4%National 35.6%
Homeownership
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/AState 66.8%National 65.2%
Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/AState 36.0 yrsNational 39.1 yrs
Age 18–29
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/AState 16.7%National 15.7%
Age 65+
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/AState 13.8%National 17.0%
Foreign born
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/AState 7.7%National 14.1%
Non-English at home
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/AState 15.1%National 22.2%
English only
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/AState 84.9%National 77.8%
Voter Turnout

Turnout in AK-HD-21

Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.
2024 Turnout
64.5%
vs Previous
-3.2pp
Voting-Age Pop
14,029
History
2008–2024
Competitiveness

How competitive is AK-HD-21?

Lean DAvg margin: D+5.4 (last 3 elections)
2012
R+14.0
2016
R+4.2
2020
D+2.1
2020
D+6.1
2024
D+8.0
Elasticity
22.0pp
margin range
Party Flips
1
last 30 years
5-Elec Avg
R+0.4

Other Alaska State House Districts

39 total
NameMargin ↓
AK-HD-04D+37.4
AK-HD-17D+33.5
AK-HD-14D+21.3
AK-HD-19D+17.0
AK-HD-03D+14.7
AK-HD-16D+14.6
AK-HD-20D+12.2
AK-HD-38D+11.8
AK-HD-39D+11.7
AK-HD-35D+4.9
AK-HD-09D+2.3
AK-HD-12D+1.3
AK-HD-13D+1.2
AK-HD-22D+1.2
AK-HD-02D+0.4
AK-HD-11R+2.4
AK-HD-15R+2.5
AK-HD-10R+3.3
AK-HD-31R+3.4
AK-HD-37R+6.6
AK-HD-40R+9.9
AK-HD-05R+12.8
AK-HD-18R+15.7
AK-HD-06R+16.1
AK-HD-01R+17.4
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