Tucson City, Arizona
Incorporated place · Latest: 2024
Safe Democratic — shifted 4.9pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 543K residents
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
White (Non-Hispanic) | 43.6% |
Hispanic / Latino | 42.2% |
Black / African American | 5.6% |
Asian | 3.2% |
Native American / Alaska Native | 2.9% |
Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander | 0.3% |
Multiracial / Other | 2.2% |
Key demographics
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Median household income | — |
| Bachelor's or higher | — |
| English only at home | — |
| Other language at home | — |
| Foreign-born | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Harris+29.6 |
| 2020 | Biden+34.5 |
| 2016 | Clinton+29.7 |
| 2012 | Obama+24.1 |
| 2008 | Obama+20.7 |
Tucson City, Arizona is a city that has a population of 542,629. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Democratic with a margin of D+29.6. Akashic Edge tracks 5 presidential elections here, dating back to 2008.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 64.1% | 34.5% | D+29.6 | R+4.9 |
| 2020 | 66.4% | 31.9% | D+34.5 | D+4.8 |
| 2016 | 61.2% | 31.4% | D+29.7 | D+5.6 |
| 2012 | 62.0% | 38.0% | D+24.1 | D+3.4 |
| 2008 | 59.6% | 38.9% | D+20.7 | — |
What defines Tucson City?
It has a plurality-minority electorate (56% nonwhite) where demographic change is reshaping the political map.
Similar cities
Nearest neighbors matched on the same place-page feature set used across the dossier system.
Albuquerque City
Educated urban democratic
Phoenix City
Educated urban democratic
Pueblo City
Educated urban democratic
Santa Rosa City
Educated urban democratic
Casas Adobes CDP
Educated urban democratic 2
Chicago City
Educated urban democratic
Tempe City
Educated urban democratic 2
Flowing Wells CDP
Educated urban democratic
Located In
Tucson City sits inside these higher-level geographies.
Ask the Historian
Explore Tucson City's political evolution with the Historian
Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Democratic in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Democratic landslide with a 29.6% margin
- Swung 4.9 points toward Republican between 2020 and 2024
Who Lives Here
A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.
Census race profile
Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.
| Group | Tucson City | National |
|---|---|---|
White (Non-Hispanic) | 43.6% | 57.4% |
Hispanic / Latino | 42.2% | 19.3% |
Black / African American | 5.6% | 12.2% |
Asian | 3.2% | 6.0% |
Native American / Alaska Native | 2.9% | 0.9% |
Multiracial / Other | 2.2% | 4.0% |
Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander | 0.3% | 0.2% |
Method notes
Who lives in Tucson City? 542,629 residents as of the 2020 Census.
Demographics
Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.
Population & electorate
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Total population
543K
Share of U.S. population
0.16%
Voting-age population
79.8%
Economic profile
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Median household income
N/A
Poverty rate
N/A
College degree
N/A
Homeownership
N/A
Community profile
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Median age
N/A
Age 18–29
N/A
Age 65+
N/A
Foreign born
N/A
Non-English at home
N/A
English only
N/A
Turnout in Tucson City
Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.
52.0%
-2.8pp
433,202
2008–2024
How competitive is Tucson City?
Safe DAvg margin: D+31.3 (last 3 elections)
2008
D+20.7
2012
D+24.1
2016
D+29.7
2020
D+34.5
2024
D+29.6
13.8pp
0
D+27.7
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