Florida State Senate District 15
Safe Democratic — 534K residents
Florida State Senate District 15 is a state senate district that has a population of 534,207. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Democratic with a margin of D+23.3. Akashic Edge tracks 5 presidential elections here, dating back to 2008.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 60.9% | 37.6% | D+23.3 | R+0.7 |
| 2020* | 61.4% | 37.5% | D+23.9 | R+9.7 |
| 2016* | 64.8% | 31.2% | D+33.7 | D+1.3 |
| 2012* | 66.2% | 33.8% | D+32.4 | D+1.7 |
| 2008* | 64.9% | 34.3% | D+30.7 | — |
* Pre-2022 results projected onto current district boundaries. Actual boundaries at the time of the election may have differed.
What defines FL-SD-15?
It has a majority-minority electorate where racial demographics are the primary driver of partisan lean.
Similar state senate districts
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Key Insights
- Has voted Democratic in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Democratic landslide with a 23.3% margin
- Margins have been narrowing — from 33.7pp to 23.3pp over the last 3 presidential elections
Who Lives Here
| Group | FL-SD-15 | State | National |
|---|---|---|---|
Black / African American | 36.8% | 15.1% | 12.2% |
White (Non-Hispanic) | 28.0% | 50.4% | 57.4% |
Hispanic / Latino | 26.6% | 27.4% | 19.3% |
Multiracial / Other | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% |
Asian | 3.6% | 2.9% | 6.0% |
Native American / Alaska Native | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.9% |
Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
Who lives in Florida State Senate District 15? 534,207 residents as of the 2020 Census.
Demographics
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Turnout in FL-SD-15
How competitive is FL-SD-15?
Other Florida State Senate Districts
39 total| Name | Margin ↓ |
|---|---|
| FL-SD-32 | D+39.1 |
| FL-SD-34 | D+38.8 |
| FL-SD-16 | D+25.7 |
| FL-SD-05 | D+16.6 |
| FL-SD-17 | D+10.9 |
| FL-SD-24 | D+10.1 |
| FL-SD-35 | D+9.2 |
| FL-SD-30 | D+8.4 |
| FL-SD-26 | D+5.7 |
| FL-SD-25 | D+2.7 |
| FL-SD-37 | R+1.3 |
| FL-SD-10 | R+1.6 |
| FL-SD-03 | R+4.4 |
| FL-SD-14 | R+7.4 |
| FL-SD-18 | R+9.5 |
| FL-SD-38 | R+10.3 |
| FL-SD-12 | R+15.6 |
| FL-SD-36 | R+16.1 |
| FL-SD-23 | R+17.5 |
| FL-SD-22 | R+18.0 |
| FL-SD-31 | R+18.1 |
| FL-SD-13 | R+18.3 |
| FL-SD-20 | R+18.9 |
| FL-SD-19 | R+19.5 |
| FL-SD-21 | R+20.1 |