Texas State House District 121
Texas · Latest: 2024
Competitive — shifted 11.4pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 203K residents
Texas State House District 121 is a state house district that has a population of 203,209. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+5.0. Akashic Edge tracks 5 presidential elections here, dating back to 2008.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 47.0% | 51.9% | R+5.0 | R+11.4 |
| 2020* | 52.5% | 46.1% | D+6.4 | D+19.7 |
| 2016* | 40.2% | 53.5% | R+13.3 | D+16.5 |
| 2012* | 35.1% | 64.9% | R+29.8 | R+5.8 |
| 2008* | 37.9% | 61.9% | R+24.0 | — |
* Pre-2022 results projected onto current district boundaries. Actual boundaries at the time of the election may have differed.
What defines TX-HD-121?
TX-HD-121 has flipped between parties in each of the last three elections — a fiercely contested battleground. It has a plurality-minority electorate (52% nonwhite) where demographic change is reshaping the political map.
Similar state house districts
Nearest neighbors matched on the same place-page feature set used across the dossier system.
Texas State House District 122
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Florida State House District 89
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Florida State House District 47
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Florida State House District 115
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Ask the Historian
Explore TX-HD-121's political evolution with the Historian
Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Swung 11.4 points toward Republican between 2020 and 2024
- Won by both parties in recent history — Democrats most recently in 2020, Republicans in 2024
- Highly elastic — margins have ranged 36.2 points across recent elections, suggesting a volatile electorate
Who Lives Here
A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.
Census race profile
Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.
| Group | TX-HD-121 | State | National |
|---|---|---|---|
White (Non-Hispanic) | 48.3% | 39.1% | 57.4% |
Hispanic / Latino | 36.4% | 39.7% | 19.3% |
Black / African American | 6.3% | 12.2% | 12.2% |
Asian | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% |
Multiracial / Other | 3.0% | 2.5% | 4.0% |
Native American / Alaska Native | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% |
Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
Method notes
Who lives in Texas State House District 121? 203,209 residents as of the 2020 Census.
Demographics
Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.
Population & electorate
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Total population
203K
Share of U.S. population
0.06%
Voting-age population
76.7%
Economic profile
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Median household income
N/A
Poverty rate
N/A
College degree
N/A
Homeownership
N/A
Community profile
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Median age
N/A
Age 18–29
N/A
Age 65+
N/A
Foreign born
N/A
Non-English at home
N/A
English only
N/A
Turnout in TX-HD-121
Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.
64.6%
-51.9pp
155,904
2008–2024
How competitive is TX-HD-121?
Tilt RAvg margin: R+3.9 (last 3 elections)
2008
R+24.0
2012
R+29.8
2016
R+13.3
2020
D+6.4
2024
R+5.0
36.2pp
2
R+13.1
Other Texas State House Districts
149 total| Name | Margin ↓ |
|---|---|
| TX-HD-49 | D+60.3 |
| TX-HD-110 | D+55.8 |
| TX-HD-100 | D+54.5 |
| TX-HD-146 | D+53.6 |
| TX-HD-51 | D+53.0 |
| TX-HD-109 | D+51.7 |
| TX-HD-147 | D+51.3 |
| TX-HD-111 | D+50.7 |
| TX-HD-141 | D+50.4 |
| TX-HD-131 | D+48.0 |
| TX-HD-50 | D+47.6 |
| TX-HD-46 | D+44.0 |
| TX-HD-95 | D+41.3 |
| TX-HD-48 | D+40.4 |
| TX-HD-139 | D+38.2 |
| TX-HD-142 | D+37.6 |
| TX-HD-27 | D+35.1 |
| TX-HD-103 | D+34.3 |
| TX-HD-145 | D+32.7 |
| TX-HD-77 | D+31.2 |
| TX-HD-114 | D+27.8 |
| TX-HD-116 | D+27.6 |
| TX-HD-90 | D+26.9 |
| TX-HD-123 | D+26.8 |
| TX-HD-101 | D+26.6 |
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