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Maricopa's cycle-by-cycle presidential arc from 2008 to 2024, in context of Arizona and the nation.
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Headline numbers at a glance
Where the answer lives
Maricopa in Arizona, drawn against the state outline.
Cycle-by-cycle arc
Maricopa County moved 7.0 points left between 2008 and 2024, ending at R+3.5 after starting at R+10.5 under Obama. The arc ran one direction for three straight cycles: 7.9 points left from 2012 to 2016, then another 5.0 points left into 2020, when the county flipped to D+2.2 — the inflection of the span. 2024 reversed 5.7 points back to R+3.5, leaving Maricopa on the Republican side again but 7.0 points closer to even than where it began. The 2008→2012 cycle barely registered at 0.2 points, making the post-2012 left
Shifted 7.0 pts right across 16 years.
Against county, state, and national
| Geography | 2016 | 2020 | 2024 | Change since 2016 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maricopa | R+2.8 | D+2.2 | R+3.5 | +7.0 pts |
| Arizona | R+3.5 | D+0.3 | R+5.5 | -2.0 pts |
| AZ-9 | R+29.1 | R+25.8 | R+31.1 | -2.0 pts |
Population, income, education
Maricopa County is 52.5% non-Hispanic white with a 24.9% Hispanic share across 3.07 million people, the demographic anchor of
Akashic Atlas, "Maricopa's cycle-by-cycle presidential arc from 2008 to 2024, in context of Arizona and the nation", answer ID jUjCotd2TGa1, generated 2026-04-27, retrieved 2026-04-29. https://akashicedge.com/atlas/a/jUjCotd2TGa1
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