Mesa City, Arizona
Incorporated place · Latest: 2024
Leans Republican — 504K residents
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
White (Non-Hispanic) | 59.6% |
Hispanic / Latino | 27.3% |
Black / African American | 4.2% |
Asian | 2.6% |
Native American / Alaska Native | 2.7% |
Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander | 0.4% |
Multiracial / Other | 3.2% |
Key demographics
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Median household income | — |
| Bachelor's or higher | — |
| English only at home | — |
| Other language at home | — |
| Foreign-born | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+11.7 |
| 2020 | Trump+9.3 |
| 2016 | Trump+15.8 |
| 2012 | Romney+24.1 |
| 2008 | McCain+22.3 |
Mesa City, Arizona is a city that has a population of 504,258. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+11.7. Akashic Edge tracks 5 presidential elections here, dating back to 2008.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 43.5% | 55.2% | R+11.7 | R+2.4 |
| 2020 | 44.4% | 53.7% | R+9.3 | D+6.5 |
| 2016 | 37.3% | 53.1% | R+15.8 | D+8.4 |
| 2012 | 37.9% | 62.1% | R+24.1 | R+1.8 |
| 2008 | 38.1% | 60.4% | R+22.3 | — |
What defines Mesa City?
It has a working-class electorate (0% college-educated) — a demographic increasingly aligned with Republicans nationwide.
Similar cities
Nearest neighbors matched on the same place-page feature set used across the dossier system.
Located In
Mesa City sits inside these higher-level geographies.
Ask the Historian
Explore Mesa City's political evolution with the Historian
Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
Who Lives Here
A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.
Census race profile
Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.
| Group | Mesa City | National |
|---|---|---|
White (Non-Hispanic) | 59.6% | 57.4% |
Hispanic / Latino | 27.3% | 19.3% |
Black / African American | 4.2% | 12.2% |
Multiracial / Other | 3.2% | 4.0% |
Native American / Alaska Native | 2.7% | 0.9% |
Asian | 2.6% | 6.0% |
Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander | 0.4% | 0.2% |
Method notes
Who lives in Mesa City? 504,258 residents as of the 2020 Census.
Demographics
Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.
Population & electorate
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Total population
504K
Share of U.S. population
0.15%
Voting-age population
76.5%
Economic profile
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Median household income
N/A
Poverty rate
N/A
College degree
N/A
Homeownership
N/A
Community profile
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Median age
N/A
Age 18–29
N/A
Age 65+
N/A
Foreign born
N/A
Non-English at home
N/A
English only
N/A
Turnout in Mesa City
Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.
59.4%
-0.7pp
385,616
2008–2024
How competitive is Mesa City?
Likely RAvg margin: R+12.3 (last 3 elections)
2008
R+22.3
2012
R+24.1
2016
R+15.8
2020
R+9.3
2024
R+11.7
14.8pp
0
R+16.6
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