Florida State Senate District 38
Leans Republican — shifted 17.6pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 544K residents
Florida State Senate District 38 is a state senate district that has a population of 543,674. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+10.3. Akashic Edge tracks 5 presidential elections here, dating back to 2008.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 44.3% | 54.6% | R+10.3 | R+17.6 |
| 2020* | 53.4% | 46.1% | D+7.4 | R+17.1 |
| 2016* | 60.5% | 36.1% | D+24.5 | D+8.5 |
| 2012* | 58.0% | 42.0% | D+16.0 | D+2.0 |
| 2008* | 56.6% | 42.6% | D+14.0 | — |
* Pre-2022 results projected onto current district boundaries. Actual boundaries at the time of the election may have differed.
What defines FL-SD-38?
FL-SD-38 flipped to Republicans in 2024 after voting the other way in 2020. It has a majority-minority electorate where racial demographics are the primary driver of partisan lean.
Similar state senate districts
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Key Insights
- Swung 17.6 points toward Republican between 2020 and 2024
- Won by both parties in recent history — Democrats most recently in 2020, Republicans in 2024
- Highly elastic — margins have ranged 34.8 points across recent elections, suggesting a volatile electorate
Who Lives Here
| Group | FL-SD-38 | State | National |
|---|---|---|---|
Hispanic / Latino | 66.1% | 27.4% | 19.3% |
White (Non-Hispanic) | 18.2% | 50.4% | 57.4% |
Black / African American | 11.5% | 15.1% | 12.2% |
Asian | 2.2% | 2.9% | 6.0% |
Multiracial / Other | 1.7% | 3.7% | 4.0% |
Native American / Alaska Native | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.9% |
Who lives in Florida State Senate District 38? 543,674 residents as of the 2020 Census.
Demographics
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Turnout in FL-SD-38
How competitive is FL-SD-38?
Other Florida State Senate Districts
39 total| Name | Margin ↓ |
|---|---|
| FL-SD-32 | D+39.1 |
| FL-SD-34 | D+38.8 |
| FL-SD-16 | D+25.7 |
| FL-SD-15 | D+23.3 |
| FL-SD-05 | D+16.6 |
| FL-SD-17 | D+10.9 |
| FL-SD-24 | D+10.1 |
| FL-SD-35 | D+9.2 |
| FL-SD-30 | D+8.4 |
| FL-SD-26 | D+5.7 |
| FL-SD-25 | D+2.7 |
| FL-SD-37 | R+1.3 |
| FL-SD-10 | R+1.6 |
| FL-SD-03 | R+4.4 |
| FL-SD-14 | R+7.4 |
| FL-SD-18 | R+9.5 |
| FL-SD-12 | R+15.6 |
| FL-SD-36 | R+16.1 |
| FL-SD-23 | R+17.5 |
| FL-SD-22 | R+18.0 |
| FL-SD-31 | R+18.1 |
| FL-SD-13 | R+18.3 |
| FL-SD-20 | R+18.9 |
| FL-SD-19 | R+19.5 |
| FL-SD-21 | R+20.1 |