Arkansas State Senate District 31
Safe Republican — shifted 8.4pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 85K residents
Arkansas State Senate District 31 is a state senate district that has a population of 84,647. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+16.7. Akashic Edge tracks 5 presidential elections here, dating back to 2008.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 40.1% | 56.8% | R+16.7 | R+8.4 |
| 2020* | 44.3% | 52.7% | R+8.4 | D+15.0 |
| 2016* | 34.5% | 57.9% | R+23.4 | D+11.1 |
| 2012* | 32.8% | 67.2% | R+34.5 | R+2.3 |
| 2008* | 32.9% | 65.1% | R+32.2 | — |
* Pre-2022 results projected onto current district boundaries. Actual boundaries at the time of the election may have differed.
What defines AR-SD-31?
It has a plurality-minority electorate (57% nonwhite) where demographic change is reshaping the political map.
Similar state senate districts
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Key Insights
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- Highly elastic — margins have ranged 26.1 points across recent elections, suggesting a volatile electorate
- Turnout decreased by 53.7 percentage points since the previous presidential election
Who Lives Here
| Group | AR-SD-31 | State | National |
|---|---|---|---|
White (Non-Hispanic) | 42.8% | 67.4% | 57.4% |
Hispanic / Latino | 38.3% | 9.0% | 19.3% |
Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander | 9.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
Multiracial / Other | 3.2% | 6.3% | 4.0% |
Black / African American | 2.3% | 14.7% | 12.2% |
Asian | 2.1% | 1.6% | 6.0% |
Native American / Alaska Native | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.9% |
Who lives in Arkansas State Senate District 31? 84,647 residents as of the 2020 Census.
Demographics
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Turnout in AR-SD-31
How competitive is AR-SD-31?
Other Arkansas State Senate Districts
34 total| Name | Margin ↓ |
|---|---|
| AR-SD-15 | D+61.5 |
| AR-SD-12 | D+47.4 |
| AR-SD-30 | D+25.7 |
| AR-SD-14 | D+25.2 |
| AR-SD-08 | D+19.1 |
| AR-SD-09 | D+9.4 |
| AR-SD-13 | R+1.5 |
| AR-SD-17 | R+12.5 |
| AR-SD-27 | R+19.6 |
| AR-SD-34 | R+21.8 |
| AR-SD-33 | R+22.8 |
| AR-SD-32 | R+28.6 |
| AR-SD-16 | R+29.7 |
| AR-SD-20 | R+30.2 |
| AR-SD-35 | R+36.0 |
| AR-SD-06 | R+36.1 |
| AR-SD-02 | R+36.6 |
| AR-SD-03 | R+37.0 |
| AR-SD-01 | R+43.0 |
| AR-SD-10 | R+44.7 |
| AR-SD-11 | R+47.3 |
| AR-SD-29 | R+48.0 |
| AR-SD-25 | R+48.6 |
| AR-SD-19 | R+49.5 |
| AR-SD-04 | R+52.0 |