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Valencia West CDP, Arizona

Valencia West CDP, Arizona

Census Designated Place · Latest: 2024↓ R+12.4 vs 2020

Safe Democratic — shifted 12.4pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 14K residents

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Race & ancestry
Group%
White (Non-Hispanic)
19.8%
Hispanic / Latino
70.2%
Black / African American
3.2%
Asian
1.5%
Native American / Alaska Native
5.6%
Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander
0.2%
View full demographics →
Key demographics
MetricValue
Median household income—
Bachelor's or higher—
English only at home—
Other language at home—
Foreign-born—
View full demographics →
Presidential results
YearResult
2024Harris+17.4
2020Biden+29.7
2016Clinton+27.0
2012Obama+16.8
2008Obama+12.7
View full election history →

Valencia West CDP, Arizona is a city that has a population of 14,101. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Democratic with a margin of D+17.4. Akashic Edge tracks 5 presidential elections here, dating back to 2008.

Valencia West CDP Presidential Election Results, 2008–2024
YearDem %Rep %MarginSwing
202458.3%40.9%D+17.4R+12.4
202064.1%34.4%D+29.7D+2.8
201660.2%33.2%D+27.0D+10.1
201258.4%41.6%D+16.8D+4.1
200855.5%42.8%D+12.7—
Political Identity

What defines Valencia West CDP?

It has a majority-minority electorate where racial demographics are the primary driver of partisan lean.

Similarity Explorer

Similar cities

Nearest neighbors matched on the same place-page feature set used across the dossier system.
8 visible matches
Containing Geography

Located In

Valencia West CDP sits inside these higher-level geographies.
Historian Query

Ask the Historian

Explore Valencia West CDP's political evolution with the Historian
Automated Readout

Key Insights

High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
  • Has voted Democratic in the last 5 presidential elections
  • Swung 12.4 points toward Republican between 2020 and 2024
  • Turnout increased by 5.2 percentage points since the previous presidential election
Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.
Valencia West CDPCensus ACS 2024
Census race profile
Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.
Expand rows for ancestry detail
Hispanic 70.2%White (Non-Hispanic) 19.8%Native American 5.6%Black 3.2%Asian 1.5%
GroupValencia West CDPNational
Hispanic / Latino
70.2%19.3%
White (Non-Hispanic)
19.8%57.4%
Native American / Alaska Native
5.6%0.9%
Black / African American
3.2%12.2%
Asian
1.5%6.0%
Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander
0.2%0.2%
Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Detailed ancestry data unavailable for this geography.

Who lives in Valencia West CDP? 14,101 residents as of the 2020 Census.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.
Valencia West CDP vs National14K residents
Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population
Local vs state vs U.S.
14K
local
14KNational 334.9M
Share of U.S. population
Local vs state vs U.S.
0.00%
local
0.00%National 100%
Voting-age population
Local vs state vs U.S.
70.3%
local
70.3%National 75.7%
Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/ANational $83,960
Poverty rate
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/ANational 12.5%
College degree
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/ANational 35.6%
Homeownership
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/ANational 65.2%
Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/ANational 39.1 yrs
Age 18–29
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/ANational 15.7%
Age 65+
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/ANational 17.0%
Foreign born
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/ANational 14.1%
Non-English at home
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/ANational 22.2%
English only
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/ANational 77.8%
Voter Turnout

Turnout in Valencia West CDP

Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.
2024 Turnout
62.2%
vs Previous
+5.2pp
Voting-Age Pop
9,918
History
2008–2024
Competitiveness

How competitive is Valencia West CDP?

Safe DAvg margin: D+24.7 (last 3 elections)
2008
D+12.7
2012
D+16.8
2016
D+27.0
2020
D+29.7
2024
D+17.4
Elasticity
17.0pp
margin range
Party Flips
0
last 30 years
5-Elec Avg
D+20.7
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