Alaska State House District 31
Alaska · Latest: 2024
Competitive — shifted 6.2pp toward Democrats in 2024 — 18K residents
Alaska State House District 31 is a state house district that has a population of 18,294. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+3.4. Akashic Edge tracks 6 presidential elections here, dating back to 2008.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 46.3% | 49.6% | R+3.4 | D+6.2 |
| 2020* | 42.9% | 52.5% | R+9.5 | D+5.1 |
| 2020* | 40.3% | 55.0% | R+14.6 | R+5.6 |
| 2016* | 38.8% | 47.8% | R+9.0 | D+4.9 |
| 2012* | 40.8% | 54.7% | R+13.9 | D+4.5 |
| 2008* | 39.6% | 58.0% | R+18.4 | — |
* Pre-2022 results projected onto current district boundaries. Actual boundaries at the time of the election may have differed.
What defines AK-HD-31?
It has a plurality-minority electorate (49% nonwhite) where demographic change is reshaping the political map.
Similar state house districts
Nearest neighbors matched on the same place-page feature set used across the dossier system.
Alaska State House District 10
Urban Competitive
Alaska State House District 13
Urban Competitive
South Dakota State House District 32
Urban Competitive
Alaska State House District 22
Diverse urban democratic 3
Alaska State House District 12
Urban Democratic 2
South Dakota State House District 10
Urban Competitive
Oklahoma State House District 14
Suburban Republican 3
Oklahoma State House District 54
Urban Competitive
Ask the Historian
Explore AK-HD-31's political evolution with the Historian
Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- Margins have been narrowing — from 14.6pp to 3.4pp over the last 3 presidential elections
- Turnout decreased by 14.7 percentage points since the previous presidential election
Who Lives Here
A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.
Census race profile
Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.
| Group | AK-HD-31 | State | National |
|---|---|---|---|
White (Non-Hispanic) | 51.0% | 57.7% | 57.4% |
Native American / Alaska Native | 15.4% | 13.5% | 0.9% |
Multiracial / Other | 12.3% | 10.4% | 4.0% |
Hispanic / Latino | 8.2% | 7.3% | 19.3% |
Black / African American | 6.9% | 3.0% | 12.2% |
Asian | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% |
Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander | 1.1% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
Method notes
Who lives in Alaska State House District 31? 18,294 residents as of the 2020 Census.
Demographics
Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.
Population & electorate
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Total population
18K
Share of U.S. population
0.01%
Voting-age population
78.4%
Economic profile
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Median household income
N/A
Poverty rate
N/A
College degree
N/A
Homeownership
N/A
Community profile
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Median age
N/A
Age 18–29
N/A
Age 65+
N/A
Foreign born
N/A
Non-English at home
N/A
English only
N/A
Turnout in AK-HD-31
Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.
48.8%
-14.7pp
14,336
2008–2024
How competitive is AK-HD-31?
Lean RAvg margin: R+9.2 (last 3 elections)
2012
R+13.9
2016
R+9.0
2020
R+14.6
2020
R+9.5
2024
R+3.4
11.3pp
0
R+10.1
Other Alaska State House Districts
39 total| Name | Margin ↓ |
|---|---|
| AK-HD-04 | D+37.4 |
| AK-HD-17 | D+33.5 |
| AK-HD-14 | D+21.3 |
| AK-HD-19 | D+17.0 |
| AK-HD-03 | D+14.7 |
| AK-HD-16 | D+14.6 |
| AK-HD-20 | D+12.2 |
| AK-HD-38 | D+11.8 |
| AK-HD-39 | D+11.7 |
| AK-HD-21 | D+8.0 |
| AK-HD-35 | D+4.9 |
| AK-HD-09 | D+2.3 |
| AK-HD-12 | D+1.3 |
| AK-HD-13 | D+1.2 |
| AK-HD-22 | D+1.2 |
| AK-HD-02 | D+0.4 |
| AK-HD-11 | R+2.4 |
| AK-HD-15 | R+2.5 |
| AK-HD-10 | R+3.3 |
| AK-HD-37 | R+6.6 |
| AK-HD-40 | R+9.9 |
| AK-HD-05 | R+12.8 |
| AK-HD-18 | R+15.7 |
| AK-HD-06 | R+16.1 |
| AK-HD-01 | R+17.4 |
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