How did NY-HD-49, New York vote in the 2024 presidential election?

NY-HD-49, New York voted Republican in 2024 with a margin of R+19.9. Kamala D Harris received 9,063 votes and Donald Trump received 13,691 out of 23,226 total votes cast, a 32.4-point shift toward Republicans from 2020.

What is NY-HD-49, New York's political history?

NY-HD-49, New York has 5 presidential elections on record, spanning 2008 to 2024. Democrats have won 4 and Republicans 1 of those contests. The largest single-election swing was 32.4 points in 2024.

What are the demographics of NY-HD-49, New York?

NY-HD-49, New York has a population of 139,892 according to the 2020 Census. The racial composition is 24.6% non-Hispanic white, 15.7% Hispanic, 1.2% Black.

Which places are most similar to NY-HD-49, New York?

Based on demographic and electoral similarity analysis, the three most similar state house districts to NY-HD-49, New York are New York Assembly District 25, New York Assembly District 27, New York Assembly District 40. Similarity is computed using a vector embedding of demographic, economic, and electoral characteristics.

New York Assembly District 49

New York · Latest: 2024↓ R+32.4 vs 2020

Safe Republican — shifted 32.4pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 140K residents

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Similarity Explorer

Similar state house districts

Nearest neighbors matched on the same place-page feature set used across the dossier system.

8 visible matches

New York Assembly District 25NY

Diverse urban democratic 3

D+1.3

Similarity score98%

New York Assembly District 27NY

Diverse urban democratic 3

R+9.7

Similarity score97%

New York Assembly District 40NY

Diverse urban democratic 3

R+1.7

Similarity score97%

New York Assembly District 30NY

Diverse urban democratic 3

D+8.0

Similarity score95%

New York Assembly District 47NY

Diverse urban democratic 3

R+23.5

Similarity score95%

New York Assembly District 45NY

Suburban Competitive

R+49.8

Similarity score93%

Texas State House District 76TX

Diverse urban democratic 3

D+8.3

Similarity score93%

California Assembly District 70CA

Diverse urban democratic 3

R+3.1

Similarity score92%

Historian Query

Ask the Historian

Explore NY-HD-49's political evolution with the Historian

“How has New York Assembly District 49 voted in presidential elections?”

Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.

NY-HD-49Census ACS 2024

Census race profile

Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.

Expand rows for ancestry detail

Asian 57.0%White (Non-Hispanic) 24.6%Hispanic 15.7%Black 1.2%Native American 1.0%Multiracial 0.5%

Group	NY-HD-49	State	National
Asian	57.0%	9.1%	6.0%
White (Non-Hispanic)	24.6%	52.8%	57.4%
Hispanic / Latino	15.7%	19.8%	19.3%
Black / African American	1.2%	14.4%	12.2%
Native American / Alaska Native	1.0%	0.6%	0.9%
Multiracial / Other	0.5%	3.4%	4.0%

Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Detailed ancestry data unavailable for this geography.

Who lives in New York Assembly District 49? 139,892 residents as of the 2020 Census.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.

NY-HD-49 vs New York vs National140K residents

Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population

Local vs state vs U.S.

140K

local

140KState 19.9MNational 334.9M

Share of U.S. population

Local vs state vs U.S.

0.04%

local

0.04%National 100%

Voting-age population

Local vs state vs U.S.

77.1%

local

77.1%State 76.5%National 75.7%

Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState $89,823National $83,960

Poverty rate

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 14.0%National 12.5%

College degree

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 40.0%National 35.6%

Homeownership

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 54.4%National 65.2%

Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 39.9 yrsNational 39.1 yrs

Age 18–29

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 15.9%National 15.7%

Age 65+

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 17.9%National 17.0%

Foreign born

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 22.8%National 14.1%

Non-English at home

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 30.9%National 22.2%

English only

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 69.1%National 77.8%

Voter Turnout

Turnout in NY-HD-49

Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.

2024 Turnout

21.5%

vs Previous

-2.8pp

Voting-Age Pop

107,919

History

2008–2024

Competitiveness

How competitive is NY-HD-49?

Tilt DAvg margin: D+2.3 (last 3 elections)

2008

D+9.0

2012

D+24.7

2016

D+14.2

2020

D+12.5

2024

R+19.9

Elasticity

44.6pp

margin range

Party Flips

last 30 years

5-Elec Avg

D+8.1

Other New York State House Districts

149 total

Name	Margin ↓
NY-HD-58	D+84.9
NY-HD-52	D+82.0
NY-HD-57	D+81.4
NY-HD-55	D+80.5
NY-HD-56	D+80.5
NY-HD-70	D+77.2
NY-HD-69	D+76.3
NY-HD-60	D+75.0
NY-HD-83	D+74.2
NY-HD-141	D+71.3
NY-HD-66	D+70.3
NY-HD-67	D+69.7
NY-HD-29	D+67.7
NY-HD-71	D+67.5
NY-HD-43	D+66.8
NY-HD-75	D+65.3
NY-HD-42	D+64.2
NY-HD-68	D+64.1
NY-HD-32	D+64.0
NY-HD-74	D+63.8
NY-HD-44	D+62.8
NY-HD-18	D+61.7
NY-HD-53	D+60.4
NY-HD-76	D+58.6
NY-HD-31	D+56.1

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