How did AR-SD-02, Arkansas vote in the 2024 presidential election?

AR-SD-02, Arkansas voted Republican in 2024 with a margin of R+36.6. Kamala D Harris received 10,413 votes and Donald Trump received 22,761 out of 33,736 total votes cast, a 5.0-point shift toward Republicans from 2020.

What is AR-SD-02, Arkansas's political history?

AR-SD-02, Arkansas has 5 presidential elections on record, spanning 2008 to 2024. It has voted Republican in every presidential election since 2008. The largest single-election swing was 5.3 points in 2020.

What are the demographics of AR-SD-02, Arkansas?

AR-SD-02, Arkansas has a population of 84,817 according to the 2020 Census. The racial composition is 62.0% non-Hispanic white, 3.5% Hispanic, 30.0% Black. About 18% of residents hold a bachelor's degree or higher. Median household income is $54,903.

Which places are most similar to AR-SD-02, Arkansas?

Based on demographic and electoral similarity analysis, the three most similar state senate districts to AR-SD-02, Arkansas are Mississippi State Senate District 3, Tennessee State Senate District 26, Alabama State Senate District 12. Similarity is computed using a vector embedding of demographic, economic, and electoral characteristics.

Arkansas State Senate District 2

Arkansas · Latest: 2024↓ R+5.0 vs 2020

Shifted 5.0pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 85K residents

Ask Atlas Ask Historian Open in Explore CompareShare image

Presidential margin · 2008 → 2024

Full history

2008
R+23.6
McCain
2012
R+24.2
Romney
2016
R+26.3
Trump
2020
R+31.6
Trump
2024
R+36.6
Trump

Who lives here

Full breakdown

White62.0%
Black30.0%
Multiracial3.6%

Economy & age

Population: 85K
Median age: 42.2; +3.1pp vs U.S.
Median income: $55K; −$29K vs U.S.
College+: 18%; −17.5pp vs U.S.

Faith & language

Full detail

Evangelical53.8%
Black Prot.22.7%

97% English only3% Non-English

Similarity Explorer

Similar state senate districts

Nearest neighbors matched on the same place-page feature set used across the dossier system.

8 visible matches

Mississippi State Senate District 3MS

Suburban Republican

R+51.5

Similarity score94%

Tennessee State Senate District 26TN

Suburban Republican

R+53.8

Similarity score91%

Alabama State Senate District 12AL

Suburban Republican

R+43.9

Similarity score90%

Mississippi State Senate District 43MS

Suburban Republican

R+58.8

Similarity score90%

Mississippi State Senate District 31MS

Suburban Republican

R+39.3

Similarity score88%

Alabama State Senate District 22AL

Suburban Republican

R+60.0

Similarity score86%

South Carolina State Senate District 17SC

Regional Republican

R+1.9

Similarity score86%

Mississippi State Senate District 17MS

Suburban Republican

R+31.6

Similarity score86%

Historian Query

Ask the Historian

Explore AR-SD-02's political evolution with the Historian

“How has Arkansas State Senate District 2 voted in presidential elections?”

Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.

AR-SD-02Census ACS 2024Ancestry detail available

Census race profile

Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.

Expand rows for ancestry detail

White (Non-Hispanic) 62.0%Black 30.0%Multiracial 3.6%Hispanic 3.5%Asian 0.6%Native American 0.4%

Group	AR-SD-02	State	National
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(12)	62.0%	67.4%	57.4%
▶Black / African American(5)	30.0%	14.7%	12.2%
Multiracial / Other	3.6%	6.3%	4.0%
▶Hispanic / Latino(10)	3.5%	9.0%	19.3%
▶Asian(4)	0.6%	1.6%	6.0%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2)	0.4%	0.6%	0.9%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(3)	0.2%	—	0.9%

Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Click rows to expand ancestry detail. Ancestry from ACS B04006, B03001, B02020, B02016. Totals may differ from race — individuals can report multiple ancestries.

Black / African American (estimated remainder) is derived as Black population share minus reported Sub-Saharan African and West Indian ancestry. It is shown as an estimated ancestry detail, not a standalone Census ancestry category.

MENA estimated from ancestry reporting — Census does not have a separate MENA race category. Not shown in bar (overlaps with other race groups).

Who lives in Arkansas State Senate District 2? 84,817 residents as of the 2020 Census.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.

AR-SD-02 vs Arkansas vs National85K residents

18% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 15pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+15 on average nationally.

Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population

Local vs state vs U.S.

85K

local

85KState 3.0MNational 334.9M

Share of U.S. population

Local vs state vs U.S.

0.03%

local

0.03%National 100%

Voting-age population

Local vs state vs U.S.

77.5%

local

77.5%State 74.2%National 75.7%

Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income

Local vs state vs U.S.

$54,903

local

$54,903State $61,888National $83,960

Poverty rate

Local vs state vs U.S.

17.7%

local

17.7%State 16.0%National 12.5%

College degree

Local vs state vs U.S.

18.1%

local

18.1%State 25.9%National 35.6%

Homeownership

Local vs state vs U.S.

73.5%

local

73.5%State 66.4%National 65.2%

Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age

Local vs state vs U.S.

42.2 yrs

local

42.2 yrsState 38.8 yrsNational 39.1 yrs

Age 18–29

Local vs state vs U.S.

13.1%

local

13.1%State 15.7%National 15.7%

Age 65+

Local vs state vs U.S.

20.1%

local

20.1%State 17.6%National 17.0%

Foreign born

Local vs state vs U.S.

1.8%

local

1.8%State 5.4%National 14.1%

Non-English at home

Local vs state vs U.S.

2.9%

local

2.9%State 8.3%National 22.2%

English only

Local vs state vs U.S.

97.1%

local

97.1%State 91.7%National 77.8%

Voter Turnout

Turnout in AR-SD-02

Turnout % = votes cast ÷ voting-age population (VAP). Source: PL 94-171 2020 Census.

2024 Turnout

51.3%

vs Previous

-4.1pp

Voting-Age Pop

65,753

History

2008–2024

Contained geographies

Counties in AR-SD-02

Counties that overlap AR-SD-02.

Counties

(5)

Union31%Ouachita22%Dallas20%Calhoun19%Grant8.8%

Other Arkansas State Senate Districts

68 total

Name	Margin ↓
AR-SD-15	D+61.5
AR-SD-12	D+47.4
AR-SD-30	D+25.7
AR-SD-14	D+25.2
AR-SD-08	D+19.1
AR-SD-09	D+9.4
AR-SD-13	R+1.5
AR-SD-17	R+12.5
AR-SD-31	R+16.8
AR-SD-27	R+19.6
AR-SD-34	R+21.8
AR-SD-33	R+22.8
AR-SD-32	R+28.6
AR-SD-16	R+29.7
AR-SD-20	R+30.2
AR-SD-35	R+36.0
AR-SD-06	R+36.1
AR-SD-03	R+37.0
AR-SD-01	R+43.0
AR-SD-10	R+44.7
AR-SD-11	R+47.3
AR-SD-29	R+48.0
AR-SD-25	R+48.6
AR-SD-19	R+49.5
AR-SD-04	R+52.0

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