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New Mexico State Senate District 15

New Mexico State Senate District 15

New Mexico · Latest: 2024↓ R+1.0 vs 2020

Safe Democratic — 50K residents

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New Mexico State Senate District 15 is a state senate district that has a population of 49,645. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Democratic with a margin of D+23.7. Akashic Edge tracks 5 presidential elections here, dating back to 2008.

New Mexico State Senate District 15 Presidential Election Results, 2008–2024
YearDem %Rep %MarginSwing
202460.5%36.8%D+23.7R+1.0
2020*61.0%36.3%D+24.7D+9.9
2016*50.1%35.3%D+14.8D+0.8
2012*57.0%43.0%D+14.1R+2.8
2008*58.3%41.4%D+16.9—

* Pre-2022 results projected onto current district boundaries. Actual boundaries at the time of the election may have differed.

Political Identity

What defines NM-SD-15?

It has a plurality-minority electorate (59% nonwhite) where demographic change is reshaping the political map.

Similarity Explorer

Similar state senate districts

Nearest neighbors matched on the same place-page feature set used across the dossier system.
8 visible matches
Historian Query

Ask the Historian

Explore NM-SD-15's political evolution with the Historian
Automated Readout

Key Insights

High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
  • Has voted Democratic in the last 5 presidential elections
  • Latest election (2024) was a Democratic landslide with a 23.7% margin
  • Turnout decreased by 61.0 percentage points since the previous presidential election
Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.
NM-SD-15Census ACS 2024
Census race profile
Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.
Expand rows for ancestry detail
White (Non-Hispanic) 41.1%Hispanic 40.5%Native American 8.9%Black 4.1%Asian 2.9%Multiracial 2.3%
GroupNM-SD-15StateNational
White (Non-Hispanic)
41.1%36.0%57.4%
Hispanic / Latino
40.5%48.4%19.3%
Native American / Alaska Native
8.9%9.5%0.9%
Black / African American
4.1%2.1%12.2%
Asian
2.9%1.8%6.0%
Multiracial / Other
2.3%2.1%4.0%
Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander
0.1%0.1%0.2%
Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Detailed ancestry data unavailable for this geography.

Who lives in New Mexico State Senate District 15? 49,645 residents as of the 2020 Census.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.
NM-SD-15 vs New Mexico vs National50K residents
Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population
Local vs state vs U.S.
50K
local
50KState 2.1MNational 334.9M
Share of U.S. population
Local vs state vs U.S.
0.01%
local
0.01%National 100%
Voting-age population
Local vs state vs U.S.
80.9%
local
80.9%State 76.3%National 75.7%
Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/AState $65,558National $83,960
Poverty rate
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/AState 17.9%National 12.5%
College degree
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/AState 30.6%National 35.6%
Homeownership
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/AState 70.0%National 65.2%
Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/AState 39.7 yrsNational 39.1 yrs
Age 18–29
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/AState 15.8%National 15.7%
Age 65+
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/AState 19.3%National 17.0%
Foreign born
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/AState 9.4%National 14.1%
Non-English at home
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/AState 31.3%National 22.2%
English only
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/AState 68.7%National 77.8%
Voter Turnout

Turnout in NM-SD-15

Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.
2024 Turnout
55.3%
vs Previous
-61.0pp
Voting-Age Pop
40,141
History
2008–2024
Competitiveness

How competitive is NM-SD-15?

Safe DAvg margin: D+21.1 (last 3 elections)
2008
D+16.9
2012
D+14.1
2016
D+14.8
2020
D+24.7
2024
D+23.7
Elasticity
10.6pp
margin range
Party Flips
0
last 30 years
5-Elec Avg
D+18.8

Other New Mexico State Senate Districts

41 total
NameMargin ↓
NM-SD-25D+63.5
NM-SD-16D+53.2
NM-SD-24D+51.0
NM-SD-06D+40.2
NM-SD-13D+39.8
NM-SD-17D+27.7
NM-SD-05D+25.8
NM-SD-39D+25.6
NM-SD-10D+25.2
NM-SD-18D+22.1
NM-SD-22D+19.7
NM-SD-26D+18.5
NM-SD-20D+18.5
NM-SD-09D+16.2
NM-SD-11D+16.0
NM-SD-03D+15.7
NM-SD-37D+14.5
NM-SD-38D+13.4
NM-SD-14D+12.3
NM-SD-04D+11.7
NM-SD-23D+11.1
NM-SD-08D+8.7
NM-SD-21D+8.6
NM-SD-31D+8.1
NM-SD-36D+7.2
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