South Tucson City, Arizona
Safe Democratic — shifted 10.7pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 5K residents
| Group | % |
|---|---|
White (Non-Hispanic) | 11.1% |
Hispanic / Latino | 76.5% |
Black / African American | 2.4% |
Asian | 0.8% |
Native American / Alaska Native | 11.5% |
Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander | 0.1% |
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Median household income | — |
| Bachelor's or higher | — |
| English only at home | — |
| Other language at home | — |
| Foreign-born | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Harris+50.2 |
| 2020 | Biden+60.9 |
| 2016 | Clinton+69.4 |
| 2012 | Obama+82.1 |
| 2008 | Obama+59.3 |
South Tucson City, Arizona is a city that has a population of 4,613. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Democratic with a margin of D+50.2. Akashic Edge tracks 5 presidential elections here, dating back to 2008.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 74.4% | 24.2% | D+50.2 | R+10.7 |
| 2020 | 79.8% | 18.8% | D+60.9 | R+8.5 |
| 2016 | 82.2% | 12.8% | D+69.4 | R+12.7 |
| 2012 | 91.0% | 9.0% | D+82.1 | D+22.7 |
| 2008 | 78.8% | 19.5% | D+59.3 | — |
What defines South Tucson City?
South Tucson City has been trending Republican — 32pp redder over the last 4 presidential cycles. It has a majority-minority electorate where racial demographics are the primary driver of partisan lean.
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Key Insights
- Has voted Democratic in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Democratic landslide with a 50.2% margin
- Swung 10.7 points toward Republican between 2020 and 2024
Who Lives Here
| Group | South Tucson City | National |
|---|---|---|
Hispanic / Latino | 76.5% | 19.3% |
Native American / Alaska Native | 11.5% | 0.9% |
White (Non-Hispanic) | 11.1% | 57.4% |
Black / African American | 2.4% | 12.2% |
Asian | 0.8% | 6.0% |
Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander | 0.1% | 0.2% |
Who lives in South Tucson City? 4,613 residents as of the 2020 Census.
Demographics
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.